RollinDo's Clean Slate Plays

[RollinDo]

Good luck Rollin, I took the Brew Crew over 7.5 this morning when I first saw the lines. Hopefully, it'll hit 8 so we both win. I'm thinking with today's date, 7-7-14, it's gonna be a good day all around...

I didn't really look at this total, but when it hit 8, I looked into it and saw both pitchers have faired decent vs opposing line-ups.
Add the fact that Hamels doesn't get much run support and has pitched very well on the road...Brewers may be in a bit of a letdown spot after Reds series...maybe a 4-3 final...but hope it's 5-3 so we both cash!

[inZane]

I didn't really look at this total, but when it hit 8, I looked into it and saw both pitchers have faired decent vs opposing line-ups.
Add the fact that Hamels doesn't get much run support and has pitched very well on the road...Brewers may be in a bit of a letdown spot after Reds series...maybe a 4-3 final...but hope it's 5-3 so we both cash!

I like the over 7.5 because after that shitty 1-4 road trip they're gonna be happy to be home. The over is 10-1-1 on Estradas last 12 starts on grass. The Phillies are 0-6 the last 6 times they've played, and while Hamels has pitched decently, his record is still 8-3 to the over. Estrada's is 11-5 to the over, including 5-1 at home. Plus, his era in his last 3 is 5.5. And after all of this useless shit, the roof is gonna be open ... So I'm hoping for an 8 also

[RollinDo]

Yikes. Your vantage point makes me want to reconsider!
Worth a shot. I have this as the 2nd part of my IF Win bet with Angels -1 in the lead.

[inZane]

Yikes. Your vantage point makes me want to reconsider!
Worth a shot. I have this as the 2nd part of my IF Win bet with Angels -1 in the lead.

Don't reconsider on my account, trust your gut and you'll be a lot happier and richer in the end...

[RollinDo]

4) If Win bet:
A> LA Angels -1 (-128)
B> Tribe -1 (-104)

5) StL ML -161...small

[RollinDo]

Looks like a 2-1 record on Unders...lost my POD for 3rd straight day (figures since I've putting more on the POD the last 3 days).
Really thought Koehler would hold his own, but to no avail.
Another BoSox Under cashes.

So tough to make a profit in mlb...gotta keep swinging!

[RollinDo]

BR: -.75 units
Losing POD Under last 3 days doesn't help

Totals record: 60-36-6 (63% )
Sides record: 33-47 (41%)

[RollinDo]

Tues. 7/8 Plays:

Locked in:
1) SF-Oak (U 7) -117
2) IF Win bet:
A> Minn-Sea (U 7) -105
B> LAD-Det (U 5 - 1st 5) -135

On deck:
Mets TT (U 3)
Pitt-StL (U 8.5) **POD**

[RollinDo]

Update on plays (Tues. 7/8)

1) SF-Oak (U 7) -117
2) LAD-Det (U 5-1st 5) -130

3) IF Win bet:
A> Minn-Sea (U 7.5) -135
B> Parlay: Mets (U 8) / Reds - Gm 1 (U 8) +150

[Legend_beatz]

You should add -- Braves @ Mets u7

[RollinDo]

You should add -- Braves @ Mets u7

Look above bud.
Got it parlayed with Cubs - Reds (U 8)...I was not all that confident of that one, but it hit.
Still trying to figure out if wind has a big factor on totals...apparently not as much as I factor into it....was going to play Under last night in Mets game, but wind out at 20 mph made me stay away...it hit though.

[RollinDo]

4) Pirates - Cards (U 8) -110 *POD*
(But not playing big like last night's POD...hasn't hit in 4 days!

Will add 1 or 2 more:
O's @ Nats (U 8)
Yanks @ Tribe (U 8)

[farmhouse1]

This one looks appealing. Only thing is this degrom guy. You guys think he can hold his own cause not much faith in that mets bullpen for me.

You should add -- Braves @ Mets u7

[RollinDo]

This one looks appealing. Only thing is this degrom guy. You guys think he can hold his own cause not much faith in that mets bullpen for me.

Truthfully I don't know much about DeGrom either but seems if he can limit Braves to 3 over 7, should go Under. I feel comfortable at 8...that's why I parlayed it.
I see about a 4-2 final...Bravos.
I would feel safer with Mets TT (U 3).

There are a few better Unders out there tonight.
Love the Pitt-StL (U 8) at just -110 now.
Minn-Sea also a good one.

[farmhouse1]

What do you think about the no score 1st inning in mariners game with young vs Hughes?

[RollinDo]

Trying to stay away from this prop...so streaky with them nd seems more lucky than capping for FF or FG Totals.

[Legend_beatz]

This one looks appealing. Only thing is this degrom guy. You guys think he can hold his own cause not much faith in that mets bullpen for me.

Red Dog says:

Atlanta has played 33 overs/51 unders this year and their starter (Teheran) has been involved in 4 overs to go with 13 unders. The Mets use deGrom and his ERA is a solid 2.41 in his last 3 starts. I like our chances for an under on Tuesday night.

