MLB - Tuesday, 7/1/14

PorkChop · 07-01-14, 08:07 AM

Any Brewers/Jays play?

44 Mag · 07-01-14, 08:10 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

3 MLB Plays Tuesday

Phillies +117 (Heritage)
Royals / Twins UNDER 8 -105 (5 Dimes)
Indians +150 (DSI)

YTD: 245-276-7, -2.39

LT, you don't believe in Beckett ???

LT Profits · 07-01-14, 08:32 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

LT, you don't believe in Beckett ???

Not at that price no. He is only decent, not nearly as dominant as he has looked lately. He has always been erratic.

Nitronett · 07-01-14, 08:49 AM

Lt what about both angels game or over on the wash gm?

LT Profits · 07-01-14, 12:26 PM

2 MLB Additions

5 MLB Plays Tuesday

Rockies +225 (5 Dimes)
Phillies +117 (Heritage)
Royals / Twins UNDER 8 -105 (5 Dimes)
Indians +150 (DSI)
Cardinals / Giants UNDER 7.5 -122 (5 Dimes)

PorkChop · 07-01-14, 12:41 PM

Rockies +225 just incredible value. America's love infatuation with Stratsburgh is unbelievable. HE's not even a top 50 SP in the ML.

Nitronett · 07-01-14, 01:54 PM

Good value but isn't going to happen..safer with the total. Just cus a game has good value doesn't make it a good pick nats prob gon score 7 runs on this dude.

LT Profits · 07-01-14, 04:19 PM

Originally posted by Nitronett

Good value but isn't going to happen..safer with the total. Just cus a game has good value doesn't make it a good pick nats prob gon score 7 runs on this dude.

That phrase right there means you are misusing the word value. I like Colorado because I feel they can win this game more than 30.8% of the time, which is the break-even point at +225. Sure the odds are stacked against me for this ONE game, but if I feel I make this same play over and over, I feel it is +EV, which is the true definition of value.

Nitronett · 07-01-14, 08:44 PM

Like I said I respect your picks but taking chances on that value in a game clearly overmatched with tulo and Blackmon out is wishful thinking that's why you take the run line here..

Nitronett · 07-01-14, 08:48 PM

I'm a DFS player so I look at numbers in a different way and nats were the number 1 stack tonight followed by Baltimore. What helps me win these vegas bets..I respect u LT not trying to stir but I see too many cappers taking risk due to value..I'll post my thoughts for tomorrow under yours if I see something but tonight I felt this was pretty clear ..they have 7 runs as I speak which I thought they would.

Nitronett · 07-01-14, 08:49 PM

I like your other plays for today tho