CK'Daily Baseball Leans Saturday 4/18/09 Crumbs Day

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    CK'Daily Baseball Leans Saturday 4/18/09 Crumbs Day
    I am going for Crumbs only all day in baseball. I don't have a lot of time to do write ups right now, but I think that I have picked a couple of goodies. The season is just starting. And we have a long way to go. The starting line is not far off in the distance. I have whiskey mixed with my blood so I can't do my ordinary write ups tonight.

    Breakfast Play: A's+115 or more. Tallet has not done nything to deserve being a -135 starter. I have to go the other way on this one and take the most unlikely thing, and that would be the Jays *(Media Darlings) losing to a seemingly inferior team. Homer pick. I am a day game baseball package subsrcriber and fan. But this is the right call for all the wrong reasons.

    A's+115 or more

    All that I know is that Wang is due for a correction and the new stadium will be rockin' on the first Saturday game in new Yanko Stadium. Carmona gives up too many walks and has a horrible pick off move. Combine that with an umpireknown for having games go over the total and you have the makings of a New York style blowout. I am going for the juggular. Run line for me please.

    Yanks+140 Run Line Crumbs Play-O-The-Day

    The Brewers are facing a pitcher who has a horrid record in games where he is favored by more than -160 (Santana) So while they will be rocking in Yankee Stadium, they will be booing in New Shea Stadium (or whatever the hell it's called) because the Brewers hit lefties well and Santana is most definitely a lefty. The Brew Crew will be laughing when this one is over.

    Brewers+150
    Brewers-1.5 +230

    Kevin Millwood will stop the losing streak. The Rangers can't win unless they outscore the opponent. Whatever homes. They got blown the f*ck out in front of their wives and kids yesterday 12-3 by the Royals. That won't set well with the Missus. And food was hard to hold down last night at the table. She gave him some pussy anyway. He comes to the park today with a smile on his face. This one will get out of hand VERY quickly.

    Rangers +145 1st half
    Rangers+155 Run Line (Heavy)
    Rangers team total over 5 +100

    The Twins are about to pound on the Angels again folks. So you might as wll get used to the idea. The public money is on the Angels in this game so far, but the line is increasing. The loss yesterday was very demoralizing and a loss like that takes time to get over. The Twins don't care about their feelings. They have enough problems of their own. All of the otdoor teams playing indoor problems contributed to the Angels demise yesterday. They are not used to playing indoors or on carpet and that is a double whammy. Throw in the Twins desperation for wins after a rough stretch and you have the recipe for Beat down #2.


    Twins-128 HEAVY


    And I wish that one of our boys from our old home would go over there and tell Colonel Jim to come over here and pay me a visit, even if it is just a cameo.

    Welcome to Crumbville homies!
  • The_Kid
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-09-08
    • 5049

    #2
    Originally posted by cocknocker
    Kevin Millwood will stop the losing streak. The Rangers can't win unless they outscore the opponent.
    Looks like Greinke's scoreless inning streak won't last much longer.
    Comment
    • jellobiafra
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-08-09
      • 6291

      #3
      Originally posted by cocknocker
      ...and Santana is most definitely a lefty



      Dude, these picks are giving me serious reason for pause. I was leaning the other way on all 3 to be honest. I almost locked up NYM R/L with a M/L insurance, until I got to the confirm screen and saw it was Gallardo and NOT Suppan who was listed on covers. And as for the Yankees, Wang is just Wrong right now. Something ain't right with that guy. Carmona blows...yes. Maybe the over in that one, but I don't want anything to do with Wang. I wasn't planning on touching that game. I also was really liking Grienke tomorrow as a slight dog. That kid is turning into a legit ace.

      I don't know man.

      I like CIN with Harang as a dog playing a terrible HOU team. I like CWS with Buhrle as a dog at a sruggling Rays.


      I've learned better than to fade you already, so I guess I might just be laying off these game. Good luck.
      Comment
      • IfDntmk$itDntmkc
        SBR Rookie
        • 04-17-09
        • 31

        #4
        Jello Grienke will get his lit tomorrow night. I will be there and fully expect Ian Kinsler to drive in 3 runs himself. Millwood is in a contract year and has really taken Nolan Ryan's workout regimine seriously. Finally the Rangers score runs like a slow pitch softball team. The fact that Miche held them to 3 tonight only signifies they are due to put up 8 or 9 tomorrow night.

