Line Movements System For Game Totals

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  • 4seasons
    SBR MVP
    • 01-04-11
    • 1793

    #1
    Line Movements System For Game Totals
    1) Full Game Totals Only!

    2) Events played on weekends, holidays, and/or are nationally televised (including on network {ABC, CBS, FOX & NBC} and cable {such as any ESPN, MLB, TBS, TNT, etc.} are excluded!

    3) Pinnaclesports, whose odds on lines change more than any other, and Justbet (A.K.A. JB), whose lines (not just odds on lines) change frequently, are the only 2 Books' lines/odds used!

    For the record and from my own personal experience, I believe Pinnaclesports is by far the #1 best Book. JB was also one of my favorites, until they got in bed with BM (who I disliked and had long since closed my account there), and did close my JB account as well due to their poorly handled transition for starters. Thus, have no intention of promoting JB.

    NOTE: "LINE" movement ex. 8 to 8.5
    "ODDS" movement ex. 8 @ -110 to 8 @ -115

    4) The system line movement numbers do ALL the work. Weather, Umps, Lineups, injuries/late scratches, trends, etc. are believed to be already factored into the line movements themselves.

    5) A system play is in Action when the very first AND final line/odds movements are ALL in the same direction at both Books.

    Any and all constructive feedback is welcome.

    GLTA
  • 4seasons
    SBR MVP
    • 01-04-11
    • 1793

    #2
    Monday - June 2nd SYSTEM PLAY:

    UNDER 7 Pit @ SD [Currently 4-2 in 7th]
    Comment
    • posey
      SBR MVP
      • 05-23-14
      • 1112

      #3
      I am very interested. BOL. Did you do any kind of backtest?
      Comment
      • 4seasons
        SBR MVP
        • 01-04-11
        • 1793

        #4
        Originally posted by posey
        I am very interested. BOL. Did you do any kind of backtest?
        Thanks, and this will be the only documented test done.
        Comment
        • PublicEnemy
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 04-21-14
          • 621

          #5
          You should do back tracking tests to so how well it has done.
          Comment
          • 4seasons
            SBR MVP
            • 01-04-11
            • 1793

            #6
            There were no sys plays yesterday.

            Sys goes 2-0 tonight ... woohoo!

            OVER 7 in Wash [8-4 Final]
            OVER 8.5 in MN [6-4 Final]

            Sys would've been 1-1 on 2 games that had sudden late moves & changed direction, and so are aborted:

            - 3 of 4 checkpoints were in for the OVER 9.5 in TX [6-5 Final], when JB wrongfully went to the U.
            - 3 of 4 checkpoints were in for the UNDER 9 in Det [8-2 Final], when Pin rightfully went to the O.


            Sys's Record: 2-1
            Comment
            • 4seasons
              SBR MVP
              • 01-04-11
              • 1793

              #7
              Sys 1 for 1 today so far ...

              OVER 9 in Det [7-3 Final]

              that's 3 wins in a row now!!!
              Comment
              • 4seasons
                SBR MVP
                • 01-04-11
                • 1793

                #8
                Sys play currently in action ...

                UNDER 7.5 in TB [1-0 in 2nd]
                Comment
                • 4seasons
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-04-11
                  • 1793

                  #9
                  Sys 1-1 today ...

                  W OVER 9 Tor @ Det [7-3 Final]
                  L UNDER 7.5 TB @ Mia [11-6 Final]

                  Sys Record 3-2
                  Comment
                  • 4seasons
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-04-11
                    • 1793

                    #10
                    CORRECTION to prior post From TB @ Mia ... TO: Mia @ TB
                    Comment
                    • 4seasons
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-04-11
                      • 1793

                      #11
                      There were no sys plays yesterday.

                      Sys record remains 3-2.
                      Comment
                      • 4seasons
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-04-11
                        • 1793

                        #12
                        Sys 0-1 on Monday ...

                        L UNDER 8.5 Det @ ChW [6-5 Final]

                        Sys Record 3-3
                        Comment
                        • 4seasons
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-04-11
                          • 1793

                          #13
                          Sys 4-0 on Tuesday ...

                          W UNDER 9 Bos @ Bal [1-0 Final]
                          W UNDER 7.5/8 LAD @ Cin [6-1 FINAL]
                          W UNDER 7 StL @ TN [1-0 FINAL]
                          W UNDER 7 NYY @ Sea [3-2 FINAL]

                          Sys Record 7-3
                          Comment
                          • Alex Vaile
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-19-14
                            • 3724

                            #14
                            Why not post the plays before the games?
                            Comment
                            • 4seasons
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-04-11
                              • 1793

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                              Why not post the plays before the games?
                              As stated, system is partly based on the final line/odds movements at the 2 noted Books, so until the game starts, we don't know what the final lines/odds are, do we? Also, with games starting throughout the days/nights, wouldn't be available here for every game. Am taking the time to document my findings, which has opened the door to endless other formulas/systems, in which as long as The System posted produces positive results then is worth my time. Once you check the 2 opening line movements, it's easy to rule out right away the games that are no longer possible system plays. And, once you rule out the national TV games, you'll just need to concentrate on the games left. As game times approach check the movements at both books, and see on which games that sys plays are still possible, that the movements are coinciding. Even if you get your plays in with less than 1 minute left like I do, movements will still happen, so we do the best we can. Though many times there are extremely late movements,many times there aren't.
                              Comment
                              • 4seasons
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-04-11
                                • 1793

                                #16
                                Sys 1-0 on Wednesday ...

