Wed plays 41-27 +22.45 units 60%+

[DFoster]

1st play was a win...PIT in first 5 innings.

Other plays for the day:
COL/ARI under 9.5 -121 --- 2 units
PHI TT over 5 -103 --- 2 units
TB/SEA over 9 --- 2 units
ANA ML +100 --- 2 units
TEX/TOR over 10 -106 --- 2 units

Parlay plays:
PHI ML/Over 10 --- 1 unit to win 2.18
ARI ML/under 9 parlay --- 1 unit to win 2.16

Current Leans and comments from earlier leans:
ARI RL - possible

CIN ML - Lilly was racked by the Reds in 2008. Cueto has a ton of potential. Could be a great bet, even though I hate betting for/against my Cubs.

KC ML - I like the line here and Bannister's career against CLE. I hate KC's inability to hit lefties. I'm waiting to see line movement on this one and may make a play.

MIN ML (Liriano game) - unlikely play. BOS crushes lefties and hits much better at home...and MIN hasn't faired well in Boston recently

CWS ML - I like Danks here but Baltimore hit him well last year and with Diaz (large homer) behind the plate, I can't get myself to make a play here.

NYM ML - No Play

NYM/STL over 9.5 --- NP, umpire is on an under streak...if wind is blowing out, I may play it but unlikely

KC/CLE over - no play here. KC can't hit lefties. Bannister has thrown extremely well against CLE in 30+ career innings. Only thing keeping this play possible is Marvin Hudson behind the plate which isn't enough.

---I have my own thread that has the same info, but I want to see if this gets more interest, comments, thoughts, and criticism (good or bad). If so, I'll start a daily thread rather than a season thread.

[DFoster]

Adding:

STL Cardinals -1.5 reverse RL +230 --- 1 unit

The Cardinals hit .368 off of Maine in 2008 and he's been worse this year through spring training and his first two starts. Money is coming in on the Mets but I like my chances for the Cardinals to jump all over him at Busch like they did last year. The reverse run line here is a nice one even if they're playing at home. 2 of their 9 wins have been by 1 run which is about the normal percentage. I hate taking home team run lines but I plan on fading Maine until he rights himself completely. Pineiro was awful against the Mets last year but is a better pitcher at home. This should be a slug fest and that's why I'm taking:

STL/NYM 9.5 over +112 --- 1 unit

Every Mets/Cards game at Busch had 11 runs or more and with these two starters, it should stay that way...under ump or not.

[Flyers09]

im getting over 5.5 for phillies first 5 innings, i was thinking bout taking it

[DFoster]

im getting over 5.5 for phillies first 5 innings, i was thinking bout taking it

I see them getting 6 or more tonight. Looper has thrown rather well this year and had success against the Phillies in the past but he's always thrown better at home than on the road...and I'm just waiting for a bad outing. Howard has owned Looper in the past (4-5 with 4HR) and is on fire, those two things usually mean big runs for the Phillies.

[Flyers09]

thats why i like the play, im also thinking bout parlaying it with
dogers ML first 5 innings

[DFoster]

Add:

CIN Reds -1.5 reverse RL +242 --- .5 units

Total plays for today/tonight:

CIN Reds -1.5 reverse RL +242 --- .5 units
STL Cardinals -1.5 reverse RL +230 --- 1 unit
STL/NYM 9.5 over +112 --- 1 unit
COL/ARI under 9.5 -121 --- 2 units
PHI TT over 5 -103 --- 2 units
TB/SEA over 9 --- 2 units
ANA ML +100 --- 2 units
TEX/TOR over 10 -106 --- 2 units
PITT 5 inn ML -103 --- 2 units - WIN +1.94

Parlay plays:
PHI ML/Over 10 --- 1 unit to win 2.18
ARI ML/under 9 parlay --- 1 unit to win 2.16 --- WIN +2.16