CK's Daily Basbeall Thread Leans for Thursday 4/23/09

Vince Carter · 04-23-09, 01:54 AM

what are your thoughts on dodgers/astros under and white sox/orioles over tomorrow ck

tbill11 · 04-23-09, 02:20 AM

Looking good, these were the ones that I thought of when first looking over the lines. Only favorite that seems taking tomorrow is the Dodgers at -131 (I have a hard time thinking that Billingsley wont come out and blow away the Astros).

Booked the over on Milwaukee/Phili, probably gonna stay away from the Brew Crew moneyline, but the Reds and Royals look mighty enticing...

The_Kid · 04-23-09, 03:43 AM

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

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Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

CK, glad to see you on the same side. Let's cash this sucker!

danrman · 04-23-09, 04:50 AM

i like the ny mets

JGILL50 · 04-23-09, 06:46 AM

Originally posted by Vince Carter

what are your thoughts on dodgers/astros under and white sox/orioles over tomorrow ck

watch out with the stros or the under today. the bullpen is tired and banged up no closer or setup man available.

solobass · 04-23-09, 08:54 AM

Today my picks are

Dodgers -125
Reds +140
Tigers (any odds better than -115)
As stated previously, the tigers defensively are much better than the halos and they paid a price in yesterday's game for it. I feel good with my money in Jackson's hands especially facing an emergency callup starting pitcher with a career era of 8.53.

One thing I noticed about Verlander last night is how he is falling off the mound to the left at the end of his delivery much more than he has in the past. His velocity is better than last year (hitting 97-98 when he wants to reach for it) but his release and follow through looked problematic yesterday.

CK i agree with what you are saying about the Reds. I love it when we cap the games and come up with the same thing. It gives me that good feeling, like cookies and milk. I even decided to buck my trend and even use capital letters today.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-23-09, 09:22 AM

Anyone else liking the Tigers tonight? I have no idea how to cap baseball. But I'm pretty confident with the Tigers pick.

I will also tail your heavy play CK.

repski · 04-23-09, 09:48 AM

CK....nice picks today...I'm all over 'em

just a note on theis 1st inning bets...I'm not playing em yet...just watching. BETUS has the 1st innings and they aren't very vigorous if your betting on a score...in fact very much the other way
here are the #'s
-130
-115
-120
-130
-155
EVEN
+105
+120
-150
at that rate that's alot of vigor to layout for what is basically 30-40 more wins a month...how can this be profitable...have we screwed this by talking to much about it?? or have the books just caught up...

EaglesPhan36 · 04-23-09, 10:13 AM

I do agree with your over in Philly, but the numbers do not indicate that Milwaukee hits lefties well. .221 avg this season vs. them.

Smith · 04-23-09, 10:18 AM

Im currently breaking down some of the matchups for today: Early and Late, but their is one game i am going to go ahead and jump on and if you do not agree, please let me know why. I may be missing something here, but Detroit vs LAA tonight! Detroit is -135! I love it!

Throwing for Detroit is Jackson (1-0, 2.14 ERA). Pitched 7 2-3 impressive innings despite flu-like symptoms in Detroit's 2-0 win over Seattle on Saturday.

Throwing for LAA Palmer had an 8.53 ERA in three starts for San Francisco last year, and has allowed 10 runs in 7 2-3 innings in the minors to start this season.

Any information i may be missing?

Also posted in Winners Circle

Mr Handicapable · 04-23-09, 10:22 AM

Just about every Cub except Soriano has pounded Harang in his career so I would be scared of the Reds today!!
Philly/Brew Crew...easily over 9.5! The Phils may make it by themselves...the Brewers bullpen is $hit!

SportsChic · 04-23-09, 10:29 AM

Im seriously considering parlaying all three of those games ck..I had a horrible day yesterday and I hope to make up for it today. Why not follow the best capper on this thread?

GL today

oBaMa_MaNiA · 04-23-09, 10:39 AM

Originally posted by Smith

Im currently breaking down some of the matchups for today: Early and Late, but their is one game i am going to go ahead and jump on and if you do not agree, please let me know why. I may be missing something here, but Detroit vs LAA tonight! Detroit is -135! I love it!

Throwing for Detroit is Jackson (1-0, 2.14 ERA). Pitched 7 2-3 impressive innings despite flu-like symptoms in Detroit's 2-0 win over Seattle on Saturday.

Throwing for LAA Palmer had an 8.53 ERA in three starts for San Francisco last year, and has allowed 10 runs in 7 2-3 innings in the minors to start this season.

Any information i may be missing?

