CK's Daily MLB Thread Leans for 4/7/09

[cocknocker]

I just have to take a stab at the Brewers as Lincecum was 0-4 as a favorite of -145 or more last year and then he is lined up at -170 for this game against a playoff team from last year? Suppan was 2-0 as a road starter last year in April. And he also won his last performance against the Giants as well. Lincecum was lights out last year in April too going 4-1. At least I am getting a playoff team from last year at a +150 price. Crumbs play of the day:

Brewers+150 Yum-Yum Crumbs


Added play carjacked from BigMoneyMan

Royals+110 Crumbs, Yum-Yum

[Vince Carter]

like this play as well - the giants can't hit

[danrman]

hope it works better than sd

[Vince Carter]

sd can't hit either

good thing i didn't go to the sd game, i was going to go for $5/ticket

[Ih8dancox]

sd can't hit either

good thing i didn't go to the sd game, i was going to go for $5/ticket

Love The BREW cREW, YEA he won th Cy young last year but they cant hit and the Brew Crew has some good hitters and to get a playoff team plus 150 is definitely worth a shot

[Bookie-Rookie]

I'll ride with CK as always....how bout our Dodgers yesterday CK???? Looking pretty decent huh? Cant wait til opening day here in LA

Next time you're in town...i'll take you and the missus to a game, and we can throw down a few and watch Manny knock out a few.

Hoping you have a HEAVY for me today..i'm all over it!!!

[wangichu]

early leans:

wandy rodriguez handles business at home (and has improved every year) and i'm still not sold on dempster to be anywhere near as dominant as last year.

HOU ML

don't know why it's offered at plus money but jimenez and haren should do what cook and webb failed to do, that being slowing the other team's offense down.

ARI/COL Under 8.5

not sure yet, but i like lohse over snell tomorrow. I expect the cards to make sure they get the job done here after getting upset with a late comeback at home against an inferior pirate squad.

CARDS -1.5

also looking at jurrjens to outpitch moyer for 5 innings.

ATL 1st 5

[ragiche]

Here are my plays for today.

Sf/Mil under 7 , Atl +115 , Ari -1.5 .Let's start to win games.

[joanapoker]

I'm tailing also this one! I'm liking this baseball stuff

I'm also tailing Machinechoice. I think him and CK will have a very nice positive record in the end of the season. And CK will have two positive records, because of the system plays!

[Jimbo42]

CK, Bookie-Rookie mentioned that you are a Dodger Fan.. Let me find out!.. Thems my boys...Been a Dodger fan since little little kid....

[peterpan19]

ok guys today we have nba and mlb action... the year started with wins on Pit and Flo -1 and pushes on ARZ -1 (oh my boys are hitting it hard this year) and Cin +1 (nice try), but still made money so not so bad...

here is what I like today:
Bos -1 +101 (no need for a writeup here...they will just take it...)

ATL 5 Innings +103 (Jurrjens had an 3.33 ERA against Phi last year... Moyer only 6.55 ERA, but more outstanding the big three for Phi Rollins, Utley and Howard only went 7-33 against Jair... I think the bullpen probably blows an early Braves lead later in the game, so I only go with the 5 Inning shere today)

Flo -1 -107 (Olson coming back home here today... it just wont be a great return...he had an 3.11 ERA last year here but that doesnt matter much since he wont get any run support from Was at least as long josh is in there...i think Florida will take this one, I also thinking about taking the under 4.5 for the first 5 innings here, but not sure yet)

Hou +102 (Dempster strugled a bit against Hou in his carrer as he only has a 5.18 ERA in his starts...now Rodriguez he will make it a tough for the Cubs today as he is 3-1 with an 2.27 ERA at home vs the Cubs...I take the dog in this one... even if the Hou Off didnt impress me yesterday)

Min -108 (actually only taking it today here bc bedard has so bad numbers against Min as he is 0-5 with an 4.84 ERA...)

GL

[SamsNCharge99]

Lincecum is one of the top 5 pitchers in the MLB right now.

Opening Day for the Giants at home.....SF Giants BIG for me

I actually have both pitchers, and benching Suppan for this,

[repski]

Fla...ML and 5inning
booked

[Raji66]

Take the Giants
Take the D Backs
Take the Cards
===================
Take the Blues in hockey
take the Oilers in hockey
take the Wild in hockey
=====================

Thank Me Tomorrow

Oh and ps take the Canadian Womens Hockey Team to Win the championship it will pay well........

[Vince Carter]

Lincecum is one of the top 5 pitchers in the MLB right now.

Opening Day for the Giants at home.....SF Giants BIG for me

I actually have both pitchers, and benching Suppan for this,

lol why would you bench suppan? the giants aren't great on hitting with the exception of their outfielders and maybe pablo sandoval



so sammy with your logic, any "top 5 pitcher in the MLB" will win, right?

