MLB - Thursday, 10/15/15

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Thursday, 10/15/15
    1 MLB Play Thursday

    Mets / Dodgers UNDER 3 +105 (5 innings) (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 531-492-26, +89.73

    Regular Season: 523-486-26, +87.18
    Playoffs: 8-6, +2.55
  • Brooklyn Dick
    SBR MVP
    • 09-12-08
    • 1068

    #2
    You really robbed on this price.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick
      You really robbed on this price.
      That's why I played it! Now hopefully the teams cooperate.
      Comment
      • brellis23
        SBR Sharp
        • 05-06-14
        • 301

        #4
        I like this play, both pitchers have been dealing. Any thoughts on which team advances tonight LT
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by brellis23
          I like this play, both pitchers have been dealing. Any thoughts on which team advances tonight LT
          Lean Mets at the price. But just a lean for now.

          In fact, at current markets, I'd have no plays at all right now. I would want no worse than -105 for my 5-inning total.
          Comment
          • 44 Mag
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 10-14-13
            • 34490

            #6
            Good Morning, forgetting the odds for a moment, who do you personally think wins this game ???
            Comment
            • brellis23
              SBR Sharp
              • 05-06-14
              • 301

              #7
              Thanks for your input LT and best of luck. I can't go against Greinke at home, going with Dodgers.
              Comment
              • trobin31
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-09-14
                • 9853

                #8
                Still need to look at some more things, but, so far I have degrom getting lit up LT.
                Comment
                • rpesi9955
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-08-15
                  • 1536

                  #9
                  It's going to be a good one but the Mets look like the better choice here.
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 44 Mag
                    Good Morning, forgetting the odds for a moment, who do you personally think wins this game ???
                    Mets. Similar to Game 1 vs. Kershaw, deGrom keeps game tied or maybe within one run until bullpens get involved.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by trobin31
                      Still need to look at some more things, but, so far I have degrom getting lit up LT.
                      Why should he be? He never is and he dominated Dodgers once already this series.
                      Comment
                      • Terps1993
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 07-28-14
                        • 168

                        #12
                        Originally posted by trobin31
                        Still need to look at some more things, but, so far I have degrom getting lit up LT.
                        What could possibly tell you that he's going to get LIT UP tonight. His 2 starts vs LAD 14 2/3 IP 0 R 22 Ks?
                        Comment
                        • riffraff24
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-20-11
                          • 7234

                          #13
                          Repeat performances like that are a lot more difficult than they seem. Especially when guys get to see him more. Dodgers have 57 total at bats against him including last game. Seager gonna take pom pom head deep!!
                          Comment
                          • trobin31
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-09-14
                            • 9853

                            #14
                            Still have to look at more things, but, looks like degrom while he had a great performance he was in some trouble almost every inning early in gm1. His strikeout rate was phenomenal and able to pitch around a couple of big swing and miss guys in key moments. One of those guys in particular, Joc pederson has been replaced by a more capable kiki hernandez. Certinaly dont expect to see carl crawford being dragged back out there either tonight. Line drive rate was rather high for degrom him along a ground ball/fly ball rate much lower. Lad went 1-8 w/ risp that game as well. Now doubt there is good reason why dodgers got no- hit twice in 10days by rhp with great sliders (Arrieta/Fiers) and degrom seems to fit that mold nicely. Bottom line though despite having great swing and miss stuff last time out degrom was in plenty of trouble early last game. If it were not for line drives being hit to infielders/outfielders different game. Also I think approach will be much different for dodger hitters who worked counts early and got on base but then got antsy and swung out of zone or hit line drives as above. Lot of young guys hadnt seen degrom before like seager and kiki whom i think might be able to have some success & now getting a second look in less than a week. So, we'll see if jake looks as good this time around but expect some regression from the last performance. Degrom one of my favorite pitchers but I think it's gonna be much harder to repeat that performance tonight. Grienke we all know can get hit early but tends to settle in as well.
                            Comment
                            • eddycash
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-06-13
                              • 4527

                              #15
                              so mets at +140 is no value? I thought the line would be lower
                              Comment
                              • rpesi9955
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-08-15
                                • 1536

