Rules
- go to killersports and look for dogs with a line of at least +100 which has the 'best' ML odds for the certain day
- if 2 or more teams have similar 'best' odds, pick the team whose opponent has the worse overall record
- chase the best dog, which means you have to select a new team every day, no matter who is pitching, no matter who is playing, no matter who is the scheduled umpire, and so on
This season one would have needed not more than 4 stages and one would have gone 44-0 this year. One could even make a possible 5 game chase out of it and make it a little bit safer.
The chases would have been over after
- stage 1: 18 times (41%)
- stage 2: 13 times (30%)
- stage 3: 6 times (13%)
- stage 4: 7 times (16%)
This shows us than in more than 71% the chases would have ended within stage 1 or 2.
I haven't backtested it for previous years but can't imagine it doing really worse. I would suggest using 5 stages at the most:
- stage 1: 1 u
- stage 2: 2 u
- stage 3: 4 u
- stage 4: 8 u
- stage 5: 16 u
So even if we would run into a hypothetical 5 stage loss we would still be up 13 units after it.
- go to killersports and look for dogs with a line of at least +100 which has the 'best' ML odds for the certain day
- if 2 or more teams have similar 'best' odds, pick the team whose opponent has the worse overall record
- chase the best dog, which means you have to select a new team every day, no matter who is pitching, no matter who is playing, no matter who is the scheduled umpire, and so on
This season one would have needed not more than 4 stages and one would have gone 44-0 this year. One could even make a possible 5 game chase out of it and make it a little bit safer.
The chases would have been over after
- stage 1: 18 times (41%)
- stage 2: 13 times (30%)
- stage 3: 6 times (13%)
- stage 4: 7 times (16%)
This shows us than in more than 71% the chases would have ended within stage 1 or 2.
I haven't backtested it for previous years but can't imagine it doing really worse. I would suggest using 5 stages at the most:
- stage 1: 1 u
- stage 2: 2 u
- stage 3: 4 u
- stage 4: 8 u
- stage 5: 16 u
So even if we would run into a hypothetical 5 stage loss we would still be up 13 units after it.
