CK's Daily MLB Thread Leans for Tuesday 4/21/09

The_Kid · 04-21-09, 01:02 AM

Cardinals/Mets OVER 9

Oliver Perez has struggled vs the Cardinals in his career with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.42. The Cardinals bats have hit .270 vs him and they are hot at the moment. The Cards have put up 37 runs in their past 5 games. If Perez struggles with his command early, he may be in for an early exit. Wellemeyer hasn't fared much better against the Mets. In five career games vs New York, he has posted an ERA of 6.89 with a WHIP of 1.72. Mets batters are hitting .317 off him too. Wow! New York has a heavy left handed hitting lineup with Reyes, Murphy, Delgado, Beltran, and Castillo and that favors them vs a right handed pitcher in Wellemeyer. The OVER is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings and 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis. I have to ride the hot bats of the Cards and the potent offense of the Mets in this one to take it OVER 9 runs.

Chi_archie · 04-21-09, 01:18 AM

rangers picks could hit, they have been able to get good wood on the Halladay's pitching in the past

BmoreBucco · 04-21-09, 03:54 AM

Originally posted by cocknocker

Kansas City +155

If I hadn't personally seen Sidney Ponson's act in my neighborhood here in Baltimore, and didn't realize how much of a fraud he is, I'd say good bet. But, I'll recommend as a friend, don't do it. Fading him would be appropriate, and if you don't do that, passing on the game in general would be just.

In fact, to make a point, I'll take:

MLB [972] CLE -1½+110 [S PONSON -R/A LAFFEY -L]

ragiche · 04-21-09, 04:10 AM

My picks for today's game are.Going for the hot bats here,gonna continue wage them till their bats get cold.

Tor -230

Pit +113

Stl -105

Cle -175

Chw -112

Sd -121

Sea +110

All booked and BOL everyone.

wangichu · 04-21-09, 04:50 AM

LEANS:

washburn is hot, seattle is hot, tampa has not found their swagger yet and should not be favored here.

SEA ML

Morales looked brilliant in 6 innings in his start earlier this year and i really like the kid, so i'm going to take the decent money offered on him

COL ML

O's return home with butts in hand after getting them handed to them by the red sox, while the white sox come in hot after taking 3 of 4 in tampa. Some of that home cookin' should get the birds right here

POSTED:

Galaraga is hot, detroit is hot and angels aren't as good as last year (as their record indicates)... similar situation to the mariners over the rays.

DET ML

LA handles houston pretty well over the years and while kershaw may not K 13, he should still provide a solid effort for a blazing hot squad against the dregs of the NL central and a pitcher who hasn't held onto a job in years.

LAD -1.5

Willie Bee · 04-21-09, 06:56 AM

Gentlemen, and little boys if that might apply in some cases, I've just taken out the garbage from yesterday's thread and really don't want to have to come in and clean up the childish, petty stuff again. So either talk baseball in this forum, or don't say anything. Thanks.

alukk · 04-21-09, 08:41 AM

toronto Jays BIG play for me. ML
White Sox ML

Good Luck today guys

cocknocker · 04-21-09, 09:25 AM

Guys are looking for a free chicken dinner in Toronto. This game has all the makings of an upset. 81% on one side that has a moneyline over -150 with slight reverse movement, reverse movement on the total, a team that just won their first game in a long time setting out on a road trip and playing in their first game. This is a whacky line and I am taking the fishy team and rolling against the public. I knew that there would be good crumbs on this one two days ago when I talked about it

Jimbo42 · 04-21-09, 09:37 AM

A couple of series plays for today:

Booked:

NY Mets +130 for the series

Texas Rangers +170 for the series (last time on the road winless..things like that flip)

ploben · 04-21-09, 09:41 AM

The TOR game opened at -230 and is now @ -240 at some popular books. Where is the RLM you are talking about? Tough to go against a strong pitcher with and offense that will back him up. Hot teams stay hot. I mean, you are sort of riding this with DET, going 7-3 in their last 10...or at least that's how i read it in your write up. Now I know you have a thing about vig so what about taking the TOR RL?

ploben · 04-21-09, 09:43 AM

Originally posted by Jimbo42

Texas Rangers +170 for the series (last time on the road winless..things like that flip)

Again, TEX has not won a game on the road and TOR has been lighting it up, and now behind Halladay today. Seems like you are going against 2 streaks that are deciding the fair price for TOR @ -230/-240. I don't know about laying that kind of chalk but the RL seems like a good trade off @ -110.

Either way, BOL.

JColli32 · 04-21-09, 10:05 AM

why arent u on the phils big again CK?

JColli32 · 04-21-09, 10:05 AM

o shit nevermind its the brewers now....not the padres

Chi_archie · 04-21-09, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by Willie Bee

Gentlemen, and little boys if that might apply in some cases, I've just taken out the garbage from yesterday's thread and really don't want to have to come in and clean up the childish, petty stuff again. So either talk baseball in this forum, or don't say anything. Thanks.

