It's A New Week. Time To Make Some $$ On Monday

[RollinDo]

An IF bet is more for money management.
If I like quite a few games, I will put the game that starts last of the games I like at the beginning. Basically if they win, then you go to the 2nd bet, then the 3rd, 4th and so on.
Not always the best way, but you could potentially go like 1-4 and be in a big hole.
The 2nd bet in the sequence is my strongest play of an earlier game. Today it will be Orioles +1.5 / Cards +1.5...then a 3rd straight wager.
My 1st bet, if 5Dimes will ever work today, is a pretty safe one...Parlay: SF -1 / Nats +1.5

[RollinDo]

So pretty much if the 2nd and 3rd bets in the string hit (or are pretty much going to hit) by the time the last game starts, I will hedge with the opposing team (for today it will be SD +1)

[mgoncalves10]

Liking the Tigers in the early game. As well as the Cardinals.. Braun and Ramirez out.. Can the Brew Crew sweep the Cards?

Going to do some more research right now.. Share your thoughts on both these games..

[mgoncalves10]

Cardinals ML - Risking $35.25 to win $25

Brewers / Cardinals (U1 1st Inning) - Risking $33.75 to win $25

[pokerwhiz90]

ouch i wish i came in sooner to tell you not to take the cardinal U1 1st inning.... garza has been average against the cardinals in his career, him wearing a brewcrew uniform doesnt change that unfortunately but your cardinals ml should cash!

also i have a parlay with the cards and tigers, hopefully it cashes!

[mgoncalves10]

ouch i wish i came in sooner to tell you not to take the cardinal U1 1st inning.... garza has been average against the cardinals in his career, him wearing a brewcrew uniform doesnt change that unfortunately but your cardinals ml should cash!

That 1 out double hurt haha.. but hopefully the Cards keep hitting him well..

Didn't want to lay all the juice on the Tigers, but against a spot starter who has been hit hard, going Tigers RL - Risking $28.75 to win $25

[RollinDo]

Doing a parlay with Baltimore +1.5 / Tigers ML...If I can get it in.

[pokerwhiz90]

That 1 out double hurt haha.. but hopefully the Cards keep hitting him well..

Didn't want to lay all the juice on the Tigers, but against a spot starter who has been hit hard, going Tigers RL - Risking $28.75 to win $25

best of luck to us! yeah it seems like the cards have scored in the 1st in their last 4 games or something like that - pretty ridiculous

[mgoncalves10]

Chelsea ML - Risking $25 to win $35

Chelsea PK 1st Half - Risking $35 to win $25

Chelsea / Atletico - 2 or 3 goals - Risking $25 to win $25

[mgoncalves10]

Doing a parlay with Baltimore +1.5 / Tigers ML...If I can get it in.

I like the Orioles tonight too.. What's the price on the +1.5?

[mgoncalves10]

Well how about them Cardinals...

[RollinDo]

I like the Orioles tonight too.. What's the price on the +1.5?

-220. Sure hope Tigers get to this Noesi guy.

[RollinDo]

Unreal. Miller has been great vs Brewers...and at home.
Cards need to figure some things out. They're stinking the joint.

[mgoncalves10]

Unreal. Miller has been great vs Brewers...and at home.
Cards need to figure some things out. They're stinking the joint.

Luckily it's still early...

[pokerwhiz90]

lol whens the last time the cards have been swept at home

[mgoncalves10]

BOOOM!! Thank you Matt Adams.. Now lets see if Miller can keep the lead!

[mgoncalves10]

Finally the Tigers swinging the bat.. Miguel Cabrera looks 90 running around the bases haha and he wasn't even at a sprint..

[RollinDo]

Man. Kicking myself for having Brewers +1.5 too.
I make some silly hedge plays...just not too confident in Cards bats lately. Today they seem to be awake.

[pokerwhiz90]

wow what a fantastic goal by adrian lopez... that was something, esp against chelsea's set defense

[mgoncalves10]

wow what a fantastic goal by adrian lopez... that was something, esp against chelsea's set defense

More like awful defending haha.. Ashley Cole could have kicked it out and he let it go.. Push for the Chelsea 1H PK.. