Mcbaseball Picks

mcbaseball10 · 04-07-09, 04:24 PM

Added plays Tues 4/7

Added for Tues

LOSS CHC -116
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LOSS LAD -114
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WIN Minn -107--2 units

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Regular season MLB

4-2-0 (67% +3 units)
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mcbaseball10 · 04-07-09, 10:50 PM

4-2 won my 2 unit bet. Good start to the season.
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Regular season MLB

4-2-0 (67% +3 units)
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mcbaseball10 · 04-08-09, 05:34 PM

Wed 4/8 picks

LOSS NYM v. CIN U 8 +105

Volquez and Reds bullpen should keep it low scoring and Reds offense going to struggle this year
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WIN KC v. CHW U 8.5 -105

Two RLM plays both to win 1 unit
WIN Pitt ML +152
WIN Balt. ML+142

Could take a hit on my record but like the odds I am getting on all these plays

mcbaseball10 · 04-08-09, 07:49 PM

Added play Tues.

WIN Mil. ML -114 vs. R. Johnson and SF
Got in way late on this line as it started as a +#, but still see the opp. for Brew Crew to pound the Big Unit

mcbaseball10 · 04-08-09, 08:16 PM

So much for the under in Mets v. Reds game. Couple of big homers early.

mcbaseball10 · 04-09-09, 07:30 AM

Wed. Results

Finished strong yesterday going 4-1 and +3 units.
My underdog winners were to win one unit so ended up a good day.
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Regular season MLB

8-3-0 (73% +6 units)
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mcbaseball10 · 04-10-09, 05:51 PM

Friday plays 4/10

POSTPONED Pitt +157 to win 1 unit
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LOSS Balt. v. TB Over 10 to win 1 unit
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WIN Ariz -110 to win 1 unit

Dfjay9 · 04-10-09, 05:59 PM

Whered you find Zona at -110?

Dfjay9 · 04-10-09, 05:59 PM

oops nevermind my brain is still i nfootball mode

zona = cards = st louis

mcbaseball10 · 04-10-09, 06:08 PM

Have done that before myself.

mcbaseball10 · 04-10-09, 06:59 PM

Added play Friday

LOSS Boston +105 to win one unit
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WIN SD -114

mcbaseball10 · 04-12-09, 11:13 PM

Monday Picks 4/13

Early pick for Monday
WINReds ML (+125)
Coming off a mediocre outing last week, hopefully Volquez will be back to his All-Star form from last season. Anytime you can get a number this big with a pitcher of his caliber it is worth a shot. With Gallardo pitching for the Brew Crew, I expect a low scoring game. Reds lineup is much better against right handed pitching than lefties. No line yet on the over/under on Bodog but I will def. lean the under. Expect it to come out around 8.
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Regular season MLB

10-5-0 (67% +6 units)
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mcbaseball10 · 04-13-09, 05:43 PM

Added plays for Mon 4/13

Line came out where I expected it at 8 for o/u in Cincy v. Mil.
Going to take the under in this one

LOSS CIN v. MIL Under 8 -120
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LOSS MIN ML -123
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WINBal v. Tex Over 10.5 -110

mcbaseball10 · 04-14-09, 11:10 AM

Monday Results

2-2 yesterday -.08 units

The Reds v. Brewers game was not as I expected at all with lots of runs scored on the starters. Volquez not to form yet and Gallardo unexpected poor outing.

Will post Tuesday picks/leans shortly

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Regular season MLB

12-7-0 (63% +5.92 units)
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mcbaseball10 · 04-14-09, 11:32 AM

Tuesday 4/14 picks

All plays to win 1 unit

Postponed Detroit Tigers +120
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Postponed Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Under 5 (-110)

*Anticipate a strong outing from the rookie RH Porcello..After shaking the first game jitters he should settle in this outing and allow his talent to take over. Danks (LH) is also a quality starter. With the wet and cold conditions in Detroit would expect a low scoring start to this one.
Taking Detroit for the game with the +120 and home field advantage.

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LOSS Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Over 9 (-115)
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LOSS Milwaukee Brewers -138

Arroyo is suffering from carpal tunnel in his throwing hand. He was able to get the win in his first start, but don't expect him to be able to have dominate performances this year.

jellobiafra · 04-14-09, 11:45 AM

Mcb,

That Cinci game last night didn't turn out like either of us thought, eh? Some pitcher's duel.... I thought I was golden when Hart hit a 3-run jack to put MIL up 5-1. Then Gallardo goes out and shits the bed the next half inning. I knew Grienke would shut down CLE and Carmona would get touched up. Man Grienke looked sharp. Painting the corners, low in the zone, low to mid 90's velocity. Just nasty. Kid's really starting to fulfill all those expectations. Bright future ahead.

My parlay crashed with MIL, Wang was just wrong so that blew my total, and ARZ couldn't scrap out more than 1 run to back up a solid performance by Doug Davis. I decided my thread idea was an epic fail. I quit.

mcbaseball10 · 04-14-09, 11:53 AM

Jello, don't quit so early. Like to have somebody to bounce ideas off. Any time I can find another person with some reasoning behind their plays it is beneficial. Keep up the work. Its a marathon not a sprint. BOL tonight with all your plays.

jellobiafra · 04-14-09, 12:00 PM

Well I'm on the under in this Detroit game. I like MIL on the R/L tonight. That's somewhat based on your sage input in regards to CIN vs LH pitching. MIL bats should do well against Arroyo and his guitar wrist.

I parlayed STL and KC. Going to ride KC hard for now -- especially against CLE. I sense a little bit of magic in these guys early. Machine Choice posted that he place $100 on them at 150/1 to win the WS this year. That doesn't seem quite as far fetched today as it did two weeks ago, imo.

mcbaseball10 · 04-14-09, 12:11 PM

Had not looked at the KC game, but now that you have I see that Carl Pavano is pitching. Might he be like Randy Johnson, fade at all costs? I will jump on board with this pick. Not sold on St. Louis being in Arizona.

Add
WIN KC Moneyline -138
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WIN Clev. v. KC Over 9 -120

jellobiafra · 04-14-09, 12:17 PM

Yeah, that was another reason for the pick - Pavano. I also think Kyle Davies is good young pitcher. He finished strong last season, even if he doesn't usually go very deep. I'm a Braves fan and I remember him coming up. Great change. Good curveball. I knew if he ever learned how to pitch he'd be solid. Looks like he's getting there.

I also booked LAA at -105. I don't care whose pitching for the Angels; Carlos Silva is dragging his gascan out to the mound for Seattle. LAA - the best team in the division against one of the worst SP in the division at even odds? Seems like a good value to me.

mcbaseball10 · 04-14-09, 03:27 PM

Tailing EP36

After reading EaglePhan's assessment of the Cardinals @ DBacks, I am going to tail him on the under. He and topgame are very solid o/u cappers on here.

LOSSCards @ DBacks Under 9 (-115)

EaglesPhan36 · 04-14-09, 03:31 PM

I got my eye on that Cincy game. Haven't made up my mind, but the Arroyo situation makes the over more attractive.

PicksbyPete · 04-14-09, 03:33 PM

Good luck to everyone:

MY MLB PLAYS

Boston under8
STLouis over 9
TOR over 9
KC over 9
MILL over 9
Texas over 11
TB under 8.5
Fla under 9
Seattle over 9

GOOD LUCK....PICKSBYPETE

mcbaseball10 · 04-15-09, 12:22 PM

Tues. Results 2-3 -1.68

Rough day yesterday as Arroyo did exact opposite of what I thought and threw a gem.
Going to take a look at the games today and tonight and hope to find some value plays.

Tues. Results 2-3 -1.68
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Regular season MLB

14-10-0 (58% +4.24 units)
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mcbaseball10 · 04-15-09, 01:09 PM

Wed 4/15 picks

To win 1 unit

LOSS Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals Over 9½ -110
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PUSH Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Over 7 (-125)

Both games had chance to go over in the 9th.Indians have runner thrown out at the plate and Cubs have nobody out with runners on first and second down 3. Guy gets caught stealing third then a double play ball. Unreal.

mcbaseball10 · 04-15-09, 01:26 PM

Added plays

To win 1 unit
WIN(971) Boston Red Sox -109 Wed@3:35p
Competitor

972) Oakland Athletics
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WIN(971) Boston Red Sox vs. (972) Oakland Athletics Over 8½ (-115)
Competitor

972) Oakland Athletics
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LOSS Houston Astros vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Over 9 (+105

mcbaseball10 · 04-15-09, 07:04 PM

Added 2 more overs

WIN Cin v. Mil over 9 -135
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WIN Balt v. Tex over 12 -120

mcbaseball10 · 04-15-09, 09:22 PM

Wed results

Don't have to stay up late and wait for the overs in Texas and Mil. with them hitting early.
Finished day 4-2-1 +1.95 units
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Regular season MLB

18-12-1 (60% +6.19 units)
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mcbaseball10 · 04-16-09, 02:46 PM

Thurs 4/16 Plays

Getting a couple of plays in before I hop on a plane and head home to Ft. Lauderdale to see my girl, finally! BOL everybody tonight.

To win 1 unit
HALLADAY with a solid offense this year gives you a good shot to win every time out

(917) Toronto Blue Jays ML -136 @ Minnesota
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TO WIN 1 Unit
919) Los Angeles Angels vs. (920) Seattle Mariners Over 8½ (-120) Thu@10:10p
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TO win 2 units PLAY
(909) San Diego Padres vs. (910) New York Mets Over 7½

(not sold on Peavy's health this year yet and Maine good to give up a few as well..was leaning this way and Pairof5's confidence in this play persuaded me to place another unit.)

mcbaseball10 · 04-17-09, 08:14 AM

Thursday 4/16 results

Finished 2-1 up 1.8 units on Thursday. Going to look at Friday's games now.

To win 1 unit
WIN (917) Toronto Blue Jays ML -136 @ Minnesota
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TO WIN 1 Unit
LOSS 919) Los Angeles Angels vs. (920) Seattle Mariners Over 8½ (-120) Thu@10:10p
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TO win 2 units PLAY
WIN(909) San Diego Padres vs. (910) New York Mets Over 7½

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Regular season MLB

20-13-1 (61% +7.99 units)
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mcbaseball10 · 04-17-09, 08:46 AM

Friday 4/17 plays

To win 1 unit
LOSS Houston ML -145

(From Dayton Daily News)
RHP Johnny Cueto gets the first crack at the Astros Friday. He started four games against them last year and was 0-3.

They face RHP Roy Oswalt, whose lifetime record against the Reds is 23-1

WIN Cubbies ML -190
Zambrano vs. a rookie (PJ Walters) with no experience above Double A. I will lay the heavy chalk on this one

mcbaseball10 · 04-17-09, 11:32 AM

Added plays Fri 4/17

TO WIN ONE UNIT
WIN Cleveland Indians vs. New York Yankees Over 9 (EVEN)

Chamb. struggles to go deep in games which leads to the abyssmal Yankees pen. Looking for a high scoring Yankees win but not touching the -225 price for the Yanks.
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LOSS Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets Over 9½ (-125)
Expect Livan Hernandez to balloon his ERA back to last year's form.
Bush will give up his share of the runs as well. Expecting a slugfest in this one before it gets to the 8-9 combo of Putz and Frankie

CBSSPORTS-No pitcher who logged at least 170 innings had a
higher ERA than Livan Hernandez's last season

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WIN Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers Over 10½ (EVEN)

Don't be scared by Meche pitching in this one as he has struggled mightily against the Rangers. Meche is 4-9 with a 6.32 ERA in 15 starts and one relief appearance against Texas.

The Rangers offense in Texas gives the over a chance every time out.

mcbaseball10 · 04-17-09, 05:47 PM

Added plays Friday

WIN Florida Marlins -132 ML
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LOSS Florida Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Over 9 (-125)
Jumping on board with Topgame on this one

mcbaseball10 · 04-17-09, 07:50 PM

Might be a rough night for me with not much offense in the games I picked. Is it too late to change my picks?