Mlb under 5 and under value plays

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  • amarius87
    SBR MVP
    • 11-07-12
    • 1117

    #1
    Mlb under 5 and under value plays
    Hey guys let's get this mlb season going

    05/04/15
    Cards/cubs under 5 (3.50) $20
    Card/ cubs under 6 (2.40) $25
  • amarius87
    SBR MVP
    • 11-07-12
    • 1117

    #2
    Will list plays as 1,2,3 etc the above plays are 1 and 2
    (1) w +$50
    (2) w +$35

    Record 2-0-0 +$85
    Comment
    • amarius87
      SBR MVP
      • 11-07-12
      • 1117

      #3
      Just a little bit more info, I base plays on starting pitchers and info of http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/weather.pl
      Sometimes also on the umpire but first two are the main go to.

      Goodluck all of you!
      Comment
      • amarius87
        SBR MVP
        • 11-07-12
        • 1117

        #4
        3) Braves/marlins under 5 (3.40) $20
        4) Jays/yanks under 6 (3.20) $20
        Comment
        • amarius87
          SBR MVP
          • 11-07-12
          • 1117

          #5
          Big jays fan ... Will play when at +odds or -1.5 at other times.
          1a) Jays record will be separate
          Jays ml (2.30) $25
          Comment
          • amarius87
            SBR MVP
            • 11-07-12
            • 1117

            #6
            3) w +$48
            4) l -$20
            1a) w +$32.5

            Record
            3-1-0 +$113

            Jays
            1-0-0 +$32.5
            Comment
            • amarius87
              SBR MVP
              • 11-07-12
              • 1117

              #7
              5) padres/dodgers under5 (2.90) $25
              Comment
              • amarius87
                SBR MVP
                • 11-07-12
                • 1117

                #8
                5) l -$25

                record
                3-2-0 +$88
                Comment
                • RollinDo
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-04-13
                  • 13322

                  #9
                  What an absolute horrible way to lose the Under in LA last night.
                  3 costly errors by LAD leads to 5 or more runs.
                  Should have been a 3-2 game at most.
                  I bought the hook at 7 at -147.
                  Comment
                  • amarius87
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-07-12
                    • 1117

                    #10
                    6) tigers -1.5 (2.25) $25
                    Comment
                    • amarius87
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-07-12
                      • 1117

                      #11
                      2a) jays ml (2.05) $25
                      7) mets/nats under 5 (2.80) $20
                      Comment
                      • amarius87
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-07-12
                        • 1117

                        #12
                        Originally posted by RollinDo
                        What an absolute horrible way to lose the Under in LA last night.
                        3 costly errors by LAD leads to 5 or more runs.
                        Should have been a 3-2 game at most.
                        I bought the hook at 7 at -147.
                        yea man i didnt get a chance to watch, i think it was 2-1 into the 7th, but tough luck, with the unders i play, i try to win 1/3 to atleast break even over 3 picks, 2/3 , 3/3 is postive so lets see how the season goes, still alot of games. the under looks good in today pads/dodgers game
                        Comment
                        • amarius87
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-07-12
                          • 1117

                          #13
                          6) w +$31.25
                          7) w +$36
                          2a) l -$25

                          Record
                          5-2-0 +$155.25

                          Jays
                          1-1 +$7.5
                          Comment
                          • amarius87
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-07-12
                            • 1117

                            #14
                            8) mets/nats under 5 (2.75) $20
                            Comment
                            • amarius87
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-07-12
                              • 1117

                              #15
                              Originally posted by amarius87
                              8) mets/nats under 5 (2.75) $20
                              that Desmond error in the 3rd killed the under in this game tough luck
                              Comment
                              • amarius87
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-07-12
                                • 1117

                                #16
                                9) giants/pads under 5 (3.20) $20
                                3a) jays -1.5 (2.25) $25
                                Comment
                                • amarius87
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-07-12
                                  • 1117

                                  #17
                                  8) l -$20
                                  9) w +$44
                                  3a) w +$31.25

                                  Record
                                  6-3-0 +$179.25

                                  Jays
                                  1-1 +$38.75

                                  total
                                  +$218.00
                                  Comment
                                  • amarius87
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-07-12
                                    • 1117

                                    #18
                                    4a) jays -1.5 (2.50) $25
                                    Comment
                                    • amarius87
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-07-12
                                      • 1117

                                      #19
                                      10) astros/rangers under 6 (3.20) $20
                                      11) whitesox rl -1.5 (2.70) $25
                                      Comment
                                      • amarius87
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-07-12
                                        • 1117

                                        #20
                                        12) Nats rl -1.5 (2.00)
                                        13) mets/braves under 5 (3.75)
                                        14) rays/marlins under 6 (3.00)
                                        Comment
                                        • A4K
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-08-12
                                          • 5245

