Beat the closing line MLB 2015

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  • RollinDo
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-04-13
    • 13322

    #36
    Covy - love the Rays Under.
    I just put in 2 Under bets...hopefully getting the best price before closing lines...

    AtL - StL (U 7) -115
    Balt - TB (U 7) -110
    Comment
    • Covy
      SBR MVP
      • 01-13-11
      • 1433

      #37
      Originally posted by RollinDo
      Covy - love the Rays Under.
      I just put in 2 Under bets...hopefully getting the best price before closing lines...

      AtL - StL (U 7) -115
      Balt - TB (U 7) -110
      My favorite one of the day

      3-1 +1.77 units on day

      7-4 +2.32 units YTD sharp lines
      7-4 +1.95 YTD closing lines
      [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
      [/SIZE]
      Comment
      • Covy
        SBR MVP
        • 01-13-11
        • 1433

        #38
        Originally posted by Covy
        Cards -180
        Rays u 7 +105
        Angels -148
        2-1 +.57 units

        9-5 +2.89 units YTD sharp lines
        9-5 +2.53 YTD closing lines

        Lean on DBacks but line priced a few cents out of my target
        [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
        [/SIZE]
        Comment
        • Covy
          SBR MVP
          • 01-13-11
          • 1433

          #39
          Orioles ML -153
          Giants ML -154
          [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
          [/SIZE]
          Comment
          • Covy
            SBR MVP
            • 01-13-11
            • 1433

            #40
            11-5 +4.89 units

            Dodgers -119
            Orioles -163
            [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
            [/SIZE]
            Comment
            • Covy
              SBR MVP
              • 01-13-11
              • 1433

              #41
              Originally posted by Covy
              11-5 +4.89 units

              Dodgers -119
              Orioles -163
              12-6 +4.70 units

              Rays -160
              Dodgers/Cubs ML parlay -120
              [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
              [/SIZE]
              Comment
              • RollinDo
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-04-13
                • 13322

                #42
                Originally posted by Covy
                12-6 +4.70 units

                Rays -160
                Dodgers/Cubs ML parlay -120
                Rays likely a good play...Verylander been holding his own...but just don't see Tigers winning a game this series...more on line for TB...at least they play like there is.
                Comment
                • Covy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-13-11
                  • 1433

                  #43
                  Originally posted by RollinDo
                  Rays likely a good play...Verylander been holding his own...but just don't see Tigers winning a game this series...more on line for TB...at least they play like there is.
                  I want the Tigers to win for baseball reasons(Phillies fan so if tigers win, they're less likely to trade price so better return for Hamels)
                  But at the same time the numbers strongly suggest Tampa has about -185ish odds so gotta take advantage of the 20 cent difference
                  [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                  [/SIZE]
                  Comment
                  • Covy
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-13-11
                    • 1433

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Covy
                    12-6 +4.70 units

                    Rays -160
                    Dodgers/Cubs ML parlay -120
                    13-7 +3.9 units
                    Indians -120
                    Braves -106
                    [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                    [/SIZE]
                    Comment
                    • Covy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-13-11
                      • 1433

                      #45
                      14-8 +3.74 u

                      Will only add plays after the dust settles from the deadline today
                      [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                      [/SIZE]
                      Comment
                      • Covy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-13-11
                        • 1433

                        #46
                        Royals +117
                        Yanks -104
                        [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                        [/SIZE]
                        Comment
                        • Covy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-13-11
                          • 1433

                          #47
                          15-9 +3.87 u

                          Astros ML -125
                          Rays ML +121
                          Mets ML -104
                          Dbacks ML +140
                          [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                          [/SIZE]
                          Comment
                          • Covy
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-13-11
                            • 1433

                            #48
                            Originally posted by Covy
                            15-9 +3.87 u

                            Astros ML -125
                            Rays ML +121
                            Mets ML -104
                            Dbacks ML +140
                            18-10 +6.23 units

                            Rays ML +115
                            Marlins ML +116
                            [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                            [/SIZE]
                            Comment
                            • CappinTerp
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-26-09
                              • 9650

                              #49
                              Originally posted by YouHave2outs
                              If you are beating closing lines, you will win in the long run.
                              IMO, beating the closing line does not help at all, it's meaningless . However some people like chocolate and some like vanilla...................gl
                              .
                              Comment
                              • SAX27
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-03-15
                                • 1324

                                #50
                                Cant argue with your record!! As far as beating the closing line I am confused, yes there are times if you get a play in early it can benefit....when it comes to bases and all of the inconsistencies the key is to pick the winner regardless of various line movement.

                                One mans opinion!!

                                I enjoy your thread!!
                                Comment
                                • Covy
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-13-11
                                  • 1433

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Covy
                                  18-10 +6.23 units

                                  Rays ML +115
                                  Marlins ML +116
                                  19-11 +6.38 units

                                  Rays -101
                                  Metsv-155
                                  Angels -115
                                  Angels u7 +100
                                  Giants -160
                                  [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                  [/SIZE]
                                  Comment
                                  • Covy
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-13-11
                                    • 1433

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by CappinTerp
                                    IMO, beating the closing line does not help at all, it's meaningless . However some people like chocolate and some like vanilla...................gl
                                    .

