Baltimore (ALCS - Gamer 3) at Kansas City

stevenash · 10-13-14, 10:36 AM

Not going to wager this game tonight, can't fade KC, to fade this magic carpet ride right now is risky business, but going into this series, the best match up for KC was game 2, that played out true to form, and Baltimore's best match up, most likely game to win is game 3, this match up.

Game is pretty much a man to an pick 'em.
Chen (LHP) is the better starter, 16 game winner 3.54 ERA 1.20 WH/IP.
Guthrie, I would describe as servicable, back end of the rotation guy, 13 game winner, 4.13 ERA 1.30 WH/IP

Also need to know that Chen had a better season this year on the road as opposed to home.
www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?id=chenwe02&year=&t=p

Kaufman plays large, some of Baltimore's power may be negated, Guthie gave up 23 homers, not that bad, and has had success against Batimore's big hitters in the past.

You can make a case for KC tonight, home team, momentum, Guthrie's past success against Balt.
You can make a case for Balt tonight, must win (if you buy into that angle) better starter .....

I don't want any part of this game, can't fade KC, can't fade the better starter here at a very fair price.

Vegas is making this game very affordable for both sides tonight.

<small>Reduced Juice - Internet Only</small>
Mon 10/13	959 Baltimore Orioles W Chen - L	<input id="editx" name="S1_0" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -1½ +155	<input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -107	<input id="editx" name="L1_0" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> o7½ +100
8:05PM	960 Kansas City Royals J Guthrie - R	<input id="editx" name="S2_0" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +1½ -165	<input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +102	<input id="editx" name="L2_0" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> u7½ -110
Mon 10/13	1861 Kansas City Royals (Series)		<input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> -405
8:05PM	1862 Baltimore Orioles (Series)		<input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4" style="font-size: 1em; color: rgb(68, 68, 68);"> +360

KANSAS CITY ROYALS CAREER STATISTICS VS. WEI-YIN CHEN
BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Norichika Aoki	7	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.286	0.286	0.286	0.571
Billy Butler	18	8	2	1	2	4	1	3	0.444	0.474	1	1.474
Lorenzo Cain	12	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.667
Jarrod Dyson	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Alcides Escobar	17	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.294	0.294	0.353	0.647
Alex Gordon	16	5	0	0	1	1	0	5	0.313	0.313	0.5	0.813
Eric Hosmer	17	7	1	0	2	5	1	0	0.412	0.444	0.824	1.268
Raul Ibanez	3	2	2	0	0	1	0	1	0.667	0.667	1.333	2
Omar Infante	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0.167	0.167	0.667	0.833
Mike Moustakas	6	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333	0.333	0.5	0.833
Jayson Nix	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0.2	0.375	0.2	0.575
Salvador Perez	13	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.154	0.2	0.154	0.354
Josh Willingham	5	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.4
Totals	129	41	8	1	6	17	6	15	0.318	0.343	0.535	0.878



BALTIMORE ORIOLES CAREER STATISTICS VS. JEREMY GUTHRIE
BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Nelson Cruz	24	6	1	0	0	6	3	3	0.25	0.31	0.292	0.602
Chris Davis	19	3	0	0	2	2	2	6	0.158	0.238	0.474	0.712
Alejandro De Aza	32	8	2	0	0	1	4	4	0.25	0.351	0.313	0.664
Ryan Flaherty	8	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0.25	0.333	0.25	0.583
J.J. Hardy	14	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	0.214	0.214	0.214	0.429
Nick Hundley	5	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	0.4	0.4	0.6	1
Kelly Johnson	10	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0.091	0	0.091
Adam Jones	12	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0.083	0.154	0.083	0.237
Nick Markakis	12	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	0.25	0.308	0.25	0.558
Jonathan Schoop	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.333	0.333	0.333	0.667
Delmon Young	27	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	0.148	0.207	0.185	0.392
Totals	224	48	6	1	2	16	15	27	0.214	0.267	0.277	0.544


GUTHRIE V. BALT
2014
DATE	VS.	FINAL	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GB	FB	Pit
16-May	vs BAL	L 4-0	8	8	4	4	1	1	2	13	17	116
26-Apr	@ BAL	L 3-2	7	6	2	2	0	1	3	11	12	97

2013
DATE	VS.	FINAL	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GB	FB	Pit
25-Jul	vs BAL	W 7-1	6	6	1	1	0	1	5	8	9	102
9-May	@ BAL	W 6-2	6	7	2	1	1	3	3	8	12	100

CHEN V. KC
DATE	VS.	FINAL	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GB	FB	Pit
15-May	@ KC	W 2-1	5.1	7	1	1	0	1	1	13	8	95
26-Apr	vs KC	W 3-2	7	9	2	2	0	2	6	12	12	102

2013
DATE	VS.	FINAL	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GB	FB	Pit
24-Jul	@ KC	L 4-3	7.1	7	3	3	2	0	3	7	18	107
7-May	vs KC	W 4-3	6.1	9	2	2	0	0	2	14	10	80