I'm fading Shelby Miller and the St. Louis Cardinals in the early game.

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  • Pauulzcappin
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-23-10
    • 20295

    #1
    I'm fading Shelby Miller and the St. Louis Cardinals in the early game.
    Shelby Miller is a way worse pitcher than his ERA actually shows. He walks a lot of batters which is a huge red flag. His FIP and xFIP numbers are way above his actual ERA and all the signs show that a regression is coming real soon, he won't be able to keep getting out of jams.

    Harang isn't historically a good pitcher but he's been doing very well this season getting a lot of strikeouts.

    My only concern is that Atlanta's ofense is dreadful but I think they can give Harang some support.

    Braves ML +110 and some on the RRL once it's up.
  • Bullywully
    SBR High Roller
    • 04-16-14
    • 215

    #2
    I understand your reasoning here, and your concern about the lack of run support for Atlanta Braves. It's still a bit of a gamble to assume they will score runs, but the price is nice and their pitcher is decent enough. Small thing i'm also worried about is that st louis cardinals is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings, and especially at home they owned Atlanta big time. I know it's another day, but these trends are always somewhat indicating how these teams match up. Good luck though
    Comment
    • robbeduagain
      SBR MVP
      • 08-25-12
      • 1248

      #3
      I think both of these pitchers are due to regress. I look for a more high scoring game. I'm playing the over 7. Gl
      Comment
      • Pauulzcappin
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-23-10
        • 20295

        #4
        3 unit play and if I can get +115 again I'm adding another most likely. Laying off the RRL.

        Kinda worried it's a bit of a trendy pick but I'll ride with it.
        Comment
        • RollinDo
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-04-13
          • 13322

          #5
          Cards find ways to win when Miller pitches.
          Just a heads up
          Comment
          • Ro0k
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-04-14
            • 678

            #6
            Miller is much better at home than he is on the road. Miller does walk a lot of guys, but vs RHP the braves are ranked 22nd in drawing walks and 4th in K's.
            Comment
            • nickcruz60
              SBR Sharp
              • 02-11-14
              • 353

              #7
              What about braves FF? Anyone like that
              Comment
              • Pauulzcappin
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-23-10
                • 20295

                #8
                LOL.

                pastornicky has a nice throwing arm. can't throw a guy out from 3rd from like almost the infield.
                Comment
                • alamo
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-21-09
                  • 7131

                  #9
                  Horrible call by the umpire at the top of the fifth. A foul ball called fair and leads to a DP.
                  Comment
                  • Pauulzcappin
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-23-10
                    • 20295

                    #10
                    Originally posted by alamo
                    Horrible call by the umpire at the top of the fifth. A foul ball called fair and leads to a DP.
                    It was pretty fukking bad. Miller hasn't been all over the place like he normally is today. That double by simmons is a homer in a lot of parks as well.
                    Comment
                    • Pauulzcappin
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-23-10
                      • 20295

                      #11
                      that's game
                      Comment
                      • Cappinpicks
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-11-10
                        • 14986

                        #12
                        All he does is win win win no matter what
                        Comment
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