Thursday picks

jellobiafra · 03-26-09, 11:47 AM

With you on this pick. Also on the Braves behind Derrick Lowe v. Tor with Mills. Lowe coming off a disappointing outing and looking to rebound as ST draws to an end. I'm on ARZ with B Webb v. CWS and Marquez - another dog at +105

DFoster · 03-26-09, 11:49 AM

STL -143 OVER NYM - 3 UNITS

Wainwright vs. John Maine.

Wainright has been solid and shut teams down throught he pre-season whereas Main has an ERA over 10 and been shelled by split squads. In addition to the huge starter difference, the Mets are starting a handful of backups while the Cardinals have what looks to be their opening day lineup. The line went from -136 to -143 right when I was entering my bet...

DFoster · 03-26-09, 11:51 AM

Originally posted by jellobiafra

With you on this pick. Also on the Braves behind Derrick Lowe v. Tor with Mills. Lowe coming off a disappointing outing and looking to rebound as ST draws to an end. I'm on ARZ with B Webb v. CWS and Marquez - another dog at +105

I like ATL to win today as well but at greater than -160, I'm leaving it alone.

I'm currently leaning toward ARI and ANA right now but want to wait for lineups. I really like the ANA line right now and expect it to go from -130 to -150 by game time. I want to bet it now but hate betting one lines without seeing a lineup.

DFoster · 03-26-09, 12:52 PM

Good start for the marlins at 5-0 in the 2nd, 2-1 Cards in the 3rd...

Leans for the afternoon: Cubs, Angels, and Diamondbacks for now.

jellobiafra · 03-26-09, 01:36 PM

FLA now up 10-0. Cash it.

Braves up 4-1 in the 6th.

DFoster · 03-26-09, 01:52 PM

Yeah, Cards up 3-1 in the 6th as well. Orioles came back with a 4 spot to make the FLA game 10-4.

jellobiafra · 03-26-09, 01:54 PM

Shxt. 10-6 now. I had to go and say something...

DFoster · 03-26-09, 02:02 PM

Crossing my fingers...Sanchez got shelled...lets hope the O's bullpen sticks with their spring training plan: give up lots of baserunners and see to it that they score.

DFoster · 03-26-09, 02:15 PM

Nice job to Ostland and Trevor Miller in the Cardinals game...now down 7-3.

Florida still looking good at 10-6 going into the 7th.

jellobiafra · 03-26-09, 02:32 PM

Braves bullpen with more of the shxtty work I've become accustomed to from them. Blew a 4-1 lead by giving up 3 in the 8th and 3 in the 9th. Nice work guys.

DFoster · 03-26-09, 03:03 PM

1 unit play on ANA -130 over CLE

3 unit play on CHC -107 over SFG

$1 parlay of ANA ML, ARI ML, ARI/CWS 11.5 O, ANA/CLE 11.5 O, KC ML, CHC ML - - to win $50.70

DFoster · 03-26-09, 03:04 PM

Current ST record 5-3 +2.72 units

jellobiafra · 03-26-09, 05:05 PM

DF...

Why are you strong on CHC? Just curious. If ARZ can hold their lead then I'm sitting on a 2-1 day (2 +105's to boot), which I'll take every day of course. But 3-1 is always better....

DFoster · 03-26-09, 05:37 PM

Marshall vs. Barry Zito

Marshall is dominating the spring, Zito has struggled.

In 2008, Zito had a 7+ ERA against the Cubs. In addition, the main guys in the Cubs lineup crushed lefties last year...and Zito is a below average lefty. Add in Bradley (who had a great day yesterday), who absolutley crushed lefties last year, and I think the Cubs could put up a solid amount of runs. The Giants hit a dismal .245 against lefties last year with no solid starter over a .900 OPS, the closest being Aaron Rowand at .888. Sean Marshall, who has thrown great all spring, should be pushed out to 5+ innings tonight.

The Cubs are on a 6 game win streak, where offense has come easy as they're batting .377 with 10 or more hits in their last 10 games. They've been up against a lefty starter 5 games in a row which have faired very well.

Overall, I just see a Cubs win here. I'd say by my estimation, we're looking at an 8-4 score.

jellobiafra · 03-26-09, 05:49 PM

Excellent analysis. Thanks. I'm gonna tail you on this one.

DFoster · 03-26-09, 06:02 PM

Hope it works out for the both of us..

DFoster · 03-26-09, 08:09 PM

Cubs line going up...and I expect it to keep moving...

-106 to -117 currently

DFoster · 03-27-09, 08:50 AM

CUBS LOSS - what a terrible game

ANA WIN

6-4 +.48 units