Leans for Thursday 4/9/09

ChArRiT · 04-09-09, 12:27 PM

Hey CK, do you think Over 4.5 in 1st five is still a play in the cards game??

The_Kid · 04-09-09, 12:34 PM

Originally posted by solobass

what, are you serious that is a tragedy. thoughts/prayers go to his family.

Definitely a tragic event. To make it worse, the guy tried to flee the scene. I'm glad the police got him after though.

R.I.P. Nick Adenhart

repski · 04-09-09, 12:35 PM

good ole' Ollie Perez...strikes out 5 in 2 2/3....gives up 2 hits and 4 runs....lol

CUAIrish · 04-09-09, 12:39 PM

[QUOTE=cocknocker;1726600]Gonna have to rock with the D-Rays today. I think that Matsuzaka isn't over the elbow stiffness that he had in the WBC, and as LemonDrop pointed out he is terrible with heavy chalk. The D-Rays prove that last year wasn't a fluke.

D-Rays+110 1st half

I have to agree on this, I'm a big fan of Garza as well helping this choice be an easier one.

Booked:

Mets/Reds over 9
LAD -1/2 First 5 -140
Rays first half +130

solobass · 04-09-09, 01:01 PM

A's and Angels postponed.....

indeed · 04-09-09, 01:11 PM

Dodgers +1.5 .. Kershaw should do his job and the Dodgers will get another easy victory.

solobass · 04-09-09, 01:14 PM

mets have to take out perez he is in there too long......the damage might already be too much.

repski · 04-09-09, 01:22 PM

Originally posted by repski

Mets/Reds over 9

-Perez was awful last Saturday walking 4 in the first inning...seems to be wild again.
-Arroyo also had a tough time in his final preseason outing. Arroyo gave up six runs and seven hits in the 12-4 loss to Cincy's Double-A team.
-Yesterday these two teams combined for 16 runs.

CUAIrish · 04-09-09, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by CUAIrish

**sorry for late post, my internet wouldn't load SBR at all so I couldn't post in time.

Bronson Arroyo has a career .828 OPS vs lefties compared to .702 vs righties. With a potent Mets offense and a predominantly left or switch hitting lineup look for Arroyo to struggle todoay coming in early off corpal tunnel syndrome problems that projected him to miss tonights start. My early lean had mets winning, but with an erratic Perez I like my chances on the over.

Booked:

Mets/Reds over 9

Supporting trends:
NYM are 9-0 in their last 9 Thu. games.
Over is 8-1-1 in Perezs last 10 starts overall.
Over is 8-1-1 in Perezs last 10 starts on grass.
Over is 7-1 in CIN last 8 games following a loss.
Over is 13-5-2 in CIN last 20 home games.

khaliagent · 04-09-09, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by bmorebucco

i like the first-rounder (romero) that has had to battle to beat the first-rounder (porcello) who is the annointed, especially since it's in toronto.

blue jays -105

awesome pick bro.

Romero is a battler fo sho...he had to wait like three years to get this attention but best believe he is here to stay.

solobass · 04-09-09, 01:36 PM

stick a fork in the tigers, the bullpen has struck again. blue jays 6-2

repski · 04-09-09, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by indeed

Dodgers +1.5 .. Kershaw should do his job and the Dodgers will get another easy victory.

I'm leaning dodgers 5 innings.....but I'm up nicely for the week already and don't want to give any back

The_Kid · 04-09-09, 01:44 PM

WTF are the Cardinals doing? 4 hits through 4 innings on Ohlendorf?

Carpenter is throwing a no-hitter and they're losing 1-0...

SportsChic · 04-09-09, 01:45 PM

I got the Pirates..they are taking this game...great price. Cardinals offense is awful..

The_Kid · 04-09-09, 01:49 PM

Originally posted by SportsChic

I got the Pirates..they are taking this game...great price. Cardinals offense is awful..

Haha it's not over yet, SportsChic. I have the OVER. I just need more runs! Good luck to you though!

CUAIrish · 04-09-09, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by The_Kid

WTF are the Cardinals doing? 4 hits through 4 innings on Ohlendorf?

Carpenter is throwing a no-hitter and they're losing 1-0...

How did they score? i see only 1 walk also. I liked Cards on this one but laid off cause of the price.

solobass · 04-09-09, 01:56 PM

pavano just getting shalacked out there for the indians....

The_Kid · 04-09-09, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by CUAIrish

How did they score? i see only 1 walk also. I liked Cards on this one but laid off cause of the price.

- R. Vazquez walked
- J. Wilson popped out to second
- R. Ohlendorf reached on fielder's choice, R. Vazquez to third on first baseman A. Pujols' throwing error
- N. Morgan reached on fielder's choice, R. Vazquez scored, R. Ohlendorf to second

peterpan19 · 04-09-09, 02:14 PM

Originally posted by solobass

whats up peterpan i hope you have been good. you are right about the over, i am counting on the mets to hand
their bullpen a lead and shut it down.

well...today not looking too good right now... cle probably done... stl where the hell is their Offense ??, I knew Chris could pitch, but hui ???.... CWS still a go and TB too... so maybe another 3-1 day...

other than that pretty good...dont think I had a loosing day so far with the mlb... so ok with gambling, but dont ask about the rest

, not so great

GL with your NYM, they can come back, just think about what Phi did yesterday...