                                          #21
                                          Has this style of betting been profitable for you over the course of a season?
                                          Comment
                                          • amarius87
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-07-12
                                            • 1117

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by A4K
                                            Has this style of betting been profitable for you over the course of a season?
                                            i tried it last year, what if you win 1/2 you are nearly still winning a unit ($20 for me) 1/3 youre almost breaking even. tbh there are days where I will hit all, and some days like yesterday shit just goes crazy. It really works well for pitchers in the rotation 1-3. for starters 4-5 can get a bit messed even though it looks good. like yesterday that houston/texas total was really unlikely , rasmus hit that uneccesary home run in the top of the 9th, so got a push.
                                            What I will do now is break down my rl/ml picks and the unders so its more clear.
                                            i do wonder if how many times i would have won if i just took the posted under but looking at i feel hitting the adjusted unders 1/2 or even 1/3 or hitting 2/3 or 3/3 at a time is better. just my style of betting. lets see how it goes.
                                            and got to remember the first few weeks of baseball are really random at times, some days all games will go over and next day all under, untill pitchers find their groove and batters start hitting. in the first few weeks i like unders with the top pitchers because bats are still starting to get loose, and also the link I posted, if the wind is going downwards I will most likely take a the under as the ball will have trouble travelling.
                                            good luck
                                            Comment
                                            • amarius87
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-07-12
                                              • 1117

                                              #23
                                              10) p +0
                                              11) l -$25
                                              12) l -$25
                                              13) l -$20
                                              14) l -$20
                                              4a) w +$37.5

                                              record
                                              6-7-1 $+89.25

                                              jays
                                              3-1 +$76.25

                                              total: +$165.5
                                              Comment
                                              • amarius87
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-07-12
                                                • 1117

                                                #24
                                                here is the breakdown up till now, since this is suppose to be a unders thread... to the above post, going .500 over 10 games still brings in a $100 profit betting $20 per under, which I say i fairly decent.

                                                UNDERS
                                                5-5-1 +$108

                                                RL
                                                1-2 -$18.75

                                                jays
                                                3-1 +$76.25

                                                total: +$165.5
                                                Comment
                                                • A4K
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-08-12
                                                  • 5245

                                                  #25
                                                  Fun to watch. Keep it up.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • amarius87
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-07-12
                                                    • 1117

                                                    #26
                                                    15) cards/reds under 5 (3.10) $20
                                                    Comment
                                                    • amarius87
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-07-12
                                                      • 1117

                                                      #27
                                                      16) whitesox rl -1.5 (2.35) $25
                                                      Comment
                                                      • amarius87
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-07-12
                                                        • 1117

                                                        #28
                                                        17) tigers/indians under 5 (2.60) $20
                                                        18) rays/marlins under 5 (4.00) $20

                                                        damn... second straight day that top of the 9th screwed a winning under... but i suppose a push is better than a loss.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • amarius87
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-07-12
                                                          • 1117

                                                          #29
                                                          19) mets/braves under 5 (3.25) $20
                                                          5a) jays rl -1.5 (2.50) $25
                                                          Comment
                                                          • amarius87
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-07-12
                                                            • 1117

                                                            #30
                                                            20) giants/padres under 4 (3.75) $20
                                                            Comment
                                                            • amarius87
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-07-12
                                                              • 1117

                                                              #31
                                                              15)p +0
                                                              16)l -$25
                                                              17)l -$20
                                                              18)w +$60
                                                              19)l -$20
                                                              20)l -$20
                                                              5a)l -$25

                                                              UNDERS
                                                              6-8-2 +$108

                                                              RL
                                                              1-3 -$43.75

                                                              jays
                                                              3-2 +$51.25

                                                              week 1 total: +$115.5
                                                              Comment
                                                              • amarius87
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-07-12
                                                                • 1117

                                                                #32
                                                                21) cards/reds under 6 (3.10)
                                                                22) mets/braves under 5 (3.10)
                                                                6a) jays -1.5 (2.60)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • amarius87
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-07-12
                                                                  • 1117

                                                                  #33
                                                                  23) royals/angles under 5 (3.90) $20
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • amarius87
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-07-12
                                                                    • 1117

                                                                    #34
                                                                    the values for games 21, 22, were $20 and 6a) $25
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • amarius87
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-07-12
                                                                      • 1117

                                                                      #35
                                                                      21) l -$20
                                                                      22) l -$20
                                                                      23) l -$20
                                                                      6a) w +$40


                                                                      UNDERS
                                                                      6-11-2 +$48

                                                                      RL
                                                                      1-3 -$43.75

                                                                      jays
                                                                      3-2 +$91.25

                                                                      week 1 total: +$95.5
                                                                      Comment
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