Wash @ Milw.

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  • 44 Mag
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-14-13
    • 34490

    #1
    Wash @ Milw.
    After going 4-1 last night, trying to sneak in an early game today.
    Washington @ Milwaukee 7.5
    After analyzing, probably over analyzing these two pitchers, there is not a lot of confidence in either one right now.
    Strasburg 6-5 ERA 3.24. However, on the road he is 1-4 with a 4.22 last three have been 6-4 L, 4-1 L, 9-2 W.
    Estrada has been a disappoinment to the Brewers to say the least this year.
    6-4 ERA 5.22. Last 4 games sub par giving up 22 runs and 7 homers. by the way he leads the majors in surrendering 24 homers. Last time up gave up 7 runs and still got the victory vs. Colorado in a 13-10 win, somehow?
    His last three have been: 13-10 win, 13-4 loss, 6-2 loss. he also averages better than 4 runs per game in last 7 of 9.
    Last game vs. Nat's 7 runs, 8 hits, 4 innings.
    What does all this mean, probably nothing, but they did play a marathon game last night 5 hours 22 minutes and exhausted both bull pens.
    Summation: over 7.5
  • RollinDo
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-04-13
    • 13322

    #2
    Like it. GL bro
    Comment
    • inZane
      SBR MVP
      • 11-13-13
      • 1206

      #3
      Good write up, Mag. My only concern is it's a get-away game for the Nats and wondering if the boys might be a little tired after that long game and then having to get up early...
      Comment
      • 44 Mag
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 10-14-13
        • 34490

        #4
        Originally posted by RollinDo
        Like it. GL bro
        TX.
        Comment
        • 44 Mag
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 10-14-13
          • 34490

          #5
          Originally posted by inZane
          Good write up, Mag. My only concern is it's a get-away game for the Nats and wondering if the boys might be a little tired after that long game and then having to get up early...
          Agreed, but I am figuring they will want the starters to as long as they can, and then some, to rest the bull pens, Milwaukee can still hit. I figure you are correct, but it will be the pitchers being more tired, I hope. And, Strasburg has not been a model of consistency for long innings, and Estrada, well his numbers speak for themselves. Wish me luck brother.
          Comment
          • inZane
            SBR MVP
            • 11-13-13
            • 1206

            #6
            Comment
            • inZane
              SBR MVP
              • 11-13-13
              • 1206

              #7
              With all of the info online, I wish someone smarter than I could look into the results of totals when an afternoon get away game follows a night game. I just remember through the years that whenever I used to play such games, they had a higher % of unders. But maybe that's just because I used to bet a lot of overs, and I remember the sting of losing such games. Bol Bro!
              Comment
              • 44 Mag
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 10-14-13
                • 34490

                #8
                Originally posted by inZane
                With all of the info online, I wish someone smarter than I could look into the results of totals when an afternoon get away game follows a night game. I just remember through the years that whenever I used to play such games, they had a higher % of unders. But maybe that's just because I used to bet a lot of overs, and I remember the sting of losing such games. Bol Bro!
                can't argue that point,I was contemplating buying a run to make it -6.5 @ -160, at 5 Dimes , that seems to be more palatable
                Comment
                • farmhouse1
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-14-14
                  • 4377

                  #9
                  Stephen strausburgh -.5 -110 first five innings is my bet. GL mag
                  Comment
                  • bankroll27
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 07-07-13
                    • 176

                    #10
                    nats and over
                    Comment
                    • leetreaper
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 10-23-10
                      • 34841

                      #11
                      AAA lineups for both teams, could be under...
                      Comment
                      • 44 Mag
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 10-14-13
                        • 34490

                        #12
                        Originally posted by farmhouse1
                        Stephen strausburgh -.5 -110 first five innings is my bet. GL mag
                        Hey, for all I know Steve will toss a no hitter.LOL. Just did some research that's all. Time will tell. BOL.
                        Comment
                        • 44 Mag
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 10-14-13
                          • 34490