                                    It doesnt help in determining W/Ls
                                    That part is true, but if I win a dog, I'm usually winning slightly more than what the line closed at. If Giants lose tonight, Im losing 1.6 units, whereas the last minute bettor is losing close to 2 units. 15% of my lines I bet on are worse than what they close at, but 85% I am getting a better line than what it closes at. Not only am I winning, I am winning more than the average bettor because of my philosophy.

                                    To each their own.
                                    [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                    [/SIZE]
                                    Comment
                                    • Covy
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-13-11
                                      • 1433

                                      #53
                                      Royals -115 ML
                                      Marlins +113 ML
                                      [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                      [/SIZE]
                                      Comment
                                      • trobin31
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-09-14
                                        • 9853

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Covy
                                        Royals -115 ML
                                        Marlins +113 ML
                                        Should've waited on the marlins, likely closing as bigger dog than that tomorrow. BOL
                                        Comment
                                        • Covy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-13-11
                                          • 1433

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by trobin31
                                          Should've waited on the marlins, likely closing as bigger dog than that tomorrow. BOL
                                          Calculations had the line closing at the +100-105 range.


                                          22-12 +8.37 units

                                          Couldve taken the Angels u7.5 at -115, but opted to take the gamble and get u7 at +100. Still happy with where I'm currently at
                                          [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                          [/SIZE]
                                          Comment
                                          • Covy
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-13-11
                                            • 1433

                                            #56
                                            22-14 +6.22 units

                                            Marlins -139
                                            Astros -104
                                            Rangers +101
                                            [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                            [/SIZE]
                                            Comment
                                            • Covy
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-13-11
                                              • 1433

                                              #57
                                              22-17 +2.79 units

                                              Got cooked the past 2 days. All lines combined were 50 cents better than closing so saved a few hundred bucks on my losses as compared to last minute bettor

                                              Jays -130
                                              Padres -175
                                              Cards -135
                                              Tigers -105
                                              [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                              [/SIZE]
                                              Comment
                                              • Covy
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-13-11
                                                • 1433

                                                #58
                                                3-0 so far today - hope SD makes the comeback

                                                Indians u7 +100
                                                Cards o7 -125
                                                Yankees ML -132
                                                [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                                [/SIZE]
                                                Comment
                                                • Covy
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-13-11
                                                  • 1433

                                                  #59
                                                  26-20 +2.72 units

                                                  Mets ML -165
                                                  [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                                  [/SIZE]
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BOA12
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-19-12
                                                    • 20622

                                                    #60
                                                    Beware of a Florida hangover
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Covy
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-13-11
                                                      • 1433

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by BOA12
                                                      Beware of a Florida hangover

                                                      Narrowly avoided it today

                                                      27-20 +3.72 units

                                                      Big card tomorrow

                                                      Twins ML -106
                                                      Mariners ML -107
                                                      Giants ML -139
                                                      Yanks u7 +100
                                                      Brewers ML +138
                                                      Rays ML -177
                                                      [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                                      [/SIZE]
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Covy
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-13-11
                                                        • 1433

                                                        #62
                                                        Got the hose job on Yanks u7

                                                        Mariners -125
                                                        Cards o6.5 -110
                                                        [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                                        [/SIZE]
                                                        Comment
                                                        • trobin31
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-09-14
                                                          • 9853

                                                          #63
                                                          Same here on yanks u7, first blown save in forever comes agst us. Should've taken the first five under instead and avoided thevaunted yanks bullpen
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Covy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-13-11
                                                            • 1433

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by trobin31
                                                            Same here on yanks u7, first blown save in forever comes agst us. Should've taken the first five under instead and avoided thevaunted yanks bullpen
                                                            With the lack of offense, it was looking great going into the 7th, but what can you do?




                                                            31-22 +5.72 u
                                                            [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                                            [/SIZE]
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Covy
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-13-11
                                                              • 1433

                                                              #65
                                                              32-23 +5.62 u

                                                              LAA ML -108
                                                              [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                                              [/SIZE]
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Covy
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-13-11
                                                                • 1433

                                                                #66
                                                                33-23 +6.62 u

                                                                As +137
                                                                Rays -135
                                                                Dbacks -138
                                                                Angels +160
                                                                [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                                                [/SIZE]
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Covy
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-13-11
                                                                  • 1433

                                                                  #67
                                                                  34-26 +4.27 u

                                                                  Dbacks -105
                                                                  Mariners +128
                                                                  Pirates o7 +110
                                                                  Cards/Brewers ML parlay +160
                                                                  [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                                                  [/SIZE]
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Covy
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-13-11
                                                                    • 1433

                                                                    #68
                                                                    36-28 +4.6 u
                                                                    Padres -165
                                                                    Indians +110
                                                                    Giants +130
                                                                    Mariners -130
                                                                    [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                                                    [/SIZE]
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Covy
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-13-11
                                                                      • 1433

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Leake scratched

                                                                      Giants bet a no go
                                                                      [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                                                      [/SIZE]
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Covy
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-13-11
                                                                        • 1433

                                                                        #70
                                                                        38-29 +5.6 u

                                                                        Indians +155
                                                                        Royals Sox u9 +105
                                                                        [SIZE=2] [FONT=Arial]Listen, they only make movies about winners - and that's me![/FONT]
                                                                        [/SIZE]
                                                                        Comment
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