Flyin Monday's 7:05 Pick

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  • FlyinAir
    SBR MVP
    • 07-14-14
    • 1612

    #1
    Flyin Monday's 7:05 Pick
    What's up gang? Just another day over here, 2-0 yesterday - Read if you please -


    BAL -125

    Finding some value here in the Run Line sitting around +165 at this hour. Reason is the O's just put up 28 runs taking 2 out of 3 from the best team in baseball, almost (KC). No surprise Cueto continued his Kansas City struggles, but the O's snagged a staggering 11 hits, 8 runs - 7 earned off him. The night before (even though they lost) the O's lineup managed to grab 4 earned off Ventura and two later off the bullpen. Clearly having the bats rolling, comes perfect off-set value with Edurda Rodriguez (Bos) coming into town. Rodriguez's last three road starts have been blown out scores with lack of run support from the Red Sox. In Kevin Gausman's few home games the bookmakers had him at over -140 odds vs the Twins and Rays, which is too steep and the range the line is at now sits just right. For you SDQL Code guys; the Red Sox are 6-1 this season when coming off an away win, playing on the road and it's the first game of the series. Orioles RL -1.5 +165 is the bet here though with the bats being consistently hot making a push for the disappearing playoffs (Only 6 games back, but about to gain some ground with Cleveland whose only 4.5 games back from the #2 spot, is about to face KC) Let's see how E.Rodriguez does vs the 3rd best in the homerun category.


    See you boys after the game....
  • RavensFan2k3
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-18-12
    • 17378

    #2
    Interesting pick. I was at the game last night watching my O's smash Cueto. Hopefully they can do it again tonight
    Comment
    • FlyinAir
      SBR MVP
      • 07-14-14
      • 1612

      #3
      Alex Vaile backed up my pick in the SDQL thread with this;

      Originally posted by Alex Vaile
      Play Orioles - 125
      Play Orioles RL + 165
      Play Twins - 151
      Play Twins RL + 135

      F and SG = 1 and season > 2006 and H and SGS = 3 and (day = Monday or day = Tuesday) and -3 < streak < 2 and -7 < o:streak < 5 and p:hits > 6 and 11 > p:runs > 3 and 0 < op:runs < 10 and total > 7.5

      (?? )
      ROI % 16 ML
      ROI % 38 RL
      Comment
      • Alex Vaile
        SBR MVP
        • 04-19-14
        • 3724

        #4
        Let's get it Flyin!
        Comment
        • FlyinAir
          SBR MVP
          • 07-14-14
          • 1612

          #5
          Line closed at -150! That's what I'm talking about ( booked my wager at minus buck and a quarter )
          Comment
          • RavensFan2k3
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-18-12
            • 17378

            #6
            I love it
            Comment
            • FlyinAir
              SBR MVP
              • 07-14-14
              • 1612

              #7
              ...and I love a winner!

              first winner on my wordpress site too! which i won't be promoting here just saying
              Comment
              • mikmik
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-13-12
                • 5457

                #8
                Thanks for the plays
                Comment
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