[inZane]

Trying to stay away from this prop...so streaky with them nd seems more lucky than capping for FF or FG Totals.

Agreed, it's just another hook to reel us in with...

[44 Mag]

Tues. 7/8 Plays:

Locked in:
1) SF-Oak (U 7) -117
2) IF Win bet:
A> Minn-Sea (U 7) -105
B> LAD-Det (U 5 - 1st 5) -135

On deck:
Mets TT (U 3)
Pitt-StL (U 8.5) **POD**

Combine this with the other post??? Way too many plays, man. You really should focus more instead of being all over the board. Over, under, TT, ist inning etc. Must drive yourself nuts.

[RollinDo]

Totals record (since June 1): 62-39-7 (61.3%)
Bit of a slip-up on Tues., but still doing well with these.
Did not post yesterday, but went 3-1 (Big win in SD-LAD U 6)

Btw, if I have an IF win play, if 1st part wins, but 2nd does not, I do not include that in my record. Should I count it as 1-1? Maybe so. I will from now on.

Sides record: 34-49 (41%)

[RollinDo]

Combine this with the other post??? Way too many plays, man. You really should focus more instead of being all over the board. Over, under, TT, ist inning etc. Must drive yourself nuts.

Maybe so man. But too many lost opportunities not betting on strong leans because I already have "too many bets". (Probably 65% of those "last one out" bets hit. We just have different styles. I would say to you - lay off so much juice - that always kills me, but probably works for you. Remember Miami Heat ML??
You have been doing this a lot longer than I have. I appreciate the advice...sometimes gotta live and learn.

[RollinDo]

Agreed, it's just another hook to reel us in with...

I can say a lot of these are just pure luck.
I like them from time to time, but I have seen people who play these with regularity lose long-term.

[RollinDo]

I still can't believe Brewers gave up 9 runs with 4 outs to go in the game.
1-0 score in top of 8th, 2 outs and you'd think Under 9 is so safe. Then total hits 10.

[posey]

Totals record (since June 1): 62-39-7 (61.3%)
Bit of a slip-up on Tues., but still doing well with these.
Did not post yesterday, but went 3-1 (Big win in SD-LAD U 6)

Btw, if I have an IF win play, if 1st part wins, but 2nd does not, I do not include that in my record. Should I count it as 1-1? Maybe so. I will from now on.

Sides record: 34-49 (41%)

I would count it as a single loss. In the end the play is lost, if one IF loses.

[posey]

I still can't believe Brewers gave up 9 runs with 4 outs to go in the game.
1-0 score in top of 8th, 2 outs and you'd think Under 9 is so safe. Then total hits 10.

Made some money with it yesterday. BrewCrew doing so much dumb things lately...

[RollinDo]

Fri. 7/11 Plays

1) Mia-NY Mets (U 7)
2) Nats-Phils (U 7.5)

3) IF Win bet:
--- Sea-Oak (U 6.5)
--- Pitt-Cincy (U 8)

4) If Win bet
--- StL-Milky (U 4.5 - FF)
--- AtL-Chi (U 7.5)

[RollinDo]

Totals record: 71-45-8 (61%)
Sides: 36-53 (40%)

Mon. 7/21 Plays:

LAD-Pitt (U 7.5)
Marlins TT (U 3)
Rockies (U 11)

If Win bet:
Reds - Brewers (U 8)
No Score 1st (SF - Philly)

Sides (using betpoints)
NYY ML
BoSox ML
Parlay: ChiSox / SF +1.5

[RollinDo]

3-0 on Unders Monday...almost 4-0 with Marlins, but Braves couldn't get more than 1.
Should have gone with my last strong lean...O's - Angels Under 8.5

Totals record: 74-45-9 (62%)

Sides record: 38-55 (41%)

[RollinDo]

Tues. Leans:

LAD-Pitt (U 8)...locked it in
BoSox - Jays (U 9)
TB-StL (U 7.5)

Sides:
Parlay: Nats / Cards ... locked it in
Cards ML
BoSox ML

[RollinDo]

Think I'll stick with my Under plays (3 total).

Throwing in that Cards/Nats parlay.
Big on Cards ML.
Small play on Tigers ML.

[RollinDo]

Not a good Tuesday.
2-3-1 on totals and 0-2 on sides.

Totals record: 76-52-10
Sides record: 38-57

Today's big play:

If Win bet:
1) Balt - LAA (U 8)
2) TX-NYY (U 4 - FF)
3) Reds TT (U 3.5)

Other plays:
No Score 1st (KC-ChiSox)
SF-Philly (U 4 - FF)
Rockies FF (+1/2)

Nats - Rox (U 10)

Thoughts?

[RollinDo]

Changing #3 above to Under 8.5 in Milky

[leetreaper]

KC Under bro

[RollinDo]

KC Under bro

Trying for No Score 1st...don't like these normally, but this looks solid and I hit my only one a couple days ago. Just don't like the Sox pen.

[leetreaper]

Trying for No Score 1st...don't like these normally, but this looks solid and I hit my only one a couple days ago. Just don't like the Sox pen.

Royals can't hit recently, gl anyways.