Dodgers F5 -0.5

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  • posey
    SBR MVP
    • 05-23-14
    • 1112

    #1
    Dodgers F5 -0.5
    Don't like to bet on the Dodgers because I hate them. And I don't like to bet on full games in April because bullpens are kinda unknown in the first month but...

    Kershaw...
    ... has a 1.73 ERA in March/April from '12 to '14
    ... has a 2.25 ERA against the Padres lifetime including a 1.08 ERA from 3 games in 2014
    ... owns certain Padres:
    - Myers 0-3
    - Alonso 1-7
    - Justin Upton 4-38
    - Gyorko 1-11
    - Norris 0-3
    - Amarista 1-9
    - Solarte 1-7
    ...which makes up for a combined 8-78.
    (...the only Padres with acceptable stats against Kershaw but are unlikely to start are:
    - Nieves 2-9
    - Barmes 7-27
    - Venable 4-16)


    James Shields...
    ...has a 2.77 ERA in March/April from '12 to '14 himself
    ...but allowed 4 ER in 7 IP against the Dodgers in one game in '14
    ...struggles against certain Dodgers:
    - Rollins 4-12
    - Puig 2-4
    - Gonzalez 8-25
    - Kendrick 14-29 (!)
    - Uribe 2-6
    ...which makes up for a combined 30-76.

    Odds on ML are too low for me, but Pinnacle offers 1.826 (or -121). How to pass that? No way for me...
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