        I am not too confident in Wang but I say Carmona against the Rangers and he is not right either. He gives up too many runners per 9. I am rolling with the master CK on this one.

        I actually looked at Mil before Ck posted it. Gallardo is a great young pitcher and the Mets are not on their stride yet. This is a good value even though Santana is hard to play against.
        Comment
        • jellobiafra
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-08-09
          • 6291

          #5
          Alright, I'm rolling with on the Yankees. I was backing Wang on an under last time out and it seriously blew up in my face. Maybe tomorrow is the game he gets it straight. I'll trust your gut on that one.
          Comment
          • jellobiafra
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-08-09
            • 6291

            #6
            I was on Gallardo last game heavy against the Reds and he got LIT UP. Gave up a 5-1 lead in the 3rd. Still bitter.


            Alright, fvck it. I'll go along for the full ride.

            But I'm still liking CIN and CWS. Somebody talk me out of those...?
            Comment
            • texhooper
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-05-09
              • 10001

              #7
              Originally posted by IfDntmk$itDntmkc
              Jello Grienke will get his lit tomorrow night.
              number 1-this is funny

              number 2-i love how you didn't buckle under the pressure to change your name in an effort to make it shorter and more readable. for real, congrats.

              i like the rangers tomorrow. take care everyone.
              Comment
              • kmarinouofm
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-26-09
                • 8437

                #8
                i am with you on the rangers team total cocknocker..

                also think the brew crew will have a team total of 3 tomorrow... that is also a play i love for tomorrow...
                Comment
                • kmarinouofm
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 8437

                  #9
                  early leans for saturday ...

                  marlins over 4.5 (booked)
                  tampa over 3.5 / 4
                  yankees over 5 (booked)
                  boston over 4.5
                  padres over 3.5
                  oakland over 4 (booked)
                  rangers over 5
                  brewers over 3 (booked)

                  added rockies over 3.5 (booked)
                  Comment
                  • cocknocker
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-06-08
                    • 8001

                    #10
                    I have to back the A's in the game tomorrow against the Jays. WTF has Tallet ever done to get a close to -150 line(-135). Jays lose two in a row. I have to add this to my big board. I just can't pass up good crumbs. I want my Crumbs to be like winning 1.5 games when I win 1 game and like 3 when I win 2 games, and so on...

                    A's+115 or more. Breakfast play
                    Comment
                    • Alexander
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 08-17-08
                      • 223

                      #11
                      Gallardo wins tomorrow!
                      Comment
                      • Alexander
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 08-17-08
                        • 223

                        #12
                        Johan sanntana wil get buigknock early in the game
                        Comment
                        • Alexander
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 08-17-08
                          • 223

                          #13
                          The big one for tomorrow is Cubsss
                          Comment
                          • cocknocker
                            Restricted User
                            • 11-06-08
                            • 8001

                            #14
                            Man those Blue Jays totals lines sure have gotten high these days. I think that the line maker is "awarding" them a new norm. The unders for their games will start hitting from out of nowhere soon. But they are up near the top of the power rankings. That's all that i need for fading equipment
                            Comment
                            • Alexander
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 08-17-08
                              • 223

                              #15
                              Tranquilo cock nocker jaj que bonito nombre cock nocker mañana ganan os phillies y los cachorros de la chicago jaja!
                              Comment
                              • Alexander
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 08-17-08
                                • 223

                                #16
                                Opinions my dear?
                                Comment
                                • Alexander
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-17-08
                                  • 223

                                  #17
                                  Friend?
                                  Comment
                                  • danrman
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-30-08
                                    • 2696

                                    #18
                                    a's play-dont know
                                    yankees-they are the national game on fox.. yankees +national tv =lame
                                    brewers-love it.. the mets take on st l. next on the road.. they will win sunday but not saturday
                                    rangers-love it... this already was my biggest play of the day
                                    minn-risky.. ck you got lucky last night.. picking on a wounded team is dangerous but maybe the angels piching just down right sux and until they get their horses back it could be a very down period...
                                    Comment
                                    • danrman
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-30-08
                                      • 2696

                                      #19
                                      5 dollar parlay to win 200.. its a long shot but hey its 5 bucks
                                      mil+155
                                      ariz+151
                                      balt+250
                                      tex-117
                                      Comment
                                      • wangichu
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-07-08
                                        • 946

                                        #20
                                        with you on the A's i've been playing the A's with cahill on the mound to the tune of 2 for 2, and given that i like him and that the jays are probably in for a correction with the public throwing money at rookie pitchers despite heavy juice. Jays don't have the rotation to keep doing what they've been doing. Their offense is what is consistent on that team, the pitching, save halladay, is all young, and litsch is the only other pitcher with more than a full season on the team.

