STLou -450 for WS but is a Dog next 3 games

[Sam Odom]

Assuming of course there will be 3 more games.

Riding StLou seems good.

[SBR_John]

Maybe one of the guru's can break down the math but if I were a bridge jumper I might give that -450 a look. They have their entire pitching staff in perfect shape and they have proved they can hit Detroits best starters except for Rodgers.

[Sam Odom]

John I edited my post. I really dont want anyone following the "Logic" I posted. If I do it and lose than it's ok... LOL

[isetcap]

Maybe one of the guru's can break down the math but if I were a bridge jumper I might give that -450 a look. They have their entire pitching staff in perfect shape and they have proved they can hit Detroits best starters except for Rodgers.

They should just start Rogers for the next 3. No way his arm gets tired serving up that junk. I'll go way out on a limb here and say that if the Cardinals don't win tonight, they won't win the Series.

[isetcap]

Sam the Editor. I saw your little formula.

[Sam Odom]

I'll go way out on a limb here and say that if the Cardinals don't win tonight, they won't win the Series.

Then you have a nice betting set-up with Cards a dog tonight and Tigers a dog for Series.

[Sam Odom]

Sam the Editor. I saw your little formula.

Yeah, I'm not ashame of it but is a bit risky. Dont want someone else (newbie) to do it tho

[isetcap]

Then you have a nice betting set-up with Cards a dog tonight and Tigers a dog for Series.

That's right. Tonight's the night I retire from this grind.

[DrSlamm]

if you want to assume that the tigers are -120 all 3 games (that is about what they are tonight) then the odds of them winning all 3 games is (6/11)^3 = .16228 which then = somewhere in the neighborhood of +425

If the tigers are actually MORE favored in the next 2 games (which seems likely) that + # is in reality even smaller

[RickySteve]

Carpenter and Suppan on the road on short rest. Cards' better pray Weaver's deal with the devil hasn't expired by tonight.

[Sam Odom]

DrSlamm, if Det wins tonite Kenny Rogers will be around -180 at home

[isetcap]

Carpenter and Suppan on the road on short rest. Cards' better pray Weaver's deal with the devil hasn't expired by tonight.

I couldn't have said it better. I'm not sure any team has ever felt better about being in a 3-1 hole than Detroit in this series.

[rm18]

DrSlamm, if Det wins tonite Kenny Rogers will be around -180 at home

, and the total will be O/U 3.5 then I guess also

[Sam Odom]

Ov 7.5 -105
Un 7.5 -115

[rm18]

sorry didn't realize they moved carpenter back, probably a good move by them though

[pags11]

St. Louis looks pretty good right now...

[Sam Odom]

after the fact i guess it doesnt matter if you bet 95 to win 100 or 450 to win the same 100

[slacker00]

after the fact i guess it doesnt matter if you bet 95 to win 100 or 450 to win the same 100

If you bet 450, you could've won 500.