Tuesday - Pair of 5's Sir

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  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #1
    Tuesday - Pair of 5's Sir
    Let's look at yesterday's results.

    The Contrarian posts two double dog contrarian plays for a profit.

    Astros +123 (L)
    White Sox (W)

    Giants (L)
    A's (W)

    The first double dog play yielded 5% on our money, the second yielded 19%. Additionally, the Indians as an individual play went into the L column.

    Astros +123 (L)
    White Sox (W)
    Giants (L)
    A's (W)
    Indians (L)

    Positive dollars on the night, based on money wagered.
  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #2
    Season

    Essentially, the season after 25 selections has yielded even. Some of you have asked me the methodoly of selections. Here is some of what I consider.

    My plays are contrarian in nature. I have had much success in the financial markets, using contrarian plays. These are some of the factors considered that lead up to the selection.

    What information does the public see, that makes the line, ie. ERA, streaks, and standings. This information for the novice players is overrated.

    Does the line make sense, particularly on the favorite. Oftentimes, the public will use the above, overrated information to pound the favorite. They see the information, and move the line accordingly to no success.

    Head to head records, where the line is lower than expected, for the dominating team.

    There are several other triggers but I won't bore you.

    Good luck today boys. Beware O Contrare
    Comment
    • Pair of 5s Sir
      SBR MVP
      • 04-20-08
      • 4960

      #3
      Contrarian Radar

      We put the Tigers on the contrarian radar in the early. The White Sox are on the 3 streak with Danks on the mound. Danks was involved in an impressive start last outing with a no decision. Square money will be coming in on Chisox after yesterday's win on the road. Look Detroit's way. I will be reporting back to you as gametime approaches. The line should move favorably for the dog.
      Comment
      • jellobiafra
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-08-09
        • 6291

        #4
        I am on the under. Chilly, wet and a little windy in DET. Danks has had success shutting down the Tigers bats (Granderson 0-12, Thames 0-11, Polanco 4-18, Cabrera 3-10 but 0HR or RBI....Ordonez has rocked him though 10-17).

        I like the pick of DET to win. I think Porcello is in a nice spot here to pick up his 1st ML victory. The kid is going to be an ace in this league. Mid 90's 4 seamer, heavy moving 2 seamer, curvebal, slider, changeup. 5 pitches he can throw effectively already with a ++ fastball and good sinking action. I'm sensing a 3-1 or 4-2 type of game here. Hope it's Detroit with the bigger number. GL.
        Comment
        • Pair of 5s Sir
          SBR MVP
          • 04-20-08
          • 4960

          #5
          Originally posted by jellobiafra
          I am on the under. Chilly, wet and a little windy in DET. Danks has had success shutting down the Tigers bats (Granderson 0-12, Thames 0-11, Polanco 4-18, Cabrera 3-10 but 0HR or RBI....Ordonez has rocked him though 10-17).

          I like the pick of DET to win. I think Porcello is in a nice spot here to pick up his 1st ML victory. The kid is going to be an ace in this league. Mid 90's 4 seamer, heavy moving 2 seamer, curvebal, slider, changeup. 5 pitches he can throw effectively already with a ++ fastball and good sinking action. I'm sensing a 3-1 or 4-2 type of game here. Hope it's Detroit with the bigger number. GL.
          Let's start rolling the wins. This even steven thing is boring.
          Comment
          • Pair of 5s Sir
            SBR MVP
            • 04-20-08
            • 4960

            #6
            Selection

            The White Sox are on the 3 streak with Danks on the mound. Danks was involved in an impressive start last outing with a no decision. Square money will be coming in on Chisox after yesterday's win on the road.

            Go to the window and get the Tigers

            Tigers +117
            Comment
            • mcbaseball10
              SBR MVP
              • 02-11-09
              • 2866

              #7
              On it as well sir (+120)..also on the first 5 innings under..BOL
              Comment
              • Pair of 5s Sir
                SBR MVP
                • 04-20-08
                • 4960

                #8
                Originally posted by mcbaseball10
                On it as well sir (+120)..also on the first 5 innings under..BOL
                Are you tailing or you see something you like?
                Comment
                • mcbaseball10
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-11-09
                  • 2866

                  #9
                  I like to play strong rookie pitchers that other teams have not faced before. Major League batters are so advanced in their approach against pitchers they can pick out tells. Having not faced him yet, he holds the upper hand. Porcello is a very talented pitcher and should be past the first game jitters. See it as a tossup with Danks on the hill as well. Give Tigers the homefield edge coupled with +120 odds.
                  Comment
                  • jellobiafra
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-08-09
                    • 6291

                    #10
                    Top 5 prospect according to MLB.com. I'm just worried they might be rushing him. As I said, I like the under most in this one. GL
                    Comment
                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-20-08
                      • 4960

                      #11
                      Selection

                      LA Angels -1.5 +140

                      Sorry for the late post.
                      Comment
                      • Pair of 5s Sir
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-20-08
                        • 4960

                        #12
                        Selection II

                        Under Yankees 8.5 -105

                        It took a long time to arrive at these plays.
                        Comment
                        • Pair of 5s Sir
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-20-08
                          • 4960

                          #13
                          Selection II

                          Major square money is pouring in on Toronto, NOT. That's right Minnie is getting the money to a surprise. Toronto on the 3 streak with contrarian indicators. This is a load up game.

                          Twins -123
                          Comment
                          • Pair of 5s Sir
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-20-08
                            • 4960

                            #14
                            It's Official

                            The Angels come up short and the Yankees inflict a cooler by scoring a load in the ninth to go Over.

                            Angels -1.5 +140 (L)
                            Over Yankees 8.5 -105 (L)
                            Comment
                            • jellobiafra
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-08-09
                              • 6291

                              #15
                              Tough one on the Yankees. I was on the under. I have been sliced and diced the past week in baseball. I'm starting to feel cursed. Tomorrow is another day, though. I know one thing. I'm staying the **** away from this board for a while. It's costing me too much money.
                              Comment
                              • Pair of 5s Sir
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-20-08
                                • 4960

                                #16
                                It's Official

                                The Twins pull out a victory in extra frames as we make our load up play for the night. You would of expected Toronto to take money but Minnie was getting punched at the window demonstrating contrarian indicators that are sometimes overlooked.

                                Twins -123 (W)

                                Let's recap today's selections:

                                Angels -1.5 +140 (L)
                                Under Yankees 8.5 -105 (L)
                                Twins -123 (W)
                                Comment
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