Week of 4-5 MLB plays

[Justin7]

Atl +124 (MB)
Atl/Phi OV8.5 +102 (MB)

All plays a risking 1 unit on dogs, or to win 1 unit on favs unless otherwise stated.

[Justin7]

1-1, +0.24u

4-6: StL -179 (MB)

[cobra_king]

I have NEVER had any interest in following a player's picks thread in all my time at SBR. This one is the exception. I'm surprised to see this thread, but intrigued to follow it.

[spongerat]

wow i thought you didn't bet mainstream sports? i hope you keep posting picks!

[Justin7]

Adding Col/Ari OV7.5 -113 (MB).

No guarantees anywhere... But with 1-cent spreads and any kind of opinion, I think I have the best of it.

I also played some Wash +156, but that number is now gone. At +139 I'd pass, so I won't count Washington as a play.

I used to handicap everything and did reasonably well. I've decided to get back to what I enjoy - the math of capping.

[spongerat]

its ok you didn't hit, the line was moving the other way. you're still the sharpest poster anywhere

[onthewhat]

Justin you should link this to the Players Talk forum...I think a lot of guys over there would be interested in your plays all year...

[Justin7]

Justin you should link this to the Players Talk forum...I think a lot of guys over there would be interested in your plays all year...

Thanks, will do.

YTD 2-2; -0.55u

4/7:
Milw +153
StL -144
Col/ARI OV8.5 -114
SD+101

[fiveteamer]

Justin always get the best number possible.

[Justin7]

Adding LAD/SD UND7.5 -111

[Justin7]

3-2... YTD 5-4, +0.32u

[Justin7]

4-8
Houston +134
St Louis -150
San Diego +165

[Justin7]

0-3, -3.5.
YTD 3-5; -3.18u

[Justin7]

4/9
StL -192

[Justin7]

One more today: LAD/SD UND8 -110

[Justin7]

2-0; +2
ytd 5-5; -1.18

[Justin7]

4-10:
Colorado +125
LAD +108
SD -112
SF/SD UND8 -119

[Justin7]

2-2, +0.06
YTD: 7-7; -1.12u

[Justin7]

NYM +131
WAS +156
COL +106
Phi/Col OV10 -110
ARI+109
SD-141
Det-153
Tor/CLE UND8.0 -110
Cle+113

[chucksmith]

Justin, do you play many team totals? I think TEX and HOU pitching is going to be a disaster all year and have been looking at spot plays to exploit that.

[Justin7]

Justin, do you play many team totals? I think TEX and HOU pitching is going to be a disaster all year and have been looking at spot plays to exploit that.

Texas clearly has some problems with pitching. I'm not a manager, but it seems like they could do better by going to a 4-man rotation. Texas's #4 and #5 are too shaky.

Houston also has 2 week spots, but not to the degree of Texas.

I played a few team totals earlier this year, but I don't look at those often anymore.

[VegasDave]

GL Justin, looking foward to watching this thread

[Justin7]

NYM +131
WAS +156
COL +106
Phi/Col OV10 -110
ARI+109
SD-141
Det-153
Tor/CLE UND8.0 -110
Cle+113

So far, these plays have combined moved 70 cents. A majority of these plays are moving the "right way".

[InTheHole]

Good luck today 7

[juuso]

GL with your bets, Justin. I got a few of the same ones today. Especially liked Cleveland which I hit @ +114 and added bit more @ +120.

[Justin7]

GL with your bets, Justin. I got a few of the same ones today. Especially liked Cleveland which I hit @ +114 and added bit more @ +120.

+120 is a great number. Where did you get that?

[juuso]

Pinny. It peaked around +120 about an hour before game time.

Not the greatest start for the game though. Lee throwing shaky and Indians couldn't take advantage of their early chances so far. Oh well, there's plenty of game left. Can't win all of them, but there was some value in the number IMHO.

[Justin7]

Nice.

Adding Bos +108

[Justin7]

5-5; +0.29u
YTD: 12-12; -0.83u

[Justin7]

4-12:
Hou/STL OV8 +100
Phi/Col OV10 -109
Col -127
SF/SD UND6.5 -110 (I got a bad number )

[Justin7]

2 AL plays:
Cle -125
Balt +140

[Justin7]

2-4; -2.37.
YTD: 14-16; -3.1u

[fiveteamer]

at the end of the day, we are all 50% made it or not.