What's up gang? 9-0 last nine posted plays look for yourself if you want
Anyways let's get to the picks
Indians / Twins OVER 8 -110
The Twins are still somehow 3 games behind the Astros for the #2 AL Wild Card, dropping five of their last six - avoiding sweeps by the Tigers and the Angels. The Indians though, are just 1.5 games behind the Twins though - and although the NL wild card seems settled, this American League is still a race. We could easily watch the Yankees lose the next two vs the Blue jays and (hopefully) get swept by the White Sox and watch someone else claim that #2 spot. Tonight we have Ervin santana for the Twins who has given up an average of 4.3 runs in his last four home starts - but is 5-0 on the OVER at Home this season. Ervin is also 2-0 on the over when playing Division opponents. Danny Salazar though has allowed 15 runs over his previous four starts - but did just bounce back for a nice 4 hit 1ER game vs a solid Royal lineup. Salazar though has allowed 2 or more earned runs in his last three road starts (DET 6ER, TOR 2ER, NYY4ER). Danny is known for is strike outs, but he's a for sure for a few earned runs. Then we have to consider the team whose 5th in runs in the last 7 days and 7th in OPS% and their production. A top trend to consider is the Twins are 13-2 on the OVER when coming off a Home Win, on 1 days rest, playing at home and it's the First Game of the Series. And those losses come back to 09 and `10 and that trend goes back to 2007. Last few situations have been against strike out known pitchers, too. But talking about the twins in their last 7 days, the Cleveland Indians have actually put up BETTER numbers 3rd in runs and 3rd in OPS% with 47/.368. Although we have two decent inning eater pitchers on the bump, we can expect the bats to put up the runs tonight.
Orioles / Nationals OVER 8 -110
Also going to put some focus into the Orioles at Nationals game...although we slowly watched the Orioles fall out of the Wild Card race, they're still putting up runs at cashing in on the OVER during the month of September with an 12-6 record. I mentioned the last 7 days worth of play in the previous write up; more impressively the Washington Nationals are #2 in runs during the past seven days posting 56 on the scoreboard. Consider in this matchup that both these pitches couldn't even go further than 5 3/4 in each of their last three starts. The top trend in the game for me is the Orioles are 7-1 on the OVER when playing AT Nationals and that trend goes back to 2011 (9-4 since 2010.) The Nationals are 6-4 on the over when Tanner Roark starts, and a whopping 2-8 straight up in the last 10 games when Tanner Roark pitches in the game. Was previously back in the bullpen the last two months - with this being his fourth start back in the rotation. The numbers point to the over along the with hot Nationals bats.
Good luck boys ill see you after the games.....
Anyways let's get to the picks
Indians / Twins OVER 8 -110
The Twins are still somehow 3 games behind the Astros for the #2 AL Wild Card, dropping five of their last six - avoiding sweeps by the Tigers and the Angels. The Indians though, are just 1.5 games behind the Twins though - and although the NL wild card seems settled, this American League is still a race. We could easily watch the Yankees lose the next two vs the Blue jays and (hopefully) get swept by the White Sox and watch someone else claim that #2 spot. Tonight we have Ervin santana for the Twins who has given up an average of 4.3 runs in his last four home starts - but is 5-0 on the OVER at Home this season. Ervin is also 2-0 on the over when playing Division opponents. Danny Salazar though has allowed 15 runs over his previous four starts - but did just bounce back for a nice 4 hit 1ER game vs a solid Royal lineup. Salazar though has allowed 2 or more earned runs in his last three road starts (DET 6ER, TOR 2ER, NYY4ER). Danny is known for is strike outs, but he's a for sure for a few earned runs. Then we have to consider the team whose 5th in runs in the last 7 days and 7th in OPS% and their production. A top trend to consider is the Twins are 13-2 on the OVER when coming off a Home Win, on 1 days rest, playing at home and it's the First Game of the Series. And those losses come back to 09 and `10 and that trend goes back to 2007. Last few situations have been against strike out known pitchers, too. But talking about the twins in their last 7 days, the Cleveland Indians have actually put up BETTER numbers 3rd in runs and 3rd in OPS% with 47/.368. Although we have two decent inning eater pitchers on the bump, we can expect the bats to put up the runs tonight.
Orioles / Nationals OVER 8 -110
Also going to put some focus into the Orioles at Nationals game...although we slowly watched the Orioles fall out of the Wild Card race, they're still putting up runs at cashing in on the OVER during the month of September with an 12-6 record. I mentioned the last 7 days worth of play in the previous write up; more impressively the Washington Nationals are #2 in runs during the past seven days posting 56 on the scoreboard. Consider in this matchup that both these pitches couldn't even go further than 5 3/4 in each of their last three starts. The top trend in the game for me is the Orioles are 7-1 on the OVER when playing AT Nationals and that trend goes back to 2011 (9-4 since 2010.) The Nationals are 6-4 on the over when Tanner Roark starts, and a whopping 2-8 straight up in the last 10 games when Tanner Roark pitches in the game. Was previously back in the bullpen the last two months - with this being his fourth start back in the rotation. The numbers point to the over along the with hot Nationals bats.
Good luck boys ill see you after the games.....
