MLB - Thursday, 8/20/15

mth61 · 08-20-15, 07:15 AM

I've got Boston as a play, I have value on Cleveland which but I don't like the spot. What did you get for Bucs? That is probably the other play I am leaning on but it is getting chalky.

LT Profits · 08-20-15, 07:56 AM

Originally posted by mth61

I've got Boston as a play, I have value on Cleveland which but I don't like the spot. What did you get for Bucs? That is probably the other play I am leaning on but it is getting chalky.

I have Yankees 61% (-156) so really do not see much in Cleveland. And I only get Pirates 54% (-117), I actually lean Giants (but no play as of now).

LT Profits · 08-20-15, 07:59 AM

60%ers:

Yankees 61% (-156)
Cubs 66% (-194)
Washington 69% (-223)

If you do not mind betting big favorites, Nationals look good at -180ish at some spots.

LT Profits · 08-20-15, 08:00 AM

1 MLB Addition

2 MLB Plays Thursday

Phillies / Marlins UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
Red Sox -101 (5 Dimes)

Brooklyn Dick · 08-20-15, 08:10 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

60%ers:

Yankees 61% (-156)
Cubs 66% (-194)
Washington 69% (-223)

If you do not mind betting big favorites, Nationals look good at -180ish at some spots.

I am in on that one. Layed -180 Pinny.

mth61 · 08-20-15, 08:51 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

60%ers:

Yankees 61% (-156)
Cubs 66% (-194)
Washington 69% (-223)

If you do not mind betting big favorites, Nationals look good at -180ish at some spots.

My system asked me to lay 5.5u on it

Edit: Washington that is.

wfoster2 · 08-20-15, 08:59 AM

Thoughts on Braves at +240

LT Profits · 08-20-15, 09:05 AM

Originally posted by wfoster2

Thoughts on Braves at +240

Has value as you see in Post #4 (Cubs -194). I am just not thrilled that line continues to rise.

bryanoens · 08-20-15, 09:19 AM

Why bet so early on red Sox? Line continues to rise and is +108. Do you see it rolling back?

LT Profits · 08-20-15, 10:16 AM

Originally posted by bryanoens

Why bet so early on red Sox? Line continues to rise and is +108. Do you see it rolling back?

Didn't expect so much love for Duffy vs. a Boston lineup pulverizing lefties as of late.

bet-clever · 08-20-15, 10:17 AM

over 8 Tigers - Rangers @1.60

Simons will be on the mound and he struggles on each games...
Detroit scored 25 run in the last 2 previous games and they destroyed the Cubs but they earned 16 run too!
Texas is a good road team and Simons against Perez, I can't imagine an under.
Perez as lefty will face an entire line-up of righties (a part Gose) and Simons as righty will pitche against dangerous lefties batters.

Bullpen sucks for both team.

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit.
Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

jeffjam_ · 08-20-15, 11:17 AM

Hey, clever, how about you go and start your own thread with your clever picks, huh? Too much to handle?

Brooklyn Dick · 08-20-15, 11:21 AM

I would like to know where he found Tigers Ov 8 -160. Maybe on Mars.

LT Profits · 08-20-15, 11:36 AM

Originally posted by wfoster2

Thoughts on Braves at +240

Originally posted by LT Profits

Has value as you see in Post #4 (Cubs -194). I am just not thrilled that line continues to rise.

I went ahead and added them

LT Profits · 08-20-15, 11:36 AM

2 MLB Additions

4 MLB Plays Thursday

Twins / Orioles UNDER 8.5 +105 (Bookmaker)
Phillies / Marlins UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
Red Sox -101 (5 Dimes)
Braves +240 (Heritage)

Regul8er · 08-20-15, 12:12 PM

LT.....Im seeing Braves +255 at 5d. Crazyiness

LT Profits · 08-20-15, 12:14 PM

Originally posted by Regul8er

LT.....Im seeing Braves +255 at 5d. Crazyiness

Shit, went up more minutes after I posted.

bet-clever · 08-20-15, 12:58 PM

Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick

I would like to know where he found Tigers Ov 8 -160. Maybe on Mars.

On 1xbet and next time, before sending bull shit, ask.

