That was pretty much my first time doing live bets in college ball. I'm glad it worked out, pulling in +4 units from NCAA.
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#633
Tigers Vs Indians Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: DET +463
Bot 7th, down 2-1
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#634
Red Sox Vs Yankees Proposition:Game Winner Outcome: BOS −4.0+197
Bot 8th, up 7-3
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#635
Pirates Vs Cardinals Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: PIT +975
Top 6th, down 5-2
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#636
Rangers Vs Royals Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: TEX +162
Bot 8th, tied 1-1
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#637
Mariners Vs Athletics Proposition:Game Winner Outcome: SEA −6.0−107
Top 8th, up 6-0
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#638
Today: +4.53 units
YTD: +20.79 units
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#639
Phillies Vs Braves Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: PHI +1252
Top 7th, down 7-4
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#640
Pirates Vs Cardinals Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: PIT +185
Bot 9th, tied 0-0
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#641
Nationals Vs Dodgers Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: WAS +118
Bot 6th, tied 0-0
Comment
EXhoosier10
SBR MVP
07-06-09
3122
#642
Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
Pirates Vs Cardinals Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: PIT +185
Bot 9th, tied 0-0
Average team scores in an inning ~66% of the time. Betting LRRLR wouldn't score off of Melancon's second inning, then hoping 7-9 for pit would outscore 7-9 for stl. Stl still has Neshak, Maness, and Freeman (2 rhp and a lhp). Not sure I'd take those odds.
Anyway, just thinking out loud. Good luck
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#643
Giants Vs Rockies Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: SFO −152
Bot 5th, up 2-1
Comment
EXhoosier10
SBR MVP
07-06-09
3122
#644
Originally posted by EXhoosier10
Average team scores in an inning ~66% of the time. Betting LRRLR wouldn't score off of Melancon's second inning, then hoping 7-9 for pit would outscore 7-9 for stl. Stl still has Neshak, Maness, and Freeman (2 rhp and a lhp). Not sure I'd take those odds.
Anyway, just thinking out loud. Good luck
I rescind my statement. only ~30% of innings score a run. Still not in love due to the 10th and whatnot, but not as difficult to see an edge. Need pit to score and two scoreless from stl. that's .30 * .7^2 = .147 = 14.7% Completely naive assumption says you need +600 odds to be +EV
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#645
Hoosier, I see you like math.
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#646
Giants Vs Rockies Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: SFO +743
Bot 6th, down 5-2
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#647
Tigers Vs Indians Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: DET +300
Top 4th, down 2-0
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#648
Tigers Vs Indians Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: DET +1339
Bot 5th, down 4-0
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#649
Angels Vs Astros Proposition:Game Winner ML Outcome: LAA +313
Bot 7th, down 2-1
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#650
CHIVAS USA Vs. SEATTLE Proposition:Next Goal Scored (2:4) Outcome: CHIVAS USA +353
After 69 min
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#651
DJOKOVIC, N Vs. MURRAY, A Proposition:Player to win the set 4 ? Outcome: MURRAY, A +209
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#652
^^^^ He was down 1-0 when I made that bet. And had AD.
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#653
Today: -8.34 units
YTD: +12.45 units
Comment
fitguy67
SBR Hall of Famer
03-13-11
5082
#654
Russia KHL, Barys Astana +0 (aka. DNB), +155 (Hm team, down a goal, end of 2nd)
then again at +240 (still between periods)...
not "pounding"...each to win a unit, so works out to about: risk 1 to win 2 (good chance of push)
Barys favored to score next -135 and was -140 fave pre-game
Comment
fitguy67
SBR Hall of Famer
03-13-11
5082
#655
KazakhstanU21/FranceU21...was typing in France TSNxt...and of course they score b4 i submit...
but Astana scores the equalizer early in 3rd so we're free-rolling for them to win in regulation
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#656
How'd you do, Fitguy?
Comment
fitguy67
SBR Hall of Famer
03-13-11
5082
#657
push, well better than a sharp stick in the eye
update: thot it pushed...but it won...
like finding money u forgot about in pants going into the laundry...doesn't happen enough tho'
home-faves down 1 after two scored 2 to win (i thot they just tied and won in OT which woulda pushed)
Comment
fitguy67
SBR Hall of Famer
03-13-11
5082
#658
lotsa goals in those euro hockey leagues...almost never a scoreless period...i look for a favored home team to be down one goal at end of 2nd and hit'em with a sensible combination of +0, -0.5...late in 3rd u can even pick'em up sometimes +0.5 at ok odds...these leagues are just as stupidly-prone to going OT as the NHL, so a one goal lead with a few minutes gets picked off often and the +0.5 pays well when your team that was down one ties it up
doesn't work well in soccer cuz way fewer goals scored on avg
Comment
fitguy67
SBR Hall of Famer
03-13-11
5082
#659
for live i like tennis, MLB, and hockey...for soccer, i follow u (cuz that game just kills me...the "draw" result creates this massive "blind spot" that i've never been able to deal with)...
you do well with your "winning team keeps foot on the gas" (to score next) bets and am happy to follow along when i see one in time
Comment
fitguy67
SBR Hall of Famer
03-13-11
5082
#660
i kinda' like SwitzerlandU21 to score next (down 1-0 to UkraineU21 at 39')...whaddya' think?
ahhh...just for the hell of it...decided to "embrace the draw" at +333...way better price than switz to score next and leaves way more ways to eventually win...smallsies
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#661
Originally posted by fitguy67
i kinda' like SwitzerlandU21 to score next (down 1-0 to UkraineU21 at 39')...whaddya' think?
That ones not for me. But if you bet it I will be rooting for you!
Comment
fitguy67
SBR Hall of Famer
03-13-11
5082
#662
Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
That ones not for me. But if you bet it I will be rooting for you!
ended just taking a flier on the draw +333.. (with swissU21's down a goal at the half)
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#663
CROATIA Vs. CYPRUS Proposition:Who wins the rest of the 1st half ? (1:0) Outcome: CROATIA +145
After 29 min
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#664
CROATIA Vs. CYPRUS Proposition:Next Goal Scored (2:0) Outcome: CROATIA −169
After 60 min
Comment
DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Aristocracy
11-30-08
81450
#665
BELGIUM Vs. AUSTRALIA Proposition:Next Goal Scored (1:0) Outcome: BELGIUM −151