A's are a good buy at +188

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    A's are a good buy at +188
    Toronto lines are starting to becoming inflated. Given the pitching matchups, I have this at +165.

    Buehrle is not a -205 pitcher.

  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #2
    without Tulo and without Encarnacion the A's have a fighting chance.

    The A's really struggle vs Lefties and Buehrle has been lights out so the question will be whether or not the A's can score a couple runs.

    The A's are 9 wins and 20 losses in games vs a LHP.

    And 9 wins 16 losses against teams from the AL East.

    With Tulo and Encarnacion this would be another blood bath but we shall see what happens.
    Comment
    • downsouth
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-13-11
      • 11580

      #3
      Agree, took Oakland +182 and looks like it will settle in the low to mid 170s
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by downsouth
        Agree, took Oakland +182 and looks like it will settle in the low to mid 170s
        Comment
        • JJJ
          SBR MVP
          • 05-03-11
          • 2610

          #5
          I would like the play but Chavez has horrible numbers at the Rogers Centre
          Comment
          • downsouth
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-13-11
            • 11580

            #6
            Oakland now in the 145 range at most dime shops. Normally would feel good but have had a bad run this year when I have crushed the closer.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by downsouth
              Oakland now in the 145 range at most dime shops. Normally would feel good but have had a bad run this year when I have crushed the closer.
              Agree. I would really like to see the # on this. Seems like regularly beating the closing number by 20+ cents in baseball this year would put you in the poorhouse, as odd as that sounds.
              Comment
              • dfish
                SBR MVP
                • 12-17-10
                • 2730

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                Agree. I would really like to see the # on this. Seems like regularly beating the closing number by 20+ cents in baseball this year would put you in the poorhouse, as odd as that sounds.
                It was the kiss of death pre All Star Break
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by dfish
                  It was the kiss of death pre All Star Break
                  It's been the kiss of death for me all season long. Not sure if I've just had really bad luck with it, or if it's indicative of an entire trend.
                  Comment
                  • Regul8er
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-06-07
                    • 10666

                    #10
                    Good luck to you guys, however, Im on the other side, and feel I got a steal getting -160 very late. Cheers to both to crushing the closer.

                    Buerhle just played Mr. Houdini in the 1st and escaped unblemished.
                    Comment
                    • Big Bear
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 43253

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Regul8er
                      Good luck to you guys, however, Im on the other side, and feel I got a steal getting -160 very late. Cheers to both to crushing the closer.

                      Buerhle just played Mr. Houdini in the 1st and escaped unblemished.
                      one of my all time favorite pitchers to watch and bet on. He makes watching the game so much easier for me b/c he doesn't dick around on the mound. He gets the ball and throws and keeps his defense on their toes. He goes right after hitters and doesn't walk many. This is a formula for success.
                      Comment
                      • drfunkmaster
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-29-08
                        • 11162

                        #12
                        Jays bats will have to wake up.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Remember when Oakland used to catch every break imaginable?

                          Now they can't get ONE to save their lives.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Regul8er
                            Buerhle just played Mr. Houdini in the 1st and escaped unblemished.
                            And the 2nd.

                            Toronto hitters are avoiding LOB at an impossible rate, and their pitchers are stranding LOB at an equally impossible rate.
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Well at least I can say I killed the closer and lost. Again.

                              Story of the entire MLB season.
                              Comment
                              • paco
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-07-09
                                • 62873

                                #16
                                Jays offense wow. Can go off any given inning. Don't think A's have enough offense to overcome that inning
                                Comment
                                • BELM0NT
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-19-15
                                  • 1132

                                  #17
                                  Suicide going against Toronto. Definitely better stuff out there than betting Oakland.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BELM0NT
                                    Suicide going against Toronto. Definitely better stuff out there than betting Oakland.
                                    Thanks for the advice now that it's 4-0. Appreciate it.
                                    Comment
                                    • JJJ
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-03-11
                                      • 2610

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by BELM0NT
                                      Suicide going against Toronto. Definitely better stuff out there than betting Oakland.
                                      lol and than we have this guy great post and comments where were you earlier?
                                      Comment
                                      • BELM0NT
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-19-15
                                        • 1132

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        Thanks for the advice now that it's 4-0. Appreciate it.
                                        Dont get me wrong, everyone and there brother was on the A's. I just stayed away. GL NC
                                        Comment
                                        • alamo
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-21-09
                                          • 7131

                                          #21
                                          +188 is a bad number. I'm seeing them at +1000 now
                                          Comment
                                          • ANOoki
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-28-15
                                            • 131

                                            #22
                                            Man, didn't know Tor was such a lock play....
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by BELM0NT
                                              Dont get me wrong, everyone and there brother was on the A's. I just stayed away. GL NC
                                              They were?
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by alamo
                                                +188 is a bad number. I'm seeing them at +1000 now
                                                f\*\*k you.
                                                Comment
                                                • BELM0NT
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-19-15
                                                  • 1132

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  They were?
                                                  From what I seen. It wasnt a strong bet but a bet none the less. Didnt see any people boasting Toronto RL. Anyway didnt mean to come off as a smartass, just saying I passed on the game for that reason.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Big Bear
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 11-01-11
                                                    • 43253

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by BELM0NT
                                                    Suicide going against Toronto. Definitely better stuff out there than betting Oakland.
                                                    true.

                                                    In OP's defense though this was just a "lean" he is taking a break from betting.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Big Bear
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 11-01-11
                                                      • 43253

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                      f\*\*k you.
                                                      chill out man why are you so angry?

                                                      move on the to the next game you want to share your analysis on.

                                                      no worries mate.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                        chill out man why are you so angry?

                                                        move on the to the next game you want to share your analysis on.

                                                        no worries mate.
                                                        Suck a dick motherfvcker.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Big Bear
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 11-01-11
                                                          • 43253

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          Suck a dick motherfvcker.
                                                          take a xanax , smoke a bowl, get some fresh air and regroup.

                                                          you are not being yourself lately.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                            you are not being yourself lately.
                                                            Wrong. I've been consistent with you since day one.

                                                            Disappear.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • downsouth
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-13-11
                                                              • 11580

                                                              #31
                                                              Its one bet. You put yourself ahead of the market and it doesnt look like it works out. Onto the next. Its really only one game, hell, Ive got over 1500 wagers this year all sports already and hopefully another 1500 to come. You just want to continue to put yourself in the best possible scenarios and hope it works out in the end.

                                                              All, these after the fact know it alls are just that....after the fact. Getting angry over anything they say or do is nothing more than a waste of energy and emotion.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • alamo
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-21-09
                                                                • 7131

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                f\*\*k you.
                                                                Wow. Dude I'm just stating a fact.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by downsouth
                                                                  Its one bet. You put yourself ahead of the market and it doesnt look like it works out. Onto the next. Its really only one game, hell, Ive got over 1500 wagers this year all sports already and hopefully another 1500 to come. You just want to continue to put yourself in the best possible scenarios and hope it works out in the end.
                                                                  I've killed "the market" all year long in baseball and wound up down 25 units before I closed up shop. This is a good example of the bets that made me pull the plug on the season in the first place.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by alamo
                                                                    Wow. Dude I'm just stating a fact.
                                                                    No you're not and you know it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • riffraff24
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-20-11
                                                                      • 7234

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Man way too much emphasis on lines. No offense. I like you coin.
                                                                      Comment
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