Model loves Miami but too much so and line is going higher. Only has Pittsburgh 56% (-127)
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#4
Note from yesterday's thread regarding 60%ers:
Originally posted by LT Profits
Yeah, I am starting to have misgivings about even posting them. Seems misleading since I never bet them but do fade them at times. May be too confusing to new guys entering the thread.
Comment
Brooklyn Dick
SBR MVP
09-12-08
1068
#5
Please keep posting the 60% games. Anyone with half a brain can understand that you play off of that line when the short is an OK difference. For me I use it for other reasons.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#6
Good luck LT
Lets break through new barriers this week
Comment
Mr KLC
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-19-07
31097
#7
Originally posted by LT Profits
Note from yesterday's thread regarding 60%ers:
Or post them in another thread with a disclaimer.
Comment
BXbomber11
SBR Wise Guy
09-09-11
532
#8
LT, Pirates over 8.5 even a play? Or hold off and see. Thanks
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#9
Originally posted by BXbomber11
LT, Pirates over 8.5 even a play? Or hold off and see. Thanks
8.5 is OK at a minimum of +100, so you are barely OK
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#10
Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick
Please keep posting the 60% games. Anyone with half a brain can understand that you play off of that line when the short is an OK difference. For me I use it for other reasons.
OK, just two today:
Mets 65% (-186)
Seattle 61% (-156)
Comment
RavensFan2k3
SBR Posting Legend
08-18-12
17378
#11
Originally posted by LT Profits
OK, just two today:
Mets 65% (-186)
Seattle 61% (-156)
Yeah keep posting them LT, we appreciate it
Comment
RavensFan2k3
SBR Posting Legend
08-18-12
17378
#12
Originally posted by LT Profits
Model loves Miami but too much so and line is going higher. Only has Pittsburgh 56% (-127)
Hmm thanks
Comment
BamaCBass
SBR MVP
10-07-09
1252
#13
Originally posted by LT Profits
Model loves Miami but too much so and line is going higher. Only has Pittsburgh 56% (-127)
Is "too much" typically in the 30 cents off range, LT?
Also, fwiw, you might put a "DA disclaimer" on 60%er posts if you wish. I do understand folks use these for parlays and so on. On the other hand however, people who say "juice doesn't matter if you win" have absolutely NO earthly idea what the point of anything is related to wagering. They either have an agenda to mislead or seriously need a "please teach me math" tattoo on their forehead.
GL the rest of the way!
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#14
Originally posted by BamaCBass
Is "too much" typically in the 30 cents off range, LT?
Also, fwiw, you might put a "DA disclaimer" on 60%er posts if you wish. I do understand folks use these for parlays and so on. On the other hand however, people who say "juice doesn't matter if you win" have absolutely NO earthly idea what the point of anything is related to wagering. They either have an agenda to mislead or seriously need a "please teach me math" tattoo on their forehead.
GL the rest of the way!
"too much" is well beyond 10%. I know, "well beyond" is open to interpretation.
And in actuality, the variance here is not as much as I expected. I have Miami +127, game opened close to that but has been consistently rising and is currently +146 (about 15%). So variance is not as extreme as I thought, BUT I hate the fact that it is trending away from my number with no buy-back.
Comment
larry040681
SBR MVP
10-05-10
2813
#15
LT, cws over. thoughts?
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#16
Originally posted by larry040681
LT, cws over. thoughts?
I DO lean that way and could potentially add it! I have 9.2.
Comment
larry040681
SBR MVP
10-05-10
2813
#17
Originally posted by LT Profits
I DO lean that way and could potentially add it! I have 9.2.
I have them at 10.0 average.. might add ml / rl.. they hitting too much lately.. thanks..
Comment
eddycash
SBR MVP
11-06-13
4527
#18
Pirates is an over play, not an under correct? Cuz odds are at +100 for over.
Comment
eddycash
SBR MVP
11-06-13
4527
#19
Very fishy rlm
Comment
mth61
SBR Wise Guy
11-16-14
611
#20
Curious LT what you got for a total for the Cubs and Dbacks games, thank you as always
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#21
Originally posted by eddycash
Pirates is an over play, not an under correct? Cuz odds are at +100 for over.
It was 8 Over -115 at time of my post. It was 8.5 +100 at time of yours, which as I answered above, I'd still like.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#22
Originally posted by eddycash
Pirates is an over play, not an under correct? Cuz odds are at +100 for over.
Oops, i see now that it DID go to 8 Over +100, the line has turned around. Oh well, the play I posted is still correct at the odds I posted at the time.
Comment
Bbfromgpt
SBR Hall of Famer
09-24-12
6115
#23
Originally posted by mth61
Curious LT what you got for a total for the Cubs and Dbacks games, thank you as always
I saw someone posted winds are blowing at at up to 20mph. Hmm
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#24
Originally posted by mth61
Curious LT what you got for a total for the Cubs and Dbacks games, thank you as always
Cubs 7.5, Snakes 8.6
Comment
eddycash
SBR MVP
11-06-13
4527
#25
Wierd I grabbed over 8 +100 on 5Dimes at time of post
Comment
eddycash
SBR MVP
11-06-13
4527
#26
I prob should've passed but let's gambol lol
Comment
eddycash
SBR MVP
11-06-13
4527
#27
Riffraff24 I tried to reply but your box is full, sorry LT for filling this page with clutter
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#28
Originally posted by eddycash
Wierd I grabbed over 8 +100 on 5Dimes at time of post
[ATTACH]84113[/ATTACH]
Yes, corrected myself in Post #22.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#29
1 MLB Addition
2 MLB Plays Tuesday
Pirates / Marlins OVER 8 -115 (5 Dimes) Tigers / Reds UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
Comment
Eric22174
SBR MVP
10-01-10
1334
#30
Liking Oakland ML, CHW ML and CHW Over
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#31
2 More MLB Additions
4 MLB Plays Monday
Astros / Yankees OVER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
Rockies +102 (Heritage)
Pirates / Marlins OVER 8 -115 (5 Dimes)
Tigers / Reds UNDER 8.5 +105 (Heritage)
Comment
RavensFan2k3
SBR Posting Legend
08-18-12
17378
#32
I been eyeing Rockies...but I hate them lol
Comment
inZane
SBR MVP
11-13-13
1206
#33
Pitching change in Arizona, Chacin going instead of Ray. I took the Cards last night at -115, action regardless of pitcher. What do you guys know about Chacin or taking a side on the total?