" Dog of the Day"

[2daBank]

pac, i just looked and am i seeing wrong or is there a really strong wind blowing out to left? it chilly but man 7 runs aint hard to come across with wind blowing out. couple walks and few timely fly balls that turn to homers and you at 7 pretty quickly.. dunno if umps been named yet, there lots of good under guys due up today so that certainly plausible if not likely to be the case here. 7 still so damn low, maybe it telling but i couldnt pull the trigger i dont think..

[pacman63]

pac, i just looked and am i seeing wrong or is there a really strong wind blowing out to left? it chilly but man 7 runs aint hard to come across with wind blowing out. couple walks and few timely fly balls that turn to homers and you at 7 pretty quickly.. dunno if umps been named yet, there lots of good under guys due up today so that certainly plausible if not likely to be the case here. 7 still so damn low, maybe it telling but i couldnt pull the trigger i dont think..

Thanks 2da. Forgot to consider the direction of the wind. It's cold here and uncomfortable so laying off seems like excellent advise. Look forward to ute opinions on other game unders tonight. Thanks to all on this thread

[mitch51]

HOU +111


6-6 +2.06u

[RollinDo]

i just walked in, havnt seen weather or ump. such a low total for that place i think i would have to really like the ump and have a favorable wind to even consider. those both may be the case considering the number but honesty if you forced me to bet this gm i would have bet spankies at open..

I have 2 bets I really like for this game...Under 7 I considered, but I could see more runs later in the game...especially after batters have seen the starters a couple times.
I took the Under 3.5 (FF) and Mets +1.5...I know quite a few are on the Yanks after seeing the LM, but I'm not budging from the plan and my gut.

[RollinDo]

Thanks 2da. Forgot to consider the direction of the wind. It's cold here and uncomfortable so laying off seems like excellent advise. Look forward to ute opinions on other game unders tonight. Thanks to all on this thread

Just my take FWIW, but Friday night is not a great night to be playing Unders...be selective..last year I got burned betting too many Unders on Fri. and Sat. night.
Side plays are better if you have a strong lean.
Home teams are better on Friday in general???

[poirot86]

<sub>6-4 +2.42

Today I'm on HOU +129</sub>

[2daBank]

I have 2 bets I really like for this game...Under 7 I considered, but I could see more runs later in the game...especially after batters have seen the starters a couple times.
I took the Under 3.5 (FF) and Mets +1.5...I know quite a few are on the Yanks after seeing the LM, but I'm not budging from the plan and my gut.

i dont bet anything based off line moves. at times a line will move so much i make a play because i feel the plus money has gotten to great to pass up or the fav i liked has dropped significantly, but i never base a play off the direction a line goes and really dont even understand why someone would take the worse of it after a move? i promise there nothing telling about it other than telling ya someone/someones are betting that side heavily and i could give 2 shits bout that..

gun to head i would have played nyy early, as mentioned i dont like fading red hot teams so i passed. as it sits now i think it too expensive to play nyy and dont want any part of muts as im not the biggest believer in the world on this squad, i mean their pitching is very good but the lineup i think leaves a lot to be desired.

dont understand laying that kind of juice for +1.5. really no clue if it a good or bad idea as ive never investigated, there just nothing in my dna that would allow me to do it. my guess would be that run and a half cant save you as many times as the juice you paying to get it implies, that just a guess tho.. every now and then ill play a rl but only if it -120 or less in a gm i think is absolutely low scoring.. i just dont know bout total, i think it could go either way ff and gm.

[2daBank]

Just my take FWIW, but Friday night is not a great night to be playing Unders...be selective..last year I got burned betting too many Unders on Fri. and Sat. night.
Side plays are better if you have a strong lean.
Home teams are better on Friday in general???

you are honestly gonna sit here and try to say under is a poor play on weekends because you choose poorly? id love to see the numbers that back up overs as strong plays on fri and sat night please.. the problem with totals on fri is getting good and accurate ump lineups while also having a life. other than that i highly doubt there any such truth to what you just said.

[posey]

Stats since 2004, OU (3rd number=push):
MON: 1363-1377-143
TUE: 1917-1952-201
WED: 1933-2084-184
THU: 1407-1507-138
FRI: 1996-2056-236
SAT: 2072-2135-187
SUN: 1988-2172-206

There's not that much difference. Only looked into games from 2004 until now, but I bet the difference between seasons and days is that big if there's a difference at all. Just too lazy to look it up for each season.

[AchillesTG]

2-1 +1.47

Milwaukee +130 MLB [General]
04/24/15 08:10 PM ET

[RollinDo]

you are honestly gonna sit here and try to say under is a poor play on weekends because you choose poorly? id love to see the numbers that back up overs as strong plays on fri and sat night please.. the problem with totals on fri is getting good and accurate ump lineups while also having a life. other than that i highly doubt there any such truth to what you just said.

So you read my thread and tell me that what I write I deem accurate? Read it again...I don't want to rehash it for you because you apparently have problems with comprehension buddy.
But I will try...It was my experience with that LAST SEASON...maybe I chose poorly - dunno...but it seemed to me a lot of good hitting on Fridays last year.

[Holdin Aces]

Man I only got it at +112, very early this AM. What's going on here???? Just got home.

I think 2DaBank hit the nail on the head. Mets aren't great by any stretch of the imagination and a favorable home stretch makes that winning streak look a little better than it actually is. Yankees coming off a big series sweep of the Tigers is very impressive. Pineda is rounding into form so I get it with them being the favorites. With that being said I still like the Mets in this game. I've been on the streak since it started and I'm not about to jump ship now with Degrom on the mound at + money.