                                        OAK ML

                                        riding the aces of the two best teams in the NL (imo) billingsley and johnson should minimize the damage while their teams hitting talent takes advantage of the ace's inferior opposing pitcher. Both at plus money now, might not be by morning

                                        LAD -1.5
                                        FLA -1.5

                                        riding Harang situationally this year and on the road against the number 2 of one of the worst teams in the league at the moment. I'll take cincy to grab a pair and houston to avoid the sweep.

                                        CIN ML

                                        tailing your milwaukee play, i see a few supporting angles.

                                        MIL ML

                                        and i want to see something happen with that line, but i will check for movement in the morning and take it if i like it. Lohse at +120 is a pretty good bargain imho.

                                        STL ML (lean)
                                        Comment
                                        • suicidekings
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-23-09
                                          • 9962

                                          #21
                                          Lots of good games on saturday...

                                          ATL (+100)
                                          @ PIT
                                          - Even though they let me down on Friday, I have to go with the Braves here vs Ian Snell, who should never be the favourite... ever. If ever a team was given a chance to break a losing skid, this is it.

                                          SD (+158) @ PHI
                                          - The notion that the Padres can't hit didn't stop them from putting up 8 runs on Friday. Myers isn't that good of a pitcher, and I think that overall, the Phillies are going to be a constant disappointment this year.

                                          BAL (+230) @ BOS, OVER 9.5 (-105)
                                          - BOS @ -270.... This one is pretty much just on principle. The pressure is on to get themselves out of the cellar of the AL East, and CK's big list shows that Beckett is among the worst pitchers in big chalk situations.

                                          KC (+103) @ TEX
                                          - Despite the 0-1 record, Grienke was lights out against TEX last year. I like the under in this game as well, but it's already dropped from 10 to 9, and I can't really go for an under in Arlington without thinking I'm making a mistake... ha.

                                          TB (-160) / SF (-165) / LA -165) - ML Parlay (+319)
                                          - I really like Kazmir, Lincecum, and Billingsley to have big days, but the individual prices are steep. We'll see how it goes.
                                          Comment
                                          • smoovethug
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 09-08-07
                                            • 62

                                            #22
                                            I like what you've got going for today CK. Any thoughts on these plays as well?

                                            CIN +105

                                            Harang has been pitching very well so far and the Astros bats are ice cold. Wandy usually pitches well at home but he is vulnerable to putting men on via the walk. Wandy also struggles to go deep into games and HOU is going to have troubles closing games since it looks like Valverde isn't 100%.

                                            SD +155
                                            SD/PHI over 9.5 -105

                                            I'm a Philly homer but there is absolutely no reason why Myers should be this big of a chalk. He's vulnerable to the HR ball (6 in his first 2 starts) in a small ballpark vs the hot hitting Pads. Shawn Hill has had some success vs the Phils from his days with the Nationals. Padres have no lefties on their staff which bodes well for the power lefties of PHI.

                                            LAA/MIN over 9 -105

                                            Darren Oliver? Really? Dude hasn't started a game since 2004. I can't see him going too deep into the game and the Angels pen hasn't been pitching well at all lately. Slowey is a hittable pitcher who hasn't hit his stride yet. Don't even get me started on the Twins pen. I see both pitchers getting chased early and both pens getting smoked.
                                            Comment
                                            • redore33
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 02-09-09
                                              • 198

                                              #23
                                              Like Grienke here, tho Tx bats ARE tough. Also LAD & Billingsly, fav of day Marlins & Johnson & U, Sea. U! BOL to all!!
                                              Comment
                                              • CUAIrish
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 01-12-09
                                                • 122

                                                #24
                                                Up and at em early here and off to the Mets game today. I've enjoyed hopping on with you this week CK but won't be riding with you today with exception to Oakland.