Big Bear · 08-20-15, 01:03 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Shit, went up more minutes after I posted.

LT ,

IMO this is a really good spot for the Cubs. Arrieta has pitched excellent all season and the Cubs are at home facing a Braves team who is trying as hard as possible to lose as many games as they can this season.

(They have traded away almost all of their talented players except for Shelby Miller and Freeman and Markakis. Cameron Maybin been swinging the bat pretty well but other than that they are awful.

The Braves bullpen is attrocious. They had a 6-3 lead last week against the Rays and before you could blink an eye the Rays were up 9-6.

I know +255 is tempting based on the number but is there anything baseball related to make you like the Braves tonight or is it purely based on price alone?

wfoster2 · 08-20-15, 01:28 PM

LT,

What is your model getting for the o/u in Colorado. I found u10 1/2 at - 115. With Max in the mound that seems high.

bet-clever · 08-20-15, 01:41 PM

Agree with Big bear.
Cubs @home with Arrieta on the mound against the Braves who are at the beach and 15 games behind a wild card
and they traded talentued players too.
In addition, Arrieta is on fire.

However, in Baseball, you never know and the perfect example is Yersterday with the Phillies against a hot team with an ace on the mound.

vividjohn45 · 08-20-15, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I have Yankees 61% (-156) so really do not see much in Cleveland. And I only get Pirates 54% (-117), I actually lean Giants (but no play as of now).

I know ur good mlb capper. But i cant see pitt being a -117 home fav here. Peavs is 5-5 tm win
And morton is 11-4 tm win. Pitt 41-19 at home.

Big Bear · 08-20-15, 02:03 PM

Originally posted by vividjohn45

I know ur good mlb capper. But i cant see pitt being a -117 home fav here. Peavs is 5-5 tm win
And morton is 11-4 tm win. Pitt 41-19 at home.

Some RLM in that game.

60% of bets are on the Giants and the line went from +115 to +126

Also RLM in Yankees vs Indians game

83% of bets on Yankees and line has moved from -165 to -145...

Perhaps books think Josh Tomlin throws a gem tonight since the Yankees haven't seen him in a long time?

Mr. Teaser · 08-20-15, 02:04 PM

Thank you for adding the 60%ers to your daily post.

Originally posted by LT Profits

60%ers:

Yankees 61% (-156)
Cubs 66% (-194)
Washington 69% (-223)

If you do not mind betting big favorites, Nationals look good at -180ish at some spots.

LT Profits · 08-20-15, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by wfoster2

LT,

What is your model getting for the o/u in Colorado. I found u10 1/2 at - 115. With Max in the mound that seems high.

10.4, not much variance.

jjgold · 08-20-15, 02:43 PM

The Red Sox right now are one of the best teams in the major leagues who would've thought that so there a must play every game now

Big Bear · 08-20-15, 03:04 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

The Red Sox right now are one of the best teams in the major leagues who would've thought that so there a must play every game now

last place team pal

in fact only the Oakland A's have a worse record in the AL.

gas can Miley on the mound tonight against a team that hammers lefties.

riffraff24 · 08-20-15, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

The Red Sox right now are one of the best teams in the major leagues who would've thought that so there a must play every game now

How the fk does this guy still have electricity?

eddycash · 08-20-15, 04:52 PM

It's called motel electricity lol

LT Profits · 08-20-15, 05:01 PM

5th MLB Play

5 MLB Plays Thursday

Twins / Orioles UNDER 8.5 +105 (Bookmaker)
Phillies / Marlins UNDER 8 -110 (Heritage)
Red Sox -101 (5 Dimes)
Braves +240 (Heritage)
White Sox +121 (Heritage)

oBaMa_MaNiA · 08-20-15, 05:17 PM

Reasoning behind the White Sox play today?

upscope · 08-20-15, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by riffraff24

How the fk does this guy still have electricity?

Maybe he's on an Obama phone with wifi??

LT Profits · 08-20-15, 05:56 PM

Originally posted by oBaMa_MaNiA

Reasoning behind the White Sox play today?

Better starting pitcher, model only has Angels 52% (-108).

mikmik · 08-20-15, 06:40 PM

Jerome Williams should be an auto fade