MLB - Saturday, 8/8/15

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #36
    Originally posted by eddycash
    Oakland under 7.5 and under ff 4-120 ok?
    7.5 only at +100 or better. No to 4 -120, cap at -115
    Comment
    • bet-clever
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-02-15
      • 113

      #37
      @LT,

      When you make your list and update it, is it per order, trust or none?
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #38
        Originally posted by bet-clever
        @LT,

        When you make your list and update it, is it per order, trust or none?
        By starting time.
        Comment
        • bet-clever
          SBR High Roller
          • 08-02-15
          • 113

          #39
          Originally posted by LT Profits
          By starting time.
          Comment
          • thebettingman15
            SBR Hustler
            • 07-24-15
            • 64

            #40
            hey LT, thoughts on royals and mets today?
            Comment
            • bet-clever
              SBR High Roller
              • 08-02-15
              • 113

              #41
              @LT, did you check this? => http://m.mlb.com/news/article/539111...rolling-stones
              Comment
              • upscope
                SBR MVP
                • 04-26-11
                • 2837

                #42
                what does the highlights on some of the games mean??
                Comment
                • thebettingman15
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 07-24-15
                  • 64

                  #43
                  Originally posted by upscope
                  what does the highlights on some of the games mean??
                  it means that he just added them.
                  Comment
                  • upscope
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-26-11
                    • 2837

                    #44
                    Originally posted by thebettingman15
                    it means that he just added them.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #45
                      Originally posted by thebettingman15
                      hey LT, thoughts on royals and mets today?
                      I actually like other sides in both and added Rays as an official play.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #46
                        10th MLB Play

                        10 MLB Plays Saturday

                        Athletics +118 (Heritage)
                        Astros / Athletics UNDER 8 -105 (5 Dimes)
                        Astros / Athletics UNDER 4 +100 (5 innings) (Heritage)
                        Rays +107 (Heritage)
                        Rockies / Nationals UNDER 8 -105 (5 Dimes)
                        Red Sox +108 (Heritage)
                        Brewers +131 (Heritage)
                        Twins +130 (5 Dimes)
                        Reds +130 (Heritage)
                        Phillies / Padres UNDER 7 -110 (Heritage)
                        Comment
                        • JMon
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-11-09
                          • 9800

                          #47
                          LT..good example of the importance of line shopping...here vs sbr contest...
                          Comment
                          • EVfollower
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 05-05-14
                            • 515

                            #48
                            Every line I try to find of LT's I can NEVER find. The ones I do find exactly or better then HIS lines always lose - interesting thing I've noticed about line movement related to his plays.

                            I think that LT has enough people blindly tailing this thread and also LT is viewed as a highly sharp account that him just making bets moves lines right away. That big LT real big.

                            LT plays at 5dimes and Heritage (both rec books) so theres no way hes betting more then $250 per game IMO or else he would have been limited / shut down a long time ago.
                            Comment
                            • wfoster2
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 07-22-15
                              • 23

                              #49
                              I am struggling to go against the Mets. They are hot and seem to have everything going for them.
                              Comment
                              • eddycash
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-06-13
                                • 4527

                                #50
                                Nats under 8 -125 is prob bad but I took it anyways
                                Comment
                                • EVfollower
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 05-05-14
                                  • 515

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by wfoster2
                                  I am struggling to go against the Mets. They are hot and seem to have everything going for them.
                                  Bad situational numbers but I'm on mets too. (night, away, Mets SP not as good away, etc)
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #52
                                    Make it an MLB 12-Pack Saturday

                                    12 MLB Plays Saturday

                                    Athletics +118 (Heritage)
                                    Astros / Athletics UNDER 8 -105 (5 Dimes)
                                    Astros / Athletics UNDER 4 +100 (5 innings) (Heritage)
                                    Rays +107 (Heritage)
                                    Rockies / Nationals UNDER 8 -105 (5 Dimes)
                                    Red Sox +108 (Heritage)
                                    Brewers +131 (Heritage)
                                    Twins +130 (5 Dimes)
                                    Reds +130 (Heritage)
                                    Phillies / Padres UNDER 7 -110 (Heritage)
                                    Orioles +126 (Heritage)
                                    Orioles +120 (5 innings) (Heritage)
                                    Comment
                                    • wfoster2
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 07-22-15
                                      • 23