                                W UNDER 7.5 ChC @ Pit [4-2 Final]

                                Sys Record 8-3
                                Comment
                                • Alex Vaile
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-19-14
                                  • 3724

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 4seasons
                                  As stated, system is partly based on the final line/odds movements at the 2 noted Books, so until the game starts, we don't know what the final lines/odds are, do we? Also, with games starting throughout the days/nights, wouldn't be available here for every game. Am taking the time to document my findings, which has opened the door to endless other formulas/systems, in which as long as The System posted produces positive results then is worth my time. Once you check the 2 opening line movements, it's easy to rule out right away the games that are no longer possible system plays. And, once you rule out the national TV games, you'll just need to concentrate on the games left. As game times approach check the movements at both books, and see on which games that sys plays are still possible, that the movements are coinciding. Even if you get your plays in with less than 1 minute left like I do, movements will still happen, so we do the best we can. Though many times there are extremely late movements,many times there aren't.
                                  Ok good luck to you!
                                  Comment
                                  • 4seasons
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-04-11
                                    • 1793

                                    #18
                                    Sys 0-1 Thursday ...

                                    L UNDER 7 NYY @ Sea [6-3 Final]

                                    Sys Record 8-4
                                    Comment
                                    • 4seasons
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-04-11
                                      • 1793

                                      #19
                                      Sys 1-2 on Friday ...

                                      L UNDER 6.5 SD @ NYM [6-2 Final]
                                      W UNDER 6.5 TX @ Sea [1-0 Final]
                                      L UNDER 6.5 Ari @ LAD [4-3 Final]

                                      Sys Record 9-6
                                      Comment
                                      • 4seasons
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-04-11
                                        • 1793

                                        #20
                                        Sys 1-1 on Monday ...

                                        L UNDER 8.5 Mil @ Ari [9-3 Final]
                                        W UNDER 7 SD @ Sea [5-1 Final]

                                        Sys Record 10-7
                                        Comment
                                        • 4seasons
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-04-11
                                          • 1793

                                          #21
                                          Sys 0-1 on Tuesday ...

                                          L UNDER 7 TX @ Oak [10-6 Final]

                                          Sys Record 10-8
                                          Comment
                                          • 4seasons
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-04-11
                                            • 1793

                                            #22
                                            Sys 1-4 on Wednesday ...

                                            L OVER 9 Min @ Bos [2-1 Final]
                                            L OVER 7.5 NYM @ StL [3-2 Final]
                                            L OVER 7.5/8 TX @ Oak [4-2 Final]
                                            W OVER 9 Tor @ NYY [7-3 Final]
                                            L UNDER 6.5 Col @ LAD [8-0 Final]

                                            Sys Record 11-12
                                            Comment
                                            • 4seasons
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-04-11
                                              • 1793

                                              #23
                                              Sys, 3-9 out of last 12, isn't getting it done.
                                              Comment
                                              • 4seasons
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-04-11
                                                • 1793

                                                #24
                                                Sys 3-1 on Thursday ...

                                                W UNDER 8 KC @ Det [2-1 Final]
                                                W UNDER 7/7.5 Was @ Atl [3-0 Final]
                                                L UNDER 9 Tor @ NYY [6-4 Final]
                                                W UNDER 7.5 NYM @ Mia [1-0 Final]


                                                ... Sys Record 14-13
                                                Comment
                                                • 4seasons
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-04-11
                                                  • 1793

                                                  #25
                                                  Sys 3-0-1 on Friday ...

                                                  W UNDER 7 HOU @ TB [3-1 Final]
                                                  P UNDER 9 ChW @ Min [5-4 Final]
                                                  W OVER 10.5/11 Mil @ Col [13-10 Final]
                                                  W OVER 7 LAD @ SD [6-5 Final]

                                                  ...Sys Record 17-13-1
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 4seasons
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-04-11
                                                    • 1793

                                                    #26
                                                    Sys 6-1-1 out of last 8 now.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 4seasons
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-04-11
                                                      • 1793

                                                      #27
                                                      Sys 0-1 on Monday ...

                                                      L OVER 7 SD @ SF [6-0 Final]

                                                      ... Sys Record 17-14-1
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 4seasons
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-04-11
                                                        • 1793

                                                        #28
                                                        Sys 2-1 on Tuesday ...

                                                        W UNDER 7 LAD @ KC [2-0 Final]
                                                        W OVER 7.5/8 Min @ LAA [8-6 Final]
                                                        L UNDER 7.5 Bos @ Sea [8-2 Final]

                                                        ... Sys Record 19-15-1
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 4seasons
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-04-11
                                                          • 1793

                                                          #29
                                                          Sys 2-2 on Wednesday ...

                                                          W OVER 11.5 StL @ Col [9-6 Final]
                                                          L OVER 9 NYY @ Tor [5-3 Final]
                                                          L UNDER 9 Det @ TX [8-6 Final]
                                                          W UNDER 7.5/8 Atl @ Hou [4-0 Final]

                                                          ... Sys Record 21-17-1
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 4seasons
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-04-11
                                                            • 1793

                                                            #30
                                                            Sys 1-1 on Thursday

                                                            W OVER 7/7.5 Was @ ChC [5-3 Final]
                                                            L UNDER 9 Col @ Mil [7-4 Final]

                                                            ... Sys Record 22-18-1
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 4seasons
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-04-11
                                                              • 1793

                                                              #31
                                                              Sys 0-1 on Friday ...

                                                              L UNDER 7.5 Was @ ChC [7-2 Final]
                                                              W UNDER 6.5 Ari @ SD [2-1 Final]
                                                              W UNDER 7 StL @ LAD [3-1 Final]
                                                              L UNDER 5.5/6 Cin @ SF [6-2 Final]

                                                              ... Sys Record 24-20-1
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 4seasons
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-04-11
                                                                • 1793

                                                                #32
                                                                CORRECTION: Sys on Friday not 0-1, but 2-2!
                                                                Comment
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