                          #13
                          Originally posted by leetreaper
                          AAA lineups for both teams, could be under...
                          GL, Lee. we will know soon.
                          Comment
                          • runejuice
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 06-12-14
                            • 32

                            #14
                            Dat Grand Slam early in the game
                            Comment
                            • leetreaper
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 10-23-10
                              • 34841

                              #15
                              boom
                              Comment
                              • 44 Mag
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 10-14-13
                                • 34490

                                #16
                                Originally posted by leetreaper
                                boom
                                What???? What happened, not watching !!!!
                                Comment
                                • Legend_beatz
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 05-10-14
                                  • 771

                                  #17
                                  7 scores on the board, need ONE more Mag... PLENTY of time left!
                                  Comment
                                  • solman
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 03-05-12
                                    • 264

                                    #18
                                    Nats are a good solid team but Strasburg isnt was he used to be since he got injured. Books always pushing under in your face with him pitching. Had MKE Over 3 1/2. Second time a grand slam in the game I need over in a week with MKE. What are the chances?
                                    Comment
                                    • 44 Mag
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 10-14-13
                                      • 34490

                                      #19
                                      MKE??? = Milwaukee ??? Yes ???
                                      Comment
                                      • solman
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 03-05-12
                                        • 264

                                        #20
                                        Correct. MKE= Milwaukee. Over easy $$.
                                        Comment
                                        • solman
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 03-05-12
                                          • 264

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                          After going 4-1 last night, trying to sneak in an early game today.
                                          Washington @ Milwaukee 7.5
                                          After analyzing, probably over analyzing these two pitchers, there is not a lot of confidence in either one right now.
                                          Strasburg 6-5 ERA 3.24. However, on the road he is 1-4 with a 4.22 last three have been 6-4 L, 4-1 L, 9-2 W.
                                          Estrada has been a disappoinment to the Brewers to say the least this year.
                                          6-4 ERA 5.22. Last 4 games sub par giving up 22 runs and 7 homers. by the way he leads the majors in surrendering 24 homers. Last time up gave up 7 runs and still got the victory vs. Colorado in a 13-10 win, somehow?
                                          His last three have been: 13-10 win, 13-4 loss, 6-2 loss. he also averages better than 4 runs per game in last 7 of 9.
                                          Last game vs. Nat's 7 runs, 8 hits, 4 innings.
                                          What does all this mean, probably nothing, but they did play a marathon game last night 5 hours 22 minutes and exhausted both bull pens.
                                          Summation: over 7.5
                                          Nice writeup. Thanks for taking the time.
                                          Comment
                                          • 44 Mag
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 10-14-13
                                            • 34490

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by solman
                                            Nice writeup. Thanks for taking the time.
                                            Appreciate it brother ! Haven't won anything yet today though. We'll see. I must admit, it is so much better when there are only a few games to analyze, gives you more time, I meant this afternoon. Not that it pays off, but at least you can do some homework. BOL.
                                            Comment
                                            • Legend_beatz
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 05-10-14
                                              • 771

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                              Summation: over 7.5 - WIN!
                                              Comment
                                              • 44 Mag
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 10-14-13
                                                • 34490

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by 44 Mag
                                                After going 4-1 last night, trying to sneak in an early game today.
                                                Washington @ Milwaukee 7.5
                                                After analyzing, probably over analyzing these two pitchers, there is not a lot of confidence in either one right now.
                                                Strasburg 6-5 ERA 3.24. However, on the road he is 1-4 with a 4.22 last three have been 6-4 L, 4-1 L, 9-2 W.
                                                Estrada has been a disappoinment to the Brewers to say the least this year.
                                                6-4 ERA 5.22. Last 4 games sub par giving up 22 runs and 7 homers. by the way he leads the majors in surrendering 24 homers. Last time up gave up 7 runs and still got the victory vs. Colorado in a 13-10 win, somehow?
                                                His last three have been: 13-10 win, 13-4 loss, 6-2 loss. he also averages better than 4 runs per game in last 7 of 9.
                                                Last game vs. Nat's 7 runs, 8 hits, 4 innings.
                                                What does all this mean, probably nothing, but they did play a marathon game last night 5 hours 22 minutes and exhausted both bull pens.
                                                Summation: over 7.5
                                                Well folks, sometimes homework pays off. BUT, I must admit, I thought the score would be the other way around. LOL. I will take the win. Thanks for all the input & support. Let's get them tonight.
                                                Comment
                                                • inZane
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-13-13
                                                  • 1206

