Early season Value play

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  • RollinDo
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-04-13
    • 13322

    #1
    Early season Value play
    If you think Tigers are gonna win their division and have the 1st or 2nd best record in AL, then get this future bet in now.

    Detroit Tigers (WS Champs) +900

    This team has a relatively weak schedule being in AL central. It's a small sample, but Tigers playing well on the road too, and thus should win about 95 games, likely giving them the #1 or #2 spot in the playoffs. If that's the case, then the price will drop by about half to +450.
    I don't see any team in AL that is more complete than Tigers...only weakness once again the pen.

    They will be determined to win the ALCS this year after coming so close last year.

    If they make it to the WS, you will be in good shape and can hedge at start of series.

    If Tigers suddenly play mediocre, they should at least make playoffs being the best in their division and +900 is still not bad.
  • RollinDo
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-04-13
    • 13322

    #2
    I share this because I have some success betting futures early on. Here is what I've done this year:

    Seattle Seahawks (NFC champs) +175 (Won)
    Denver Broncos (SB Champs) +340 (Loss)
    New England Patriots (AFC Champs) +290 (Loss)

    Boston Bruins (division champs) -125 (Won)
    Boston Bruins (Eastern Conf champs) +400 (pending)
    StL Blues (Western Conf Champs) +500 (Loss)

    SA Spurs (Western Conf Champs) +340
    SA Spurs (NBA Champs) +950
    OKC Thunder (Western Conf champs) +295


    I've lost some in there, but the price was right and much better than after the wager was placed.

    Just some insight...
    Comment
    • RollinDo
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-04-13
      • 13322

      #3
      Hope you took advantage of this cause line dropped down to -625.
      No other team you can back with confidence right now IMO.
      Comment
      • RollinDo
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-04-13
        • 13322

        #4
        Took Spurs Nba Champs +950
        Took Tigers WS Champs +900

        Today's future play:
        SF Giants (NL Champs) +430
        Yeah, they have to contend with Dodgers, but they have proven they can beat them head to head. Kershaw and Greinke are tough cookies, but SF just humiliated Wainwright and Lynn.
        They have best record in mlb, and they are the favorites of having the best record in NL which will be to their advantage.
        This team knows how to win and have been to playoffs before with success.

        You can always hedge after 1st round of playoffs if needed.
        If this team continues to play like this, they should contend for World Series even. Strong strong bullpen will serve well in playoffs.
        I see a light schedule this month after the Reds series in which their record should maintain solid...and line may head down from this point.
        Worth 1.5 units to take a shot.
        Comment
        • RollinDo
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-04-13
          • 13322

          #5
          Well, my Giants futures bet not looking too hot.
          I put in Oakland AL Champs +350 about 3 weeks ago...kind of a hedge in case Detroit +900 doesn't hit.

          Thinking about 1 more futures bet, but needs to be +150 or better...maybe LAD or Nats to win NL?
          Pretty sure Nats win their division.
          Comment
          • RollinDo
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-04-13
            • 13322

            #6
            Probably just not put any more futures in and just play Dodgers when Greinke, Ryu, and Kershaw pitch in favorable situations.
            Comment
            • 44 Mag
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 10-14-13
              • 34490

              #7
              Originally posted by RollinDo
              Probably just not put any more futures in and just play Dodgers when Greinke, Ryu, and Kershaw pitch in favorable situations.
              Just curious ???? you made 6 (six) posts to yourself ???? are you trying to convince us or just you ??? LOL.
              Comment
              • RollinDo
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-04-13
                • 13322

                #8
                Me...just pondering what futures I have and assessing their value now and their chances...Seeing if anyone has any other ideas...or to see if anyone listened to my Tigers WS futures bet I urged people to take.

                That was my San Antonio Spurs equivalent bet.
                Comment
                • RollinDo
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-04-13
                  • 13322

                  #9
                  Just wanted to help people out...though I've probably taken down more people than helped.
                  Comment
                  • 44 Mag
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 10-14-13
                    • 34490

                    #10
                    Originally posted by RollinDo
                    Just wanted to help people out...though I've probably taken down more people than helped.
                    Don't feel bad. They are all wealthy people that don't need the money. They do this for amusement. BOL tonight.
                    Comment
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