[2daBank]

So you read my thread and tell me that what I write I deem accurate? Read it again...I don't want to rehash it for you because you apparently have problems with comprehension buddy.
But I will try...It was my experience with that LAST SEASON...maybe I chose poorly - dunno...but it seemed to me a lot of good hitting on Fridays last year.

"friday night is not a great night to be playing unders"..

how did i miscomprehended the garbage you spew?

what funnier is how many unders did you play today after warning pac of the fri night bogey man? aparently you are more capable of "being selective" than him?

or how bout the whole idea that you keep posting some bs record and units in a fukkin thread titled "dog of the day", not "roolindo creates stupid plays with heavy juice and tracks loosely after he determines if it was a real play or not, thread". since we on the subject of comprehension..

ive wasted far more time with you than necessary..

[2daBank]

Stats since 2004, OU (3rd number=push):
MON: 1363-1377-143
TUE: 1917-1952-201
WED: 1933-2084-184
THU: 1407-1507-138
FRI: 1996-2056-236
SAT: 2072-2135-187
SUN: 1988-2172-206

There's not that much difference. Only looked into games from 2004 until now, but I bet the difference between seasons and days is that big if there's a difference at all. Just too lazy to look it up for each season.

i think that will do. hopefully any irrational fears of the fri night bogey man are now put to rest

[RollinDo]

"friday night is not a great night to be playing unders"..

how did i miscomprehended the garbage you spew?

what funnier is how many unders did you play today after warning pac of the fri night bogey man? aparently you are more capable of "being selective" than him?

or how bout the whole idea that you keep posting some bs record and units in a fukkin thread titled "dog of the day", not "roolindo creates stupid plays with heavy juice and tracks loosely after he determines if it was a real play or not, thread". since we on the subject of comprehension..

ive wasted far more time with you than necessary..

Thanks for the Friday laugh Joker...still having problems comprehending....2 freakin Unders tonight...talk about wasting MY time.

[2daBank]

Thanks for the Friday laugh Joker...still having problems comprehending....2 freakin Unders tonight...talk about wasting MY time.

your time, just as majority of your post, is worthless..

[RollinDo]

your time, just as majority of your post, is worthless..

[2daBank]

I think 2DaBank hit the nail on the head. Mets aren't great by any stretch of the imagination and a favorable home stretch makes that winning streak look a little better than it actually is. Yankees coming off a big series sweep of the Tigers is very impressive. Pineda is rounding into form so I get it with them being the favorites. With that being said I still like the Mets in this game. I've been on the streak since it started and I'm not about to jump ship now with Degrom on the mound at + money.

nothing wrong with that. you could never get me off them if i been riding the streak, really no point in stopping till they lose.. gl buddy..

[posey]

So you read my thread and tell me that what I write I deem accurate? Read it again...I don't want to rehash it for you because you apparently have problems with comprehension buddy.
But I will try...It was my experience with that LAST SEASON...maybe I chose poorly - dunno...but it seemed to me a lot of good hitting on Fridays last year.

2014: 189 o and 178 u on fridays. Negative ROI on both.
Not enough to justify saying much more overs than unders or smth like that.

[teecee]

5-3 +2.57

KC +1.5/HOU +1.5 parlay @ +128*

*will credit myself .26 U for this play.

[posey]

7-3, +5.43 u.

DoD 4/24
ARI +123

Dbacks lost.
7-4, +4.43 u.

DoD for 4/25 later.

[incognitoh]

4/24 - Arizona +125
YTD: 4-3 +1.87

YTD: 4-4 +.87
Brutal stretch; will try to turn it around tomorrow. Still "analyzing" games...lol. So I will post DoD later tonight or tomorrow.

[incognitoh]

YTD: 4-4 +.87
Brutal stretch; will try to turn it around tomorrow. Still "analyzing" games...lol. So I will post DoD later tonight or tomorrow.

Going with Miami +120 for today, 04/25.

[incognitoh]

Going with Miami +120 for today, 04/25.

Pads look good at +111 too... But already went with Miami for DoD.

[bruenc]

5-1 +5.03

Twins +135

[LT Profits]

Saturday:

Texas Rangers +149

4-9, -3.98

[2daBank]

9-3 +7.87

knew i was forcing it with twinks, still think it was the right play. hughes pitched well and they had felix on the ropes in consecutive innings with guys on the corners and just couldnt get them in.. back in little bit with play..

[posey]

7-4, +4.43 u.

DoD 4/25
White Sox +125 (J. Danks vs. E. Volquez)

[PorkChop]

D'backs +114

[twestacott]

5-3, +2.65

Looking real hard at Houston.... Back shortly to make an official pick

[robbeduagain]

Atlanta on the run line a loser.
Record: 2-2 +.9
today's pick:
Detroit on the run line +165
Good luck everybody

[posey]

5-3, +2.65

Looking real hard at Houston.... Back shortly to make an official pick

If it helps:

AD and DIV and game number < 40 and STDSERA > 4.7 and o:STDSERA > 4.7 and league = AL
SU:	64-51 (0.66, 55.7%)	avg line: 134.5 / -146.9	on / against: +$3,705 / -$4,517	ROI: +31.9% / -26.5%
RL:	63-17 (2.25, 78.8%)	avg line: -153.7 / 139.6	on / against: +$3,748 / -$3,971	ROI: +30.1% / -48.3%
OU:	53-55-8 (0.25, 49.1%)	avg total: 9.2	over / under: -$670 / -$300	ROI: -5.3% / -2.3%

Supports the Stros in this kinda situation.

[pacocn]

4/25 brewers +132
Ytd 4-7 down 2.07 units

[bystrow]

I am the worst addition to this thread since opening :O
Going with the DBacks tonight +117
0-2 -2

[pacocn]

I am the worst addition to this thread since opening :O
Going with the DBacks tonight +117
0-2 -2

Small sample size hang in there kid