5 picks for tonight

[posey]

No time for a write up, but here we go:

- MIA @ ARI, ARI -1, +125
- CWS @ BOS, u 7.5, +106
- KCR @ TBR, KCR ML, +104
- HOU @ TEX, u 7.5, +103
- PIT @ STL, STL -1, +115

[farmhouse1]

I like the under in cws & texas games. What do you think about the under in arizona game?

[posey]

Yeah, possible, too. But I don't like multiple bets on one game, this is the first cause why I skipped it. Second is (and this one is very odd) that the Dbacks have the following sequence over their last 7 home games: u, o, u, o, u, o, u. Now an O should follow.

Nah, seriously, I would have picked it, if the total wasn't at 8.5. I have done much better with unders with odd numbers (7, 7.5, 9, 9.5). It's the main reason why I didn't pick it.

But I like Collmenter at home and MIA has a bad record with Eovaldi on the road (2-6).

Under @ BOS and under @ TEX are MUST bets IMO. Especially at TEX. TEX played 20 unders in the last 27 home starts of Darvish and Darvish's 8 eight home starts in 2014 produced even 7 unders, in which the road team scored a 1.5 runs/game.

And I don't understand why so few people don't back KCR. KCR is doing decent this year. Ventura has been a beast in road games (4-1, 2.32 ERA) and in his last 2 starts (12.1 IP, 2.19 ERA, 3.5 K/BB). And Cobb has struggled compared to last year, especially in his home starts, in which the Rays are only 1-5.