Also posted in Winners Circle

Thank-you! Just what I was thinking on Detroit!

kmarinouofm · 04-23-09, 11:11 AM

going with the cincy team total over 4.5 -120

peterpan19 · 04-23-09, 11:29 AM

3 solid plays...at least I hope...no time for writeups today...and I dont think i need to do it for two of them anyway...everything is already in here

det -1 -114
lad -1 -101
cws -1 +110

GL

Mr Handicapable · 04-23-09, 11:30 AM

White Sox RL (+135)

Adam Eaton is a pile of $hit!! Get all you can get before he gets pulled out of the rotation and back in AA where he belongs! Bart Colon is 10-6 lifetime vs the O's and may get hit around somewhat but he's still 5x better than Eaton!!

repski · 04-23-09, 11:30 AM

Booked
Royals
White Sox(fade Eaton)
Under LAD/Houston... Wandy/Billingsley

ragiche · 04-23-09, 11:38 AM

My booked plays for today.

Lad -125 (Me)

Mil/Phi O 9.5 (CK) Loss

Chw -106 (Me)

Sea ML (Me)

BOL guys.

peterpan19 · 04-23-09, 11:39 AM

mhhh...cleveland is on the board first...now KC has to hit a bit better here....

peterpan19 · 04-23-09, 11:44 AM

KC was lucky here...GL to everyone on KC today... I am rooting for you

SoonerGreg · 04-23-09, 11:45 AM

Booked:
Brewers +160 @ Phillies
I like a little early action and just straight up tailing CK on this one
Rangers -1.5 +145 @ Bluejays
Millwood is looking dominant this year. I think the Rangers big bat will finally show up while he is on the mound. You know they have to feel bad for Millwood throwing a CG and only giving up 2 runs yet still getting the loss in his last outing.
Dodgers -1.5 +125 @ Astros
The Dodgers are to good to be swept by anyone. Billingsly is stepping up to take over the role as their ace. I think he will be the slump buster and throw a gem tonight.

peterpan19 · 04-23-09, 12:00 PM

now lets see how meche looks in this inning...lets hope better...

whatisit · 04-23-09, 12:09 PM

C'mon KC needs to bust it open right here.

tbill11 · 04-23-09, 12:11 PM

On second thought, I'm not so sure about Cincy. Harang definitely does get pounded everytime against the Cubs and Zambrano's hasn't given up more than a run in his last 5 starts against the Reds. Think I'm gonna stay away from this one.

peterpan19 · 04-23-09, 12:14 PM

how could KC not score here ?!?!?!

whatisit · 04-23-09, 12:15 PM

bases loaded, no outs and they cant score

Snookered · 04-23-09, 12:35 PM

Originally posted by Smith

Im currently breaking down some of the matchups for today: Early and Late, but their is one game i am going to go ahead and jump on and if you do not agree, please let me know why. I may be missing something here, but Detroit vs LAA tonight! Detroit is -135! I love it!

Throwing for Detroit is Jackson (1-0, 2.14 ERA). Pitched 7 2-3 impressive innings despite flu-like symptoms in Detroit's 2-0 win over Seattle on Saturday.

Throwing for LAA Palmer had an 8.53 ERA in three starts for San Francisco last year, and has allowed 10 runs in 7 2-3 innings in the minors to start this season.

Any information i may be missing?

Also posted in Winners Circle

Don't forget that Jackson is 1-2 with a 5.60 ERA in the last 2 years against the Halos, And gave up 32 hits in 17 and 2-3 innings in those appearances. I think the over in this game is the play but Good luck with your pick.

SmackdownV · 04-23-09, 01:10 PM

Damn CK....

That over is in DANNNNNNNGGGGEEERRRRR........

secret007 · 04-23-09, 01:31 PM

come on KANSAS..

i know nothing about baseball, but looking at lines movement, it does not look good in 8th inning

The_Kid · 04-23-09, 01:34 PM

Callaspo with a fielding error.

Indians have tied the game...

melincrea · 04-23-09, 01:38 PM

good bye kansas

dwest718 · 04-23-09, 01:41 PM

Trey Hillman is the worst manager in baseball... hands down. Warm up Mesa in the 7th inning. 1 run lead going into the 8th. Meche has 100 pitches going into the 8th and you leave him in. Mesa + Soria is automatic. Instead, Meche loses it a bit and gives up a run and then Hillman puts in one of the worst 10 relievers in the majors to lose the game.

Well done Trey Hillman

.... real men of genius... Mr. really shitty baseball manager guy.

Wish I had played 1st 5 innings like I planned.

Chi_archie · 04-23-09, 01:52 PM

I don't think it is wise to blindly fade Zambrano at home, this year until we see how is stuff is in a larger sample...

Jobe2004 · 04-23-09, 01:59 PM

Anyone liking the LAA as home dogs?