Alright, got some strong indicators on this game. Over 61% of going under 8.5. The behind the scenes stats...
Nova has gone 9 straight games without allowing more than 4 runs.
This Tomlin guy hasn't pitched for months with injury but came back looking strong against Minnesota. 5ks, 6 innings of work and 2 runs. He also doesn't have to face Texiera. Tomlin has never allowed more than 5 ER in a game.
His at bats with the current Yankee lineup, they've been hitting around .200 on him. Teixeria was the only one who really owned him. Arod is 2-9, Ellsbury 3-16, Beltran 1-5, Gardner 2-7.
There's a lot more that goes in to it, but those are some of the highlights. I think first 5 under would also be smart, as one way this can be ruined is late against the Indians bullpen. As Tomlin coming back from injury probably is not going to last late.
Indians/Yankees Under 8.5 (-105)
Just like all bets, there are no guarantees. A 39% chance that they score over is still a decent probability. Just following the probabilities. GL
Nova has gone 9 straight games without allowing more than 4 runs.
This Tomlin guy hasn't pitched for months with injury but came back looking strong against Minnesota. 5ks, 6 innings of work and 2 runs. He also doesn't have to face Texiera. Tomlin has never allowed more than 5 ER in a game.
His at bats with the current Yankee lineup, they've been hitting around .200 on him. Teixeria was the only one who really owned him. Arod is 2-9, Ellsbury 3-16, Beltran 1-5, Gardner 2-7.
There's a lot more that goes in to it, but those are some of the highlights. I think first 5 under would also be smart, as one way this can be ruined is late against the Indians bullpen. As Tomlin coming back from injury probably is not going to last late.
Indians/Yankees Under 8.5 (-105)
Just like all bets, there are no guarantees. A 39% chance that they score over is still a decent probability. Just following the probabilities. GL
