MLB - Saturday, 7/25/15

[LT Profits]

1 MLB Play Saturday

White Sox +104 (Heritage)


YTD: 350-316-19, +66.70

[Conqueror]

More to come I guess.

[thebettingman15]

great pitching matchup. leaning toward chw myself

[BOA12]

with you on this LT bol

[LT Profits]

More to come I guess.

Probably but seems like a light day

[HeinrichII]

Chris Sale as an underdog is an auto play for me.

Games start later than the usual, so lines might start to move more in about 4 hours or so I assume.

[unusialsusp5]

sale as underdog good value. but did give up 11 hits last out at home. carrasco not a stiff and is at home. white sox don't exactly remind you of the 27 yankees. i'd take a closer look at the other chicago team today. arrieta and the cubs should be all over hamels in that 4:05 tilt.

[thebettingman15]

sale as underdog good value. but did give up 11 hits last out at home. carrasco not a stiff and is at home. white sox don't exactly remind you of the 27 yankees. i'd take a closer look at the other chicago team today. arrieta and the cubs should be all over hamels in that 4:05 tilt.

agreed.

[RollinDo]

Going large on Phils TT (U 3) today.
Arriba has been as hot as anyone and should cool off those dang Phillies.

[LT Profits]

sale as underdog good value. but did give up 11 hits last out at home. carrasco not a stiff and is at home. white sox don't exactly remind you of the 27 yankees.

All of which could be combining to give Sale his great value today. Model has White Sox 56% (-127)

[unusialsusp5]

didn't check cubs line before i spouted. way overpriced. should win but way too much risk there.

[unusialsusp5]

All of which could be combining to give Sale his great value today. Model has White Sox 56% (-127)

you got in at right time apparently. sale up to -112 and heading higher.

[k0karn]

Thank you for sharing your bets, much appreciated. Best of luck in the future.

[Zues21]

Awesome

LT , very impressive , Thx u for your input! I am very superstitious so am adding a " poo poo poo " that's for continued success.
zuess21

[Alex Vaile]

Awesome job LT on your season. I'm surprised you're not fading Red Sox with Wright pitching. I know Simon has been bad also what does your model say about this one?

[brett1508]

Nice pick, LT. CWS already down to -110.

[thebettingman15]

hey LT, what are your thoughts on Yankees, KC, Giants -1.5, and Mets with Harvey on the mound.

[Cordoba25]

LT, curious to know what your model says about the LAA/ Tex game. Much appreciated!

Great season btw!

[LT Profits]

About to add 4 Totals, so up to 5 plays

[LT Profits]

4 MLB Additions

5 MLB Play Saturday

Tigers / Red Sox OVER 9.5 +107 (5 Dimes)
Nationals / Pirates OVER 7.5 +105 (Heritage)
Dodgers / Mets OVER 7 -103 (5 Dimes)
Yankees / Twins UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
White Sox +104 (Heritage)

[thebettingman15]

5 MLB Play Saturday

Tigers / Red Sox OVER 9.5 +107 (5 Dimes)
Nationals / Pirates OVER 7.5 +105 (Heritage)
Dodgers / Mets OVER 7 -103 (5 Dimes)
Yankees / Twins UNDER 8.5 -110 (Heritage)
White Sox +104 (Heritage)

thoughts on yankees ML?

[LT Profits]

Awesome job LT on your season. I'm surprised you're not fading Red Sox with Wright pitching. I know Simon has been bad also what does your model say about this one?

Boston 54% (-117), so no value either way. Note I did play the Over though (10.7)

[thebettingman15]

thoughts on blue jays against happ who is a lefty in which they tend to go off against with their righty stacked lineup

[LT Profits]

hey LT, what are your thoughts on Yankees, KC, Giants -1.5, and Mets with Harvey on the mound.

Yankees 54% (-117), Royals 55% (-122), Giants ML 66% (-194), Mets 57% (-133). I have no interest in Home Team Runs Lines unless I could get a bare minimum of +170, so pass on Giants RL.

[LT Profits]

LT, curious to know what your model says about the LAA/ Tex game. Much appreciated!

Great season btw!

This is one of those situations where my model loves Texas but I am passing because the variance from the real line is TOO much. Model only has Angels 54% (-117)! Staying away from such games kept me off of Scherzer last night.

[Alex Vaile]

Boston 54% (-117), so no value either way. Note I did play the Over though (10.7)

True that i see it LT. Was on it too. Thanks for the info.

[LT Profits]

thoughts on blue jays against happ who is a lefty in which they tend to go off against with their righty stacked lineup

Jays 55% (-122)

[thebettingman15]

Jays 55% (-122)

so would u play toronto?

[thebettingman15]

Yankees 54% (-117), Royals 55% (-122), Giants ML 66% (-194), Mets 57% (-133). I have no interest in Home Team Runs Lines unless I could get a bare minimum of +170, so pass on Giants RL.

which of these would you consider playing if any?

[BamaCBass]

This is one of those situations where my model loves Texas but I am passing because the variance from the real line is TOO much. Model only has Angels 54% (-117)! Staying away from such games kept me off of Scherzer last night.

Have you by chance checked numbers to see if fading this situation may be profitable, as in looked at season numbers for this scenario? Thx in advance.

[RavensFan2k3]

Yankees 54% (-117), Royals 55% (-122), Giants ML 66% (-194), Mets 57% (-133). I have no interest in Home Team Runs Lines unless I could get a bare minimum of +170, so pass on Giants RL.

But you like SF over Oakland tho? Or Oakland has a decent chance at beating SF today?

[LT Profits]

But you like SF over Oakland tho? Or Oakland has a decent chance at beating SF today?

As you see, -194. Too close to real line.

[LT Profits]

which of these would you consider playing if any?

None or they would have been among my plays. Could change with some line movement though.

[LT Profits]

Have you by chance checked numbers to see if fading this situation may be profitable, as in looked at season numbers for this scenario? Thx in advance.

No, I do not want to get in the habit of fading model. Would rather just pass.

[RavensFan2k3]

As you see, -194. Too close to real line.

What about Colorado?