Early analysis on may 1 games

[jay89]

had a tough start to the week, but ended April on a high note.

+12.12u (110-91-11)
Goal going into may is to lay off on close games, focus on fewer plays, and bet on predictable teams. Teams like the marlins, royals, mets, pirates, rangers, mariners were unfriendly to me in April. Teams like the athletics, rockies, phillies, twins, white sox, and angels have been money makers. Even fading the dbacks has been very profitable.


Lets continue into May :


Rockies - NYM

I like the OVER FF or Colorado TT. Bartolo is a very hittable pitcher, against a strong offense that cashes in runs. Mets have been coming around as well, and Nicasio has not pitched well in his past 4 starts


MIL @ CIN

TT over brewers. the brewers are road warriors. Looking at PVB stats vs homer bailey, they can get it done without the big boys. I will be looking at pre-game lineups and conditions, but the play here is against bailey and the reds terrible pitching.



Some value in the doubleheaders tomorrow:

Dodgers TT over against Pelfrey

Predicting a 5 inning outing for pelfrey and a bad bullpen.


Orioles vs Morton

Baltimore FF or TT. I like Norris in this situation.


Ramos vs Peavy

I like the FF under here.


Archer vs Doubront

Leaning against Archer here, and for the BOSOX here

[jay89]

Early cashes on the Dodgers and bosox games. Laying off the Orioles game... Looks like the b team for gm1

[jay89]

Orioles ff cashes, that rain delay cooled down Morton ahah

[crackerjack]

Orioles ff cashes, that rain delay cooled down Morton ahah

It didn't since you said you were laying off it...

[jay89]

Haha good catch, surprised people actually read my posts. Made a smaller play last second, just for the action. Let's keep it going, Brewers over 3.5