MLB - Friday, 7/24/15

[LT Profits]

3 MLB Plays Friday

Orioles +145 (Heritage)
White Sox +159 (5 Dimes)
Tigers / Red Sox UNDER 9.5 -115 (Heritage)


YTD: 345-315-19, +62.11

[brett1508]

what do you think about -126 for the 9.5 under on the red sox game?

[LT Profits]

what do you think about -126 for the 9.5 under on the red sox game?

I would not do it, I'd lay -120 MAX. And would take +110 MIN to take Under 9.

[Big Bear]

I would not do it, I'd lay -120 MAX. And would take +110 MIN to take Under 9.

that extra 6 cents will get ya in the long run right LT?

gotta get the best number possible in this biz.

[wfoster2]

LT what are your thoughts on the Twins tonight at +130

[LT Profits]

LT what are your thoughts on the Twins tonight at +130

I get Yankees 55% (-122) so Twins have a smidgeon of value.

[tragicend]

LT what are your thoughts on Sea. at home with king felix on the mound??? I'm thinking of taking them straight up. As always. ..thank u.

[EVfollower]

Hey bud,
Thanks as always for posting your plays. You're a good dude. Wondering what your system spits out for the nationals vs pirates game today. I liked Nats at -110 last night, knew I should have locked it in then (now looking like -125).

[James Marques]

Hey bud,
Thanks as always for posting your plays. You're a good dude. Wondering what your system spits out for the nationals vs pirates game today. I liked Nats at -110 last night, knew I should have locked it in then (now looking like -125).

A lot of guys out for the Nationals... I know it's Scherzer out there but Locke is no slouch.

[wfoster2]

A lot of guys out for the Nationals... I know it's Scherzer out there but Locke is no slouch.

That is why I am leaning towards the u6.5 for that game. I think it is going to be very low scoring

[Big Bear]

A lot of guys out for the Nationals... I know it's Scherzer out there but Locke is no slouch.

yeah Scherezer is 10X better pitcher than Locke but the Nationals line-up that Locke will be pitching to absolutely sucks.

its basically a minor league line-up with the addition of Bryce Harper and catcher Ramos.

Taylor and Espinosa have no business batting 1st and 2nd in a MLB line-up.

[2buckluck]

3 MLB Plays Friday

Orioles +145 (Heritage)
White Sox +159 (5 Dimes)
Tigers / Red Sox UNDER 9.5 -115 (Heritage)


YTD: 345-315-19, +62.11

Thanks for all the sharing / insights LT, and congrats on the success this season!

[LT Profits]

LT what are your thoughts on Sea. at home with king felix on the mound??? I'm thinking of taking them straight up. As always. ..thank u.

Only Seattle 59% (-144) vs. Hutchison, so not a slam dunk.

[EVfollower]

A lot of guys out for the Nationals... I know it's Scherzer out there but Locke is no slouch.

Locke is an overrated pitcher in my opinion, has been for awhile. He either is lights out or shitting the bed I feel like.

[LT Profits]

Hey bud,
Thanks as always for posting your plays. You're a good dude. Wondering what your system spits out for the nationals vs pirates game today. I liked Nats at -110 last night, knew I should have locked it in then (now looking like -125).

Nationals is one of those games that my model loves but I am passing on. Model has Scherzer 61% (-156), I tend to get leery when model is THAT far off real line! I would actually feel better about them if line goes UP (as long as it still stay under -156).

[LT Profits]

That is why I am leaning towards the u6.5 for that game. I think it is going to be very low scoring

Not much going on there for me, I get 6.7.

[wfoster2]

Is your model taking into account the nationals soft lineup this evening?

[EVfollower]

Nationals is one of those games that my model loves but I am passing on. Model has Scherzer 61% (-156), I tend to get leery when model is THAT far off real line! I would actually feel better about them if line goes UP (as long as it still stay under -156).

If you look at the 1st 5 inning lines, your system would be around the current line. Pirates have better relief and closing pitchers which is what the books are giving them credit for along with their strong record at home. Also not taking WASH as of now even though I do like their odds.

[BamaCBass]

If you look at the 1st 5 inning lines, your system would be around the current line. Pirates have better relief and closing pitchers which is what the books are giving them credit for along with their strong record at home. Also not taking WASH as of now even though I do like their odds.

Good point

[wfoster2]

That Orioles line has dropped significantly. Will there be a point where you see value in the rays?

[LT Profits]

That Orioles line has dropped significantly. Will there be a point where you see value in the rays?

I never hedge in these situations unless it is some monstrous odds future play or something. In single games, I always let it ride given my beneficial price. FYI, I have Rays 56% (-127), so if I did not already have play on O's, odds would need to dip below -127 for me to even think about Tampa Bay.

[marktb68]

cant wait for another losing day

[mth61]

cant wait for another losing day

???

[watsui]

cant wait for another losing day

[BeanTownClown88]

Liking the Orioles too..also twins at +money at home..thinking of playing both. 1 should win atleast

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Additions

5 MLB Plays Friday

Orioles +145 (Heritage)
White Sox +159 (5 Dimes)
Tigers / Red Sox UNDER 9.5 -115 (Heritage)
Brewers / Diamondbacks UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Rangers / Angels UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)

[RayrayJ]

Any value in taking the Mets at home tonight?

[wfoster2]

No Ortiz and no Pedroia for Red Sox tonight

[Big Bear]

No Ortiz and no Pedroia for Red Sox tonight

maybe they are on the trading block?

Red Sox appear to not even be trying to win with moves like this.

Hell... this losing streak might not end for a long ass time.

[44 Mag]

maybe they are on the trading block?

Red Sox appear to not even be trying to win with moves like this.

Hell... this losing streak might not end for a long ass time.

Maybe Pedroia, they should dump him if they can get some young guys. Nobody will take Ortiz @ 40 years old and can only DH. I mean really, what else do they have??? They won't give up the kids. Who the f.... wants Bucholtz??? LOL.

[Big Bear]

LOL at no one will take David Ortiz at 40.

Open your eyes pal...watch some baseball. I guess you havent noticed some of these shitty line-ups teams are trotting out there.

Ortiz could fit in nicely as the 1st basemen for several contenders.

[Big Bear]

Nationals should trade for Ortiz and Pedroria

[wfoster2]

Tempted to take the Tigers with those two out of the lineup.

[Ralphie1412]

Can you retards talk trade rumors in some other thread? Big bear you c..unt up this thread daily.

[LT Profits]

1 MLB 5-Inning Addition

6 MLB Plays Friday

Orioles +145 (Heritage)
White Sox +159 (5 Dimes)
Tigers / Red Sox UNDER 9.5 -115 (Heritage)
Brewers / Diamondbacks UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Brewers / Diamondbacks UNDER 4.5 -120 (5 innings) (Heritage)
Rangers / Angels UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)