Why is CLE favored tomorrow?

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  • jellobiafra
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-08-09
    • 6291

    #1
    Why is CLE favored tomorrow?
    Color me confused on that -140 for Fausto Carmona over the Twins. I already locked the Twins in at +180 reverse R/L with a +120 M/L hedge.

    I'm also a little confused as to why the Braves are slight favorites in CIN with Volquez pitching vs Vazquez. Is anyone paying attention out there? The Reds are HOT. The Braves are NOT. The Reds are the better team anyway, with the better pitcher and playing at home. WTF?
  • jellobiafra
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-08-09
    • 6291

    #2
    I'm feeling lucky after my last two days, so I'm rolling the dice with another revers R/L and M/L hedge on the Reds tomorrow. I really think the wrong team is favored in this one. I also think that Volquez found his groove last time out vs Hou. I don't see how the Braves score more than 1 or 2 runs. Brian McCann is having vision problems, Chipper Jones is a big pussy, Escobar is still wincing over his abdomen....the best bat in that lineup right now is Jeff Francouer. That should tell you all you need to know. It's a mess in Atlanta and Vazquez is always capable of getting jacked up.
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    • Brock Landers
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 06-30-08
      • 45359

      #3
      i was wondering the same thing about cincy tomroow, WRONG team favored there
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      • alukk
        SBR MVP
        • 01-29-09
        • 1544

        #4
        yea that sounds rare to me, gj jellobiafra
        Comment
        • jellobiafra
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-08-09
          • 6291

          #5
          Blackburn gave up 1,1,2, and 0 in 4 starts vs CLE last year. Carmona gave up 9 runs in 2+ innings the 1 time he faced MIN last year (at home no less). I know that a lot more goes into picking games, but if you're going to give me (+) odds here, I'm going to take the dog and bet on them smacking Fausto around a little. Carmona hasn't given up less than 4 runs in his last 7 starts dating back through last season. MIN is the better team with the better pitcher. These are my rules to bet by. Better team, better pitcher. If I can find those matchups with (+) odds I'm pouncing every time.
          Comment
          • Enforcer_23
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-06-09
            • 470

            #6
            I noticed that earlier as well. Reds have been playing well recently, now home
            Comment
            • thegenix
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-14-08
              • 339

              #7
              I'm going to be on the Twins for sure if they are the underdogs. Carmona is just not good enough to be a favorite.
              Comment
              • Kyleben
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-30-09
                • 153

                #8
                VOTTO IS A STAR! cincy is my hometown team so im am abit biased. I worry about volquez though he has been shaky thus far. If he gets out of the first inning clean he wins if not he loses, he tends to either be on or off never in between well see.
                Comment
                • Sandeezy
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 04-22-09
                  • 1

                  #9
                  The only thing that worries me with Minnesota in that matchup is the Twins having the 3rd worst bullpen in the league against a Cleveland team with the 4th worst... (sarcasm)... lol, thats the only answer i could find to attempt to answer ur question. i agree, taking MIN +130 right now. GL
                  Comment
                  • Its not me Its u
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 04-24-09
                    • 87

                    #10
                    I thought about goin Twins too, but I can't do it. I gotta go with the inconsistant Indians at home here. Although Blackburn has been a more effective road pitcher, he struggled away from home last year so something needs to give. Carmona has been suspect even though he is usually dominant out of the gate. He has something to prove in his first home start. Minny is missing their setup man let alone Mauer. I just think the law of averages will get the better or worse of a few people in this one and the Tribe pulls away with it at home. Also, the Indian bats are hot right now, while the Twins are not...
                    Comment
                    • TWEETS
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-22-08
                      • 2114

                      #11
                      Check out how well Cincy batters hit Javier Vasquez. I'm gonna wait a while though, i think the line will move with the betters on the braves.
                      Comment
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