CUAIrish · 04-09-09, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by peterpan19

GL with your NYM, they can come back, just think about what Phi did yesterday...

Our boys are done. Happy i took the over though.

cocknocker · 04-09-09, 02:46 PM

Originally posted by melincrea

Hey CK, I have Cleveland 1st half at +104.. why is your line so high?

Typo error. I was trying to remember it as i was typing it. Sorry about the mishap, although I may have been right. I only get the 1st 4.5 innings, not the whole 5.

cocknocker · 04-09-09, 02:48 PM

Originally posted by ChArRiT

Hey CK, do you think Over 4.5 in 1st five is still a play in the cards game??

Of course! Although I am a little late getting back to you!

cocknocker · 04-09-09, 02:51 PM

Well anyway, I got the Rays and Reds 1st halves already. Cleveland laid an egg and Pavano was not what I thought he was. Looks like the Indians will be te play in their next series in game 1. Time for a good old $900.00 play lol!

khaliagent · 04-09-09, 03:02 PM

12-3 SO FAR BOYS

I NEED SAN DIEGO AND SAN FRAN FOR A PERFECT DAY
(3-0 TO START CASHING : CINCI, TORONTO, SEATLE)

ANYONE ELSE ON THESE TWO.

NICE CALL ON THE CINCI GUYS. I CAPPED THAT LAST NIGHT BUT WHEN I SEEN YOU GUYS ON IT I FELT REALLY STRONG ABOUT IT.

FADE OLIVER PEREX!!

CUAIrish · 04-09-09, 03:30 PM

Need a run here for the LADs

CUAIrish · 04-09-09, 03:31 PM

Ba-Zing

TheLemonDropKid · 04-09-09, 04:18 PM

If I get one more winning wager jacked from me in the 5th inning my head is going to explode!!!!!!! LOL!!! Can you bet on whether or not a team is gonna score in the 5th Inning? Cuz that shit seems to be happening to me a lot.

wangichu · 04-09-09, 04:36 PM

Originally posted by solobass

pavano just getting shalacked out there for the indians....

yah, wow... well the indians certainly put up the runs i needed them too, but i could not have imagined how badly pavano could sabatoge them in less than 2 innings... oh well. Back at it tomorrow... 9-5 on the year isn't too shabby for a first week, especially with two of those being double up games. Back to my research facility

BmoreBucco · 04-09-09, 04:57 PM

Originally posted by BmoreBucco

I like the first-rounder (Romero) that has had to battle to beat the first-rounder (Porcello) who is the Annointed, especially since it's in Toronto.

Blue Jays -105

Originally posted by BmoreBucco

I like the Reds today at home versus the Mets. The Reds are plenty familiar with Perez from his Pirates days and Arroyo is solid. I think the Mets being the Mets is giving this line too much value to pass up.

Reds +108

Nice.

BmoreBucco · 04-09-09, 05:00 PM

And I'll take Milwaukee + anything and say thank you.

Milwaukee +106

BmoreBucco · 04-09-09, 05:13 PM

Prop of the Day:

I believe that Parra is a beast, so this line screams value to me:

Randy Winn won't get a hit +180

Dexter · 04-09-09, 05:14 PM

man, the run lines have not been kind to me in the early going. my baseball plays are 4-5 on the season, but 4 of the 5 losses were run line selections of -1.5. but, in 3 of those 4 losses, my team won by 1 run!

those that play run lines know the pain in that. we would rather see the team get buried so that it made sense not to lay -220 etc....

the ups and downs of sports gambling.

during these streaks is when i sloooow down. prob no more plays for me today. -1 unit on the day.

on a side note - horrible what happened to adenhart. tragic...

Dexter · 04-09-09, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by khaliagent

12-3 SO FAR BOYS

I NEED SAN DIEGO AND SAN FRAN FOR A PERFECT DAY
(3-0 TO START CASHING : CINCI, TORONTO, SEATLE)

ANYONE ELSE ON THESE TWO.

NICE CALL ON THE CINCI GUYS. I CAPPED THAT LAST NIGHT BUT WHEN I SEEN YOU GUYS ON IT I FELT REALLY STRONG ABOUT IT.

FADE OLIVER PEREX!!

friendly fyi - if you're going to tout yourself in baseball, you should be using units since a record means nothing with moneylines assigned to most all side plays. nice start though.

Dexter · 04-09-09, 05:41 PM

manny parra will become a #1 or 2 guy, and that could happen this year. awesome arsenal of pitches from the left side with a fastball that he can dial up to 97 when needed. one of his better starts last year was at sf (8ip/2er). RLM going on here with 60% of the public on sf, yet the line has dropped from 135 to 115.

-brewers (even)

Rellik · 04-09-09, 05:43 PM

Here we go guys..Main Even Mafia 2 plays for tonight:
Went 3-1 last night

Milwaukee Brewers +100
Brewers/Giants Under 7 1/2

Let's see how the cookie crumbles.!!

Record up to now MLB 2009
5-2

Main Event Mafia...Let's Play!!!!