Underdog Method Tracking

[selliott]

I am just going to put these here and track how this method works. I am using an underdog model (based on opening odds). I used it quite a bit last year, but haven't used it much this year (did one day & it went 3-3 +.15).

SFO +139
PIT +110
COL +104
CLE +108
TEX +114
SEA +118
NYY +129
WAS +150

I flat bet these, just looking to go 4-4 and that returns $$, anything better then that will be a good day.

[selliott]

Add one - PHI +120.

[selliott]

5/9

SFO +139 - Loss
PIT +110 - Win
COL +104 - Win
CLE +108 - Loss
TEX +114 - Loss
SEA +118 - Win
NYY +129 - Loss
WAS +150 - Loss
PHI +120 - Win

4-5 -.48U (That WAS loss hurt, and cost profit.)

For 5/10
PIT -110
NYY +110
CLE +130
SFO +155
KC +110
COL +110
MIA +110
LAA +117
TEX +105

[selliott]

For 5/11 not 5/10
PIT -110 - Loss
NYY +110 - Loss
CLE +130 - Win
SFO +155 - Win
KC +110 - Win
COL +110 - Loss
MIA +110 - Loss
LAA +117 - Win
TEX +105 - Loss

5/11 - 4-5 +0.02

5/10 - 4-5 -.48U
5/11 - 4-5 +.02U

YTD - 8-10 -.46U

[selliott]

For 5/12

ARI +110
TAM +150
ATL -105
DET -110
LAA +103

[selliott]

Terrible day yesterday.
5/12 - 1-4 -3.05U

YTD - 9-14 -3.51U

For 5/13 -
PIT +110
ARI +120
CLE +110
DET -105
MIN -105
SEA +100
LAA +150
NYM +125
COL +135

[selliott]

BOS/MIN pitching change.
Still a play now @ +120 instead of -105

[selliott]

PIT +110 - Loss
ARI +120 - Win
CLE +110 - Loss
DET -105 - Win
MIN +120 - Win
SEA +100 - Loss
LAA +150 - Win
NYM +125 - Win
COL +135 - Loss

5/13 - 5-4 - +2.15U

YTD - 14-18 -1.36U

[selliott]

5/14 Plays

WAS -105
ATL +105
CLE -105
HOU -105
PHI -105
NYM +140

[selliott]

WAS -105 - Win
ATL +105 - Loss
CLE -105 - Win
HOU -105 - Win
PHI -105 - Loss
NYM +140 - Loss

5/14 - 3-3 - 0.05U

YTD - 17-21 -1.41U

[selliott]

5/15

mia +125
min +115
tam +130
nyy -110

[selliott]

Add for 5/15 -

CLE +100

[selliott]

5/15 -
mia +125 - Loss
min +115 - Win
tam +130 - Brutal Loss
nyy -110 - Win
CLE +100 - Loss

5/15 - 2-3 -0.85U

YTD - 19-24 -2.26U

[selliott]

5/16

nym +120
cin -105
atl -105
ari +135
mia +120
cle +120
tor +155
chw -110
min -110

[selliott]

5/16
nym +120 - Loss
cin -105 - Win
atl -105 - Loss
ari +135 - Loss
mia +120 - Win
cle +120 - Loss
tor +155 - Win
chw -110 - Win
min -110 - Win

5/16 - 5-4 +1.75U

YTD - 24-28 -.51U

[selliott]

5/17 cin +105

ari +155

mia+125

cle +125

det+130

bal+110

tor-110

tam+145

pit+125

[selliott]

5/17
CIN+105 - Loss
ARI +155 - Win
MIA +125 - Win
CLE +125 - Loss
DET +130 - Win
BAL +110 - Loss
TOR -110 - Win
TAM +145 - Loss
PIT +125 - Loss

5/17 - 4-5 - +.01

YTD - 28-33 -.50U

[selliott]

5/18

cin +125
ari +110
bal +125
min +140
laa +120
det +105
chw -105

[selliott]

5/18
cin +125 - Loss
ari +110 - Win
bal +125 - Loss
min +140 - Loss
laa +120 - Win
det +105 - Win
chw -105 - Loss

5/18 - 3-4 -0.7U

YTD - 31-37 -1.2U

[selliott]

5/19

cin +155
mil +110
det -105

[selliott]

5/19

cin +155 - Win
mil +110 - Loss
det -105 - Loss

5/19 1-2 -.5U
YTD - 32-39 -1.7U

05/20
WAS -110
NYM +120
ARI +165
TOR +130
TEX +100
CHW +170
HOU +150
BAL +125
MIN +155

[selliott]

05/20
WAS -110 - Win
NYM +120 - Loss
ARI +165 - Loss
TOR +130 - Win
TEX +100 - Loss
CHW +170 - Win
HOU +150 - Loss
BAL +125 - Win
MIN +155 - Win

5/20 5-4 +2.8U
YTD - 37-43 +1.1U

[selliott]

5/21

phi +125
sea +130
oak -110
tor +115
chw +105
hou +170
bal -105
min +130
nym +110
ari +150

[selliott]

Bad day yesterday - Accounting in a bit

5/22
PHI -110
More to come

[selliott]

MIL +125
SFO +110
ARI +140
TOR +140
NYY +135
HOU +135

CLE/BAL still pending pitcher.

[selliott]

5/21
phi +125 - Loss
sea +130 - Loss
oak -110 - Win
tor +115 - Win
chw +105 - Loss
hou +170 - Loss
bal -105 - Loss
min +130 - Win
nym +110 - Loss
ari +150 - Loss

5/20 3-7 -3.6U
YTD - 40-50 -2.5U