MLB - Monday, 8/24/15

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB - Monday, 8/24/15
    1 MLB Play Monday

    Pirates / Marlins OVER 8 -115 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 451-410-21, +79.29
  • RavensFan2k3
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-18-12
    • 17378

    #2
    Originally posted by LT Profits
    1 MLB Play Monday

    Pirates / Marlins OVER 8 -115 (5 Dimes)


    YTD: 451-410-21, +79.29
    who wins though?
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
      who wins though?
      Model loves Miami but too much so and line is going higher. Only has Pittsburgh 56% (-127)
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Note from yesterday's thread regarding 60%ers:

        Originally posted by LT Profits
        Yeah, I am starting to have misgivings about even posting them. Seems misleading since I never bet them but do fade them at times. May be too confusing to new guys entering the thread.
        Comment
        • Brooklyn Dick
          SBR MVP
          • 09-12-08
          • 1068

          #5
          Please keep posting the 60% games. Anyone with half a brain can understand that you play off of that line when the short is an OK difference. For me I use it for other reasons.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            Good luck LT

            Lets break through new barriers this week
            Comment
            • Mr KLC
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-19-07
              • 31097

              #7
              Originally posted by LT Profits
              Note from yesterday's thread regarding 60%ers:
              Or post them in another thread with a disclaimer.
              Comment
              • BXbomber11
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-09-11
                • 532

                #8
                LT, Pirates over 8.5 even a play? Or hold off and see. Thanks
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by BXbomber11
                  LT, Pirates over 8.5 even a play? Or hold off and see. Thanks
                  8.5 is OK at a minimum of +100, so you are barely OK
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick
                    Please keep posting the 60% games. Anyone with half a brain can understand that you play off of that line when the short is an OK difference. For me I use it for other reasons.
                    OK, just two today:

                    Mets 65% (-186)
                    Seattle 61% (-156)
                    Comment
                    • RavensFan2k3
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-18-12
                      • 17378

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      OK, just two today:

                      Mets 65% (-186)
                      Seattle 61% (-156)
                      Yeah keep posting them LT, we appreciate it
                      Comment
                      • RavensFan2k3
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-18-12
                        • 17378

                        #12
                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                        Model loves Miami but too much so and line is going higher. Only has Pittsburgh 56% (-127)
                        Hmm thanks
                        Comment
                        • BamaCBass
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-07-09
                          • 1252

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          Model loves Miami but too much so and line is going higher. Only has Pittsburgh 56% (-127)
                          Is "too much" typically in the 30 cents off range, LT?

                          Also, fwiw, you might put a "DA disclaimer" on 60%er posts if you wish. I do understand folks use these for parlays and so on. On the other hand however, people who say "juice doesn't matter if you win" have absolutely NO earthly idea what the point of anything is related to wagering. They either have an agenda to mislead or seriously need a "please teach me math" tattoo on their forehead.

                          GL the rest of the way!
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by BamaCBass
                            Is "too much" typically in the 30 cents off range, LT?

                            Also, fwiw, you might put a "DA disclaimer" on 60%er posts if you wish. I do understand folks use these for parlays and so on. On the other hand however, people who say "juice doesn't matter if you win" have absolutely NO earthly idea what the point of anything is related to wagering. They either have an agenda to mislead or seriously need a "please teach me math" tattoo on their forehead.

                            GL the rest of the way!
                            "too much" is well beyond 10%. I know, "well beyond" is open to interpretation.

                            And in actuality, the variance here is not as much as I expected. I have Miami +127, game opened close to that but has been consistently rising and is currently +146 (about 15%). So variance is not as extreme as I thought, BUT I hate the fact that it is trending away from my number with no buy-back.
                            Comment
                            • larry040681
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-05-10
                              • 2813

                              #15
                              LT, cws over. thoughts?
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by larry040681
                                LT, cws over. thoughts?
                                I DO lean that way and could potentially add it! I have 9.2.
                                Comment
                                • larry040681
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-05-10
                                  • 2813

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by LT Profits

                                  I DO lean that way and could potentially add it! I have 9.2.
                                  I have them at 10.0 average.. might add ml / rl.. they hitting too much lately.. thanks..
                                  Comment
                                  • eddycash
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-06-13
                                    • 4527

                                    #18
                                    Pirates is an over play, not an under correct? Cuz odds are at +100 for over.
                                    Comment
                                    • eddycash
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-06-13
                                      • 4527

                                      #19
                                      Very fishy rlm
                                      Comment
                                      • mth61
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-16-14
                                        • 611

                                        #20
                                        Curious LT what you got for a total for the Cubs and Dbacks games, thank you as always
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by eddycash
                                          Pirates is an over play, not an under correct? Cuz odds are at +100 for over.
                                          It was 8 Over -115 at time of my post. It was 8.5 +100 at time of yours, which as I answered above, I'd still like.
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by eddycash
                                            Pirates is an over play, not an under correct? Cuz odds are at +100 for over.
                                            Oops, i see now that it DID go to 8 Over +100, the line has turned around. Oh well, the play I posted is still correct at the odds I posted at the time.
                                            Comment
                                            • Bbfromgpt
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-24-12
                                              • 6115

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by mth61
                                              Curious LT what you got for a total for the Cubs and Dbacks games, thank you as always
                                              I saw someone posted winds are blowing at at up to 20mph. Hmm
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by mth61
                                                Curious LT what you got for a total for the Cubs and Dbacks games, thank you as always
                                                Cubs 7.5, Snakes 8.6
                                                Comment
                                                • eddycash
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-06-13
                                                  • 4527

                                                  #25
                                                  Wierd I grabbed over 8 +100 on 5Dimes at time of post
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                                                  Comment
                                                  • eddycash
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-06-13
                                                    • 4527

                                                    #26
                                                    I prob should've passed but let's gambol lol
                                                    Comment
                                                    • eddycash
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-06-13
                                                      • 4527

                                                      #27
                                                      Riffraff24 I tried to reply but your box is full, sorry LT for filling this page with clutter
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by eddycash
                                                        Wierd I grabbed over 8 +100 on 5Dimes at time of post
                                                        [ATTACH]84113[/ATTACH]
                                                        Yes, corrected myself in Post #22.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #29
                                                          1 MLB Addition

                                                          2 MLB Plays Tuesday

                                                          Pirates / Marlins OVER 8 -115 (5 Dimes)
                                                          Tigers / Reds UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Eric22174
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-01-10
                                                            • 1334

                                                            #30
                                                            Liking Oakland ML, CHW ML and CHW Over
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LT Profits
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-27-06
                                                              • 90963

                                                              #31
                                                              2 More MLB Additions

                                                              4 MLB Plays Monday

                                                              Astros / Yankees OVER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
                                                              Rockies +102 (Heritage)

                                                              Pirates / Marlins OVER 8 -115 (5 Dimes)
                                                              Tigers / Reds UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RavensFan2k3
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-18-12
                                                                • 17378

                                                                #32
                                                                I been eyeing Rockies...but I hate them lol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • inZane
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-13-13
                                                                  • 1206

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Pitching change in Arizona, Chacin going instead of Ray. I took the Cards last night at -115, action regardless of pitcher. What do you guys know about Chacin or taking a side on the total?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • eddycash
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-06-13
                                                                    • 4527

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Go Rockies!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • drfunkmaster
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-29-08
                                                                      • 11162

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                      1 MLB Play Monday

                                                                      Pirates / Marlins OVER 8 -115 (5 Dimes)


                                                                      YTD: 451-410-21, +79.29

                                                                      yes sir.
                                                                      Comment
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