                                      #53
                                      Go big or go home LT. Hoping for a big night!!
                                      Comment
                                      • eddycash
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-06-13
                                        • 4527

                                        #54
                                        Brew crew moved to +148 should we add more?
                                        Comment
                                        • thebettingman15
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 07-24-15
                                          • 64

                                          #55
                                          thoughts on rockies ML today as strasburg might be rusty
                                          Comment
                                          • lucasdawg
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-19-13
                                            • 3399

                                            #56
                                            Padres %???
                                            Comment
                                            • blackHIPPY
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-01-14
                                              • 3973

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by EVfollower
                                              Every line I try to find of LT's I can NEVER find. The ones I do find exactly or better then HIS lines always lose - interesting thing I've noticed about line movement related to his plays.

                                              I think that LT has enough people blindly tailing this thread and also LT is viewed as a highly sharp account that him just making bets moves lines right away. That big LT real big.

                                              LT plays at 5dimes and Heritage (both rec books) so theres no way hes betting more then $250 per game IMO or else he would have been limited / shut down a long time ago.
                                              might be something worth tracking
                                              Comment
                                              • thebettingman15
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 07-24-15
                                                • 64

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                1 MLB Play Saturday

                                                Twins +130 (5 Dimes)


                                                YTD: 396-360-21, +71.14
                                                great call lol
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #59
                                                  Looks like a winning day to me.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RavensFan2k3
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-18-12
                                                    • 17378

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                    Looks like a winning day to me.
                                                    Exactly!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Big Bear
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 11-01-11
                                                      • 43253

                                                      #61
                                                      great job LT.

                                                      Grinding for dat profit, thats how we do it!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jjgold
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                        • 388179

                                                        #62
                                                        Comment
                                                        • CrimsonTideFan
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 08-03-12
                                                          • 445

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by thebettingman15
                                                          great call lol
                                                          He goes +7.01 units today, and you choose to critique a single loser? What a penetrating bum.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #64
                                                            Yep, 9-3, +7.01.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Big Bear
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 11-01-11
                                                              • 43253

                                                              #65
                                                              great job only game your system was off about was the Twins

                                                              fading Bauer is always a tall order, guy has a filty deuce.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • marktb68
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 07-11-15
                                                                • 95

                                                                #66
                                                                congrats on the wins. BUT, I don't understand why the picks cant be posted all at once. Pitchers don't change. Nothing changes. secondly most here.I am guessing, don't. have the necessary bank to bet 9 games why not pick 2-3 strong games
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LT Profits
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                                  • 90963

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by marktb68
                                                                  congrats on the wins. BUT, I don't understand why the picks cant be posted all at once. Pitchers don't change. Nothing changes. secondly most here.I am guessing, don't. have the necessary bank to bet 9 games why not pick 2-3 strong games
                                                                  ODDS change and that is most important. And that works both ways: odds drift to the point where a game becomes playable; OR a game I had originally passed on because there was TOO much variance between my model and the real odds converge toward my model number while still leaving room to be +EV. And as for volume, just bet a smaller % per game so that you can afford double-digit play cards. I personally play 2.5% of bank 99% of the time.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dfish
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-17-10
                                                                    • 2730

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                    ODDS change and that is most important. And that works both ways: odds drift to the point where a game becomes playable; OR a game I had originally passed on because there was TOO much variance between my model and the real odds converge toward my model number while still leaving room to be +EV. And as for volume, just bet a smaller % per game so that you can afford double-digit play cards. I personally play 2.5% of bank 99% of the time.
                                                                    How often, if ever ,do you buy more at better price? Thanks & good stuff
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • LT Profits
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                                      • 90963

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by dfish
                                                                      How often, if ever ,do you buy more at better price? Thanks & good stuff
                                                                      Never. Not a good idea.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Big Bear
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 11-01-11
                                                                        • 43253

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                        Never. Not a good idea.
                                                                        why not?
                                                                        Comment
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