MLB - Monday, 10/19/15

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Play Monday

Royals / Blue Jays UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)


YTD: 535-493-26, +92.73

Regular Season: 523-486-26, +87.18
Playoffs: 12-7, +5.55

[eddycash]

-120 still ok?

[LT Profits]

-120 still ok?

That is as high as I would go on the 8, but I'd actually prefer Under 7.5 at +105 or more.

[eddycash]

Thanks LT. It's odd that the public isn't on the over. How do you feel about the ff total under 4?

[BlueJaysNation]

Hey LT! thoughts on KC ML?

Why is Cueto at +151? KC has a better pitcher, better defense, better bullpen.

[funnyb25]

Hey LT! thoughts on KC ML?

Why is Cueto at +151? KC has a better pitcher, better defense, better bullpen.

Not sure they do have the better pitcher

[LT Profits]

Hey LT! thoughts on KC ML?

Why is Cueto at +151? KC has a better pitcher, better defense, better bullpen.

Yeah, starters are close to even IF the Cueto was saw last time was for real. If he goes back to regular season Cueto, then Stroman is better.

I forgot to mention that Toronto is a 60%er today at 62% (-163). No value either way right now.

[Vinnie Paz]

Lt no hockey picks today?

[eddycash]

Today's hockey is too tough

[eddycash]

Think this under might hit -115 before game time?

[LT Profits]

Lt no hockey picks today?

No does not look like it.

[LT Profits]

Think this under might hit -115 before game time?

Possible based on seeing 56% of bets on the Over, but looks like some RLM going on, especially Heritage going to 7.5.

[eddycash]

thanks for the heads up i grabbed it at -115 just now, does the RLM concern you?

[McDabs]

Impressive #'s for the season... Nice work

[LT Profits]

thanks for the heads up i grabbed it at -115 just now, does the RLM concern you?

Why should it, it is suggesting Under is the sharp side.

[BankrollMafia]

=[ it went WAYY over...sigh.

[dect6.0]

Why should it, it is suggesting Under is the sharp side.

you jinxed yourself with the S word. you have been around long enough to not believe in the sharp/square nonsense.

[LT Profits]

Well, no need to sweat this one out.

And dect6.0, sharp/square theory is not nonsense. Contrary to what conspiracy theorists want you to believe, the ONLY thing that moves lines (barring late injury news) is money, so whenever RLM exists, it almost always means the sharps/whales moved the line. That does NOT mean they always win of course, I have won quite a few bets this year where RLM suggested I was doomed.

[Ralphie1412]

If sharps are always moving the line for RLM, then they got buried this year in baseball. RLM against you was a good thing this year. Fading 20 cent moves was gold.

[LT Profits]

If sharps are always moving the line for RLM, then they got buried this year in baseball. RLM against you was a good thing this year. Fading 20 cent moves was gold.

Correct, it was a bad year for MLB whales.