                                                Booked:
                                                FLA -1.5 +105
                                                CIN +110
                                                LAD -1.5 +130
                                                OAK +120
                                                LAA +110
                                                BAL +240!

                                                Comment
                                                • peterpan19
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-02-08
                                                  • 3377

                                                  #25
                                                  really bad day yesterday...
                                                  only a few plays early to get back on track and I will bet them big today...
                                                  FLA -1
                                                  NYM -1
                                                  NYY -1

                                                  later games...probably: TX -1 (should have one on friday...will win today...); DET (Jackson is always good against SEA)

                                                  GL

                                                  and for nba: bos -8, dal +4.5 and hou +4.5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • repski
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-01-09
                                                    • 1929

                                                    #26
                                                    Just an FYI....The Phillies are honoring Kalas ALL day today...his casket is on the fiield as I write this and the linde of fans is HUGE!! I think the Phils will be emotionally spent and Brett Myers @ -190 is a HUGE overlay...take the streaking Padres...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • repski
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-01-09
                                                      • 1929

                                                      #27
                                                      I'm also on
                                                      Fla -165....Josh Johnson is pitching as well as anyone in the NL and a lefty vs FLA RH lineup wll get slaughtered
                                                      NYY -1.5 +145.....riding CK's Wang on this one...
                                                      BOS -1.5 -135....Becket vs Adam "damn" Eaton (I can't believe he's still in the bigs)....

                                                      leaning Cin and Harang getting crumbs +110
                                                      Comment
                                                      • peterpan19
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-02-08
                                                        • 3377

                                                        #28
                                                        repski
                                                        yeah Eaton is horrible...but still the RL for Bos is -123 on my book...I guess I will see how the Yanks, the Mets and the Marlins do early on... as for the Marlins I will play the -1 RL instead of the ML to reduce the juice...

                                                        GL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SoonerGreg
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-16-08
                                                          • 825

                                                          #29
                                                          Early Action:
                                                          Braves -110 @ Pirates: My reasoning may be a little skewed but I have a hard time seeing a Bobby Cox lead team drop 5 in a row. I think they break the skid in this spot.

                                                          Brewers +160 @ Mets: I was initially leaning towards the Mets but trust CK's MLB capping more than mine. This is nothing more than a tailgating. Afterall betting plus ML games is how you can have a losing record and still be up units.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • oBaMa_MaNiA
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-20-09
                                                            • 1067

                                                            #30
                                                            CK, I'm not much of the Baseball capper so sticking to NBA. Just a query, what do you mean by the following?


                                                            Me: Play home teams 1st quarter bets on opening games in the opposing cities only.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RoagBettor
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-20-09
                                                              • 8355

                                                              #31
                                                              CK, I'm getting some good lines at BetUS with these games:

                                                              Brewers RL +215
                                                              Brewers ML +160
                                                              Yankees RL +150
                                                              Rangers RL +155
                                                              Rangers Team Total over 4.5 -115
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheLemonDropKid
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-02-09
                                                                • 1501

                                                                #32
                                                                CK........can you believe that ending to the Twinkies game last night??? That was incredible!!

                                                                Hey Jimbo.......where you at bro?

                                                                Wanna make sure I'm getting these crucial last plays correct....

                                                                Lookin' like there's no real NBA picks except maybe the DET/CLE Under according to Pho3nix......and maybe the HOU game later according to CK.

                                                                Lookin' like a small play is in order for OAK, NYY -1.5, and MIL for early MLB games according to CK. Looks like we should be going heavy on TEX later on.

                                                                What you got Jimbo......I wanna make sure all the stars allign before I pull the trigger.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kmarinouofm
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                                  • 8437

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Saturday's Team totals

                                                                  team totals for today

                                                                  oakland over 4 loss
                                                                  marlins over 4.5 win
                                                                  yankees over 5
                                                                  Rockies over 3.5
                                                                  Atlanta over 4 loss
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pronk
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 11-22-08
                                                                    • 6887

                                                                    #34
                                                                    G'day fellas. Take a look at this...

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Jimbo42
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                                      • 2076

                                                                      #35
                                                                      What up! Early plays...
                                                                      Booked:

                                                                      Atlanta -110
                                                                      Toronto -120 (small)

                                                                      GL to all
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...