                                                  #25
                                                  Good job Mag! So much for my theory about fatigue, although it worked on the Rays game today... who do you like later?

                                                  Comment
                                                  • 44 Mag
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 10-14-13
                                                    • 34490

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by inZane
                                                    Good job Mag! So much for my theory about fatigue, although it worked on the Rays game today... who do you like later?

                                                    Hate to jinx everybody ???? But I like the Detroit Tigers. So go the other way. LOL. Too many folks on them.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • inZane
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-13-13
                                                      • 1206

                                                      #27
                                                      I agree with what you said earlier about having fewer games to analyze makes you better. Baseball is like gamblers cocaine; tons of stats to pore over, strategy, mostly outdoor conditions, and most importantly non-stop action with a shit-load of games. It's impossible to do a good job,IMO. I seem to do better as well on low action days. That's why I think I'm better with football. Not as many choices, and you've got all week to think about your pick...

                                                      Comment
                                                      • 44 Mag
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 10-14-13
                                                        • 34490

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by inZane
                                                        I agree with what you said earlier about having fewer games to analyze makes you better. Baseball is like gamblers cocaine; tons of stats to pore over, strategy, mostly outdoor conditions, and most importantly non-stop action with a shit-load of games. It's impossible to do a good job,IMO. I seem to do better as well on low action days. That's why I think I'm better with football. Not as many choices, and you've got all week to think about your pick...

                                                        Same with the NBA on Thursday's, usually 2 or 3 games. Get away day. BOL tonight.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 44 Mag
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 10-14-13
                                                          • 34490

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Legend_beatz
                                                          TX man. I see you had some hits as well. Congrat's.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • inZane
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-13-13
                                                            • 1206

                                                            #30
                                                            Nice hit on the Tigers. Hope you have another good day, Bro!

                                                            Comment
                                                            • 44 Mag
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 10-14-13
                                                              • 34490

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by inZane
                                                              Nice hit on the Tigers. Hope you have another good day, Bro!

                                                              TX man. Tought day today, but we'll find something (I hope) LOL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheNumbersGame
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 06-26-14
                                                                • 5

                                                                #32
                                                                I know this was yesterday but this was my analysis of the game before it started. (I also picked MIL ML + MIL over)

                                                                Nationals 3 Game Away Series Trends
                                                                0-7 3 Game Away Sweep
                                                                Have NOT had a 5 game Win Streak this season
                                                                Nats win an avg of .33% of games on the road in a 3 game series.

                                                                NATS 1-7 with Back to Back Wins in a 3 Game Away Series

                                                                NATS 4 game winning streaks has ended on the road 3 times this season
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 44 Mag
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 10-14-13
                                                                  • 34490

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by TheNumbersGame
                                                                  I know this was yesterday but this was my analysis of the game before it started. (I also picked MIL ML + MIL over)

                                                                  Nationals 3 Game Away Series Trends
                                                                  0-7 3 Game Away Sweep
                                                                  Have NOT had a 5 game Win Streak this season
                                                                  Nats win an avg of .33% of games on the road in a 3 game series.

                                                                  NATS 1-7 with Back to Back Wins in a 3 Game Away Series

                                                                  NATS 4 game winning streaks has ended on the road 3 times this season
                                                                  Good analysis. I see you just joined us. Welcome to the forum.
                                                                  Comment
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