[tsn101]

2 picks right now: St. Louis and Chicago Cubs.

[Euphoria38]

Anyone leaning on the royals today? Im not sure what Gil's numbers are, but I like the royals new revamped offense.

[MJT1212]

Fla...ML and 5inning
booked

my god, now THATS what im talking about for an avatar

[SamsNCharge99]

lol why would you bench suppan? the giants aren't great on hitting with the exception of their outfielders and maybe pablo sandoval



so sammy with your logic, any "top 5 pitcher in the MLB" will win, right?

Obv. not every game, but I'll take a top 5 pitcher pitching at home on opening day

[schaapattack]

Top 5? hes was the top last year and that wont change..if you play against him you have lost your mind

[cocknocker]

More Crumbs play for today


Kansas City Royals +110 (Carjacked from BigMoneyMan)

[smitch124]

I just have to take a stab at the Brewers as Lincecum was 0-4 as a favorite of -145 or more last year and then he is lined up at -170 for this game against a playoff team from last year? Suppan was 2-0 as a road starter last year in April. And he also won his last performance against the Giants as well. Lincecum was lights out last year in April too going 4-1. At least I am getting a playoff team from last year at a +150 price. Crumbs play of the day:

Brewers+150 Yum-Yum Crumbs


Added play carjacked from BigMoneyMan

Royals+110 Crumbs, Yum-Yum

Where do you get this stat from?

[solobass]

Anyone leaning on the royals today? Im not sure what Gil's numbers are, but I like the royals new revamped offense.

i am on the royals today as well. buehrle induces many ground balls but the white sox infield is now one of the worst in the majors. meche has a different style but by era, whip etc they are pretty close. bottom line is royals are a better team and are a dog.

other play for me is rays/red sox under 8.5.

[DCDUDE]

ck royals +110 are you playing for the game or first 5?

[B's Picks]

Booked:
Chi sox -127

[pako74]

Hey Ck I have the same question. When do you decide to play just the first 5 innings? Is it based on pitchers that you like dislike, bullpens of teams? Thanks any advice will be appreciated.

Ive been reading for a month or so and your'e explanations are very insightful.

[cheesehead004]

I'm not feelin that Royals play. Every single stat says the White Sox are the play here, and Buerhle is a monster in April, and against the Royals. I have no idea why you're going with KC.


EDIT: Okay, nevermind that. Apparently there is strong wind that is blowing out of the stadium. I am gonna play the over here I guess.

[repski]

BOSTON -140

-Beckett is 14-4 with a 3.04 ERA the last 4 years in the month's of March/ April.
-Beckett is also 6-3 with a 3.91 ERA in 10 career starts vs the Rays.
-Becket is 5-1 mark with a 4.30 ERA in 7 home starts vs the Rays.
-Shields has not pitched well vs Boston in his career going 2-6 with a 4.80 ERA vs them.
-Shields is 0-3 vs Boston with a 10.12 ERA in 3 career starts at Fenway.
-Revenge factor, Rays knocked Boston out of the ALCS

rolling with dexter on this one....

[cocknocker]

I was out of character taking a favorite yesterday, when the bulk of my plays involve Crumbs.

Anyway smitch, I got it from Winning Edge.Com pitcher logs for 2007

[cocknocker]

I will indicate when i am making a play for the first five innings. It's usually with a home dog that has 70% or more on the opposing side and the line goes in reverse against the public

[Wilforth]

Lincecum is one of the top 5 pitchers in the MLB right now.

Opening Day for the Giants at home.....SF Giants BIG for me

I actually have both pitchers, and benching Suppan for this,

CC and Lee are also top pitchers but they were spanked yesterday. Brewers can get this one.

[cheesehead004]

Okay so I guess there's not really any wind in Chicago. That's the last time I listen to douches on Covers ahahaha

[Kav]

Brewers ML lets get it!

[solobass]

cheese the only wind that is blowing is the one in your head as you cap this royals/white sox game! i always check weather channel website, i have a spreadsheet with the zip code of every stadium. anyway i have the white sox finishing in the basement or second to last with KC finishing ahead of them in the standings for 2009. the royals can barely flash any leather but the white sox are near the bottom in the league defensively, especially their infielders. a lot of people have wondered if the KC offense from spring training will translate to regular season success, that will be an interesting item to watch this year. best of luck today!

[repski]

I will indicate when i am making a play for the first five innings. It's usually with a home dog that has 70% or more on the opposing side and the line goes in reverse against the public

CK,

Don't you think for the first week or two 5 inning plays might be better...until they stretch these pitchers out??