                                #16
                                Going to be pitching that wins this game. Under is The best bet here.
                                Comment
                                • eddycash
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-06-13
                                  • 4527

                                  #17
                                  Too worried on the under, way too many bets there
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94379

                                    #18
                                    Mets are done.
                                    Comment
                                    • brellis23
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 05-06-14
                                      • 301

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                      Mets are done.
                                      You said you're betting on mets in your postseason plays thread???
                                      Comment
                                      • brellis23
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 05-06-14
                                        • 301

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                        Mets are done.
                                        Don't put that evil on me lakerboy I already took Dodgers when you released your mets play a few days ago
                                        Comment
                                        • Terps1993
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 07-28-14
                                          • 168

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by trobin31
                                          Still have to look at more things, but, looks like degrom while he had a great performance he was in some trouble almost every inning early in gm1. His strikeout rate was phenomenal and able to pitch around a couple of big swing and miss guys in key moments. One of those guys in particular, Joc pederson has been replaced by a more capable kiki hernandez. Certinaly dont expect to see carl crawford being dragged back out there either tonight. Line drive rate was rather high for degrom him along a ground ball/fly ball rate much lower. Lad went 1-8 w/ risp that game as well. Now doubt there is good reason why dodgers got no- hit twice in 10days by rhp with great sliders (Arrieta/Fiers) and degrom seems to fit that mold nicely. Bottom line though despite having great swing and miss stuff last time out degrom was in plenty of trouble early last game. If it were not for line drives being hit to infielders/outfielders different game. Also I think approach will be much different for dodger hitters who worked counts early and got on base but then got antsy and swung out of zone or hit line drives as above. Lot of young guys hadnt seen degrom before like seager and kiki whom i think might be able to have some success & now getting a second look in less than a week. So, we'll see if jake looks as good this time around but expect some regression from the last performance. Degrom one of my favorite pitchers but I think it's gonna be much harder to repeat that performance tonight. Grienke we all know can get hit early but tends to settle in as well.
                                          Agree he was in trouble in that game but that was because Cuddyer misplayed 2 easy fly balls which cost deGrom about 25 pitches and a few extra base runners. Conforto will without a doubt he playing LF tonight and I expect DeGrom to throw another gem. The question is will the Mets score off Greinke? Bullpens may decide this one.
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            1 MLB Addition

                                            Now double dipping.

                                            2 MLB Plays Thursday

                                            Mets / Dodgers UNDER 6 -110 (5 Dimes)
                                            Mets / Dodgers UNDER 3 +105 (5 innings) (5 Dimes)
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              Does God Tony know something nobody else does?
                                              Comment
                                              • Yazworm91
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-01-13
                                                • 2397

                                                #24
                                                LT I wanted to get your input yesterday on this total. I jumped on u6 at even money last night.
                                                Comment
                                                • pilebuck13
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-15-15
                                                  • 17918

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                  Does God Tony know something nobody else does?
                                                  Tony knows all bro lol
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                    Tony knows all bro lol
                                                    Strange that they had both plays so off market at time I bet them, now watch teams score 9 runs in first 5 innings.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • rpesi9955
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-08-15
                                                      • 1536

                                                      #27
                                                      Whoever Lakerboy is on loses.Thats just the way things have been going.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pilebuck13
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 05-15-15
                                                        • 17918

                                                        #28
                                                        we'll see lt, go mets !!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mikmik
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 05-13-12
                                                          • 5457

                                                          #29
                                                          Unreal, wtf it's playoffs and too many bone head mistakes
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #30
                                                            I'll take the nothing split considering how this game started.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • eddycash
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-06-13
                                                              • 4527

                                                              #31
                                                              first time you didn't answer my question today, we could have convinced ourselves to take the mets +140
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LT Profits
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-27-06
                                                                • 90963

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by eddycash
                                                                first time you didn't answer my question today, we could have convinced ourselves to take the mets +140
                                                                Sorry, line was practically same as model - Dodgers 58% (-138)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LT Profits
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                                  • 90963

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Was very busy all day today, every sport in the world is going on.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pilebuck13
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 05-15-15
                                                                    • 17918

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Can't believe the under held wild man was leaning under 8.5 for blue jays tomorrow but it's juiced to high hell
                                                                    Comment
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