Willie, does your wife get you to take out the trash even 5% as much as we do round here?

Jimbo42 · 04-21-09, 10:22 AM

What up!

Booked:

Florida -128

Kansas City +160

San Francisco +105

LA Dodgers -1.5 runs even

GL to everyone!

KillaBeesSwarmin · 04-21-09, 10:26 AM

Laffey is getting that kind of line because in 5 starts against KC he's thrown 29 2/3 innings with a 2.73 ERA and 1.18 whip.

thegenix · 04-21-09, 10:26 AM

What site do you guys use for seeing what the public is betting? I have been using CaribSports but I wasn't sure if those were the stats just for that site or not.

solobass · 04-21-09, 10:44 AM

only play of the day for me.....

Tigers -105

solobass · 04-21-09, 10:56 AM

check that......laying the wood on the tigers today. once i looked at how swiss cheese the angels D is and
the pitching matchup, plus slow bats for the angels makes for a compelling case.

peterpan19 · 04-21-09, 11:05 AM

5 games for me today:

cle -1 -132
phi -1 +111
tx +192
lad -1 -136
det +101

GL

mcbaseball10 · 04-21-09, 11:11 AM

Gen, I use SportsInsights
Twominutewarning

solobass · 04-21-09, 11:20 AM

damn you peterpan and your superior +101 odds!

ASH0479 · 04-21-09, 11:28 AM

.....

Tigers
Philly over
Marlins

BOL

repski · 04-21-09, 12:00 PM

Early Leans....

Washington +110
The Braves have dropped six of the last seven games. Washington has a miserable record but the Nationals have won two of the last five games and two losses came in extra innings. Washington has the fourth best batting average in baseball at .288. Shairon Martis has not lost in his two starts for Washington this season.
The home team has won nine of the last eleven in this series.....and we're getting crumbs

Dodgers -1.5 -120
Astros offense is BRUTAL. Dodgers TEAM BA is .302...w/o Manny hitting much.....

Detroit -110
Galarraga went 1-0 with a 1.88 ERA in two starts against the Angels last season. Galarraga scattered four hits with five strikeouts in 6 1-3 innings of a 9-0 win over Chicago on Wednesday, that was after he allowed one run and five hits with 9 KO's over the Rangers. LA will be without Vladimir Guerrero, who is out with a pectoral injury and they don't have much offense w/o him. Gallaraga is streaky....I'll ride him...

TheCommish · 04-21-09, 12:14 PM

No Halladay love in this thread? He's one of the most consistent pitchers in the league (if not, the most). Halladay has the most wins of all pitchers dating back to 2002, all the while playing for a team that hasn't made it into the post season. Now he finally has some decent bats to support him.

I think Toronto takes this one, easy.

Smith · 04-21-09, 12:14 PM

Couldnt agree more with the Dodgers and Tigers. And CK, i like where your head is with Texas. They have some big sticks in that lineup and just need a close game to win it late.
See my wright up at Winners Circle.

t-bone · 04-21-09, 12:25 PM

CK, great call on the Texas TT this evening.....Halladay and the Blue Jays bullpen have to be near perfect in order to keep this Texas lineup under 3 runs. My book offers TEXAS TEAM TOTAL OVER 3 @ -115 odds.

Bet with confindence

Good luck gents

kmarinouofm · 04-21-09, 12:28 PM

agreed.. sorry i haven't been posting baseball picks lately but i kinda just went even this weekend and didn't want anyone following a break even day...

CK you know I love them team totals.. and I am all over the Texas one !!!

shoebox · 04-21-09, 12:32 PM

final plays

blue jays aka mr doc Halladay -1.5 -110 3 units
oakland +235 3 units
braves -135 5 units

I want the free chicken dinner from doc, ill take it $$

ploben · 04-21-09, 01:33 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

final plays

blue jays aka mr doc Halladay -1.5 -110 3 units

I want the free chicken dinner from doc, ill take it $$

Exactly how I feel

CUAIrish · 04-21-09, 01:57 PM

I got Det at +1.5 +155. Went Heavy on it. Pretty sure that should've been -1.5 +155

wangichu · 04-21-09, 04:14 PM

widdled down the final card...

LAD -1.5 (got at +110)
SEA ML
DET ML

TheLemonDropKid · 04-21-09, 04:22 PM

Originally posted by wangichu

widdled down the final card...

LAD -1.5 (got at +110)
SEA ML
DET ML

I love it.....all of our cards should look just like this everyday.

Mine is:
FL -135
LAD -160
COL +110

rb4033 · 04-21-09, 04:31 PM

ck you are serious? TEXAS?? fade the texas.. garbage pitcher,garbage team, garbage manager, garbage bats..