Early Morning Game Yankees/Houston Under 7.5 (-105)

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  • akphidelt
    SBR MVP
    • 07-24-11
    • 1228

    #1
    Early Morning Game Yankees/Houston Under 7.5 (-105)
    Alright, might be called in to work tomorrow morning so want to get this in now. If not, I'll be here game time.

    But I really like the under here...

    Two low scoring pitchers, McHugh does not give up home runs, Pineda should come out strong after being injured for a month. 14 of their last 17 games have gone under 8 runs total. Including McHugh's last game against the Yankees where he went 8 and gave up 2 hits. I think the game slows down tomorrow after this debacle by the Yankees today. I have a lot of stats going in to the %'s coming out, these are just some of the reasons why the stats show this. But remember, this is just a 63% probability based on my weightings. If Pineda struggles in his first start, this could go down the crapper. I'm assuming the lineups will be similar to yesterday. But I'm banking on him and the Yankees slowing this down and getting outs. Tight 3-2 type game.

    Either way, GL!!!

    Yankees/Astros Under 7.5 (-105)
  • nu to
    SBR Rookie
    • 08-25-15
    • 1

    #2
    I took your pick! Hope we win tomorrow
    Comment
    • alamo
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-21-09
      • 7131

      #3
      Be careful on this dude. You say mchugh doesn't give up home runs but I think Astros are away today as this one is in NY
      Comment
      • ByAnYMe9n$
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-15-10
        • 587

        #4
        They have been away the whole series where have you been
        Comment
        • Spurs2150
          SBR Rookie
          • 05-24-14
          • 4

          #5
          Akphidelt - I don't post much but been tailing you the last week on your picks. Wanted to say Great Job! Loaded up on your Cubs pick last night and the Mets over.

          I agree on your analyst on the Hou/NY game. Under is the play here especially if Pineda slider is working.
          Comment
          • Bbfromgpt
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-24-12
            • 6115

            #6
            Originally posted by alamo
            Be careful on this dude. You say mchugh doesn't give up home runs but I think Astros are away today as this one is in NY
            Houston has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 17 of their last 19 games and the Astros starter has an Era of around 1.67 in his last 4, he just hasn't gotten any run support.

            I lean this way as well
            Comment
            • Hangoverblack
              SBR MVP
              • 01-27-12
              • 1900

              #7
              This looks like it's going to 8. Pubes on over and it's heavily juiced at -125. Waiting for 8. If it never gets there, even better. Would love u7.5 +110 at gametime.
              Comment
              • Bbfromgpt
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-24-12
                • 6115

                #8
                Yankees pitcher is the only thing that worries me. When healthy he's been on a roller coaster ride with his results.
                Comment
                • pacman63
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-08-14
                  • 379

                  #9
                  I have 7.5 even now anyone considering the Yankee team total under instead of game total
                  Comment
                  • BeanTownClown88
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-08-13
                    • 1961

                    #10
                    Anyone else hissing at the computer hoping this inning ends?
                    Comment
                    • jontebond
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-19-12
                      • 2714

                      #11
                      7.5 Is feked, what a horrible inning for the Yankees, nothing worked. Still not over, what a misery!
                      Comment
                      • BeanTownClown88
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-08-13
                        • 1961

                        #12
                        wat a fk job..walks and wild pitchers...come the fk on
                        If this gets to 6+ this inning Im all out of hope
                        Comment
                        • BayArea888
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-03-11
                          • 870

                          #13
                          At least we at survived the inning...
                          Comment
                          • dirtycash66
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-13-12
                            • 2958

                            #14
                            Originally posted by akphidelt
                            Alright, might be called in to work tomorrow morning so want to get this in now. If not, I'll be here game time.

                            But I really like the under here...

                            Two low scoring pitchers, McHugh does not give up home runs, Pineda should come out strong after being injured for a month. 14 of their last 17 games have gone under 8 runs total. Including McHugh's last game against the Yankees where he went 8 and gave up 2 hits. I think the game slows down tomorrow after this debacle by the Yankees today. I have a lot of stats going in to the %'s coming out, these are just some of the reasons why the stats show this. But remember, this is just a 63% probability based on my weightings. If Pineda struggles in his first start, this could go down the crapper. I'm assuming the lineups will be similar to yesterday. But I'm banking on him and the Yankees slowing this down and getting outs. Tight 3-2 type game.

                            Either way, GL!!!

                            Yankees/Astros Under 7.5 (-105)
                            yeah i think its safe to say that you lost this one
                            Comment
                            • BeanTownClown88
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-08-13
                              • 1961

                              #15
                              Atleast we don't need to worry about NYY scoring right?


                              We need to cruise through some outs here
                              Comment
                              • BayArea888
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-03-11
                                • 870

                                #16
                                ^ yessir true that
                                Comment
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