MLB - Wednesday, 7/8/15

44 Mag · 07-08-15, 06:37 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

5 MLB Plays Wednesday

Reds / Nationals UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
Yankees -105 (Heritage)
Astros / Indians UNDER 8 -115 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks / Rangers UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Rockies +126 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 302-278-15, +54.44

I got STL +102. That will change, any thoughts ????

LT Profits · 07-08-15, 06:59 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

I got STL +102. That will change, any thoughts ????

Model has Cards favored 54% (-117) so it agrees.

44 Mag · 07-08-15, 07:06 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Model has Cards favored 54% (-117) so it agrees.

Thank you.

Big Bear · 07-08-15, 07:55 AM

Good Luck LT

almost at 60 units!

Fieldysnuts44 · 07-08-15, 08:15 AM

Nice Job LT!!!

I'm along for the ride.

Fieldy

LT Profits · 07-08-15, 11:09 AM

2 MLB Additions

7 MLB Plays Wednesday

Reds / Nationals UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
Yankees -105 (Heritage)
Athletics / Yankees UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
Astros / Indians UNDER 8 -115 (Heritage)
Diamondbacks / Rangers UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Rockies +126 (5 Dimes)
Angels / Rockies UNDER 10.5 -105 (Heritage)

paco · 07-08-15, 11:14 AM

What ur model say about the Braves Lt?

artyfudgepacker · 07-08-15, 01:28 PM

Laa -129 for arty !!!!!!!

LT Profits · 07-08-15, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by paco

What ur model say about the Braves Lt? [ATTACH]82789[/ATTACH]

I'm sorry Paco, I just noticed your question and now the game has started. FYI, I actually had Milwaukee 61% (-156), so I was against you.

No coincidences · 07-08-15, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I'm sorry Paco, I just noticed your question and now the game has started. FYI, I actually had Milwaukee 61% (-156), so I was against you.

For the life of me, I don't understand how your numbers -- or the books -- could have this dogshit Milwaukee team favored by that much.

PorkChop · 07-08-15, 02:08 PM

No play on SD at +125?

paco · 07-08-15, 02:09 PM

Thanks for the response Lt. Hope Braves hold for me. Coins, I think they were favored like that cuz they won 8 of there last 10. Line dropped nice amount prolly once Braun and Ramirez were not playing. Julio has tendency to implode any given inning, I just hope it's not today

LT Profits · 07-08-15, 02:44 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

For the life of me, I don't understand how your numbers -- or the books -- could have this dogshit Milwaukee team favored by that much.

All computers love Fiers.

Ghenghis Kahn · 07-08-15, 02:50 PM

you got some balls going under in coors field especially with the halo's hot bats...

LT Profits · 07-08-15, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn

you got some balls going under in coors field especially with the halo's hot bats...

Most of the Angels damage has come vs. righties and the lefty Rusin has actually been fine at Coors so far.

RavensFan2k3 · 07-08-15, 03:28 PM

Originally posted by PorkChop

No play on SD at +125?

I do like this one too.

LT why NYY tho?

EVfollower · 07-08-15, 03:35 PM

LT why is STL not a play for you if the line is +106 and your system has -117??

paco · 07-08-15, 03:58 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

For the life of me, I don't understand how your numbers -- or the books -- could have this dogshit Milwaukee team favored by that much.

Cuz Atl bullpen sucks & LT system was right again

LT Profits · 07-08-15, 04:10 PM

Originally posted by EVfollower

LT why is STL not a play for you if the line is +106 and your system has -117??

I don't play ALL plays that have 10%+ variance from model, just like I also make some plays that are only pennies off the model. I do make some judgement calls.

LT Profits · 07-08-15, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

I do like this one too.

LT why NYY tho?

Seems I fade Kazmir a lot and CC actually has good peripherals for someone with his ERA (especially the 83 Ks vs. 18 BBs). And remember Andrew Miller is back, so Yanks have best 1-2 punch in back of the bullpen again.

44 Mag · 07-08-15, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Seems I fade Kazmir a lot and CC actually has good peripherals for someone with his ERA (especially the 83 Ks vs. 18 BBs). And remember Andrew Miller is back, so Yanks have best 1-2 punch in back of the bullpen again.

LT, you are the master, but CC at home, his ERA is 8.49 ???? Are you kidding ???? You think they are that bad hitting lefties ???? I think they figure in lefties that can still pitch.

Conqueror · 07-08-15, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

For the life of me, I don't understand how your numbers -- or the books -- could have this dogshit Milwaukee team favored by that much.

The books probably expect them to start another 7-win run.

44 Mag · 07-08-15, 04:34 PM

Originally posted by Conqueror

The books probably expect them to start another 7-win run.

Didn't Milwaukee come back and win that game ????

Conqueror · 07-08-15, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Didn't Milwaukee come back and win that game ????

Yes, but their 7-game winning streak was truncated yesterday.

44 Mag · 07-08-15, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by Conqueror

Yes, but their 7-game winning streak was truncated yesterday.

So, the other fella was questioning the logic of Milwaukee being favored at home ???? Didn't understand why he was "complaining" I guess, for lack of a better word. No big deal, I don't care either way. Moving on.

LT Profits · 07-08-15, 05:02 PM

1 MLB 5-Inning Addition

8 MLB Plays Wednesday

Reds / Nationals UNDER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
Yankees -105 (Heritage)
Athletics / Yankees UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
Astros / Indians UNDER 8 -115 (Heritage)
Astros / Indians UNDER 4 +100 (5 innings) (Bookmaker)
Diamondbacks / Rangers UNDER 9 +100 (Heritage)
Rockies +126 (5 Dimes)
Angels / Rockies UNDER 10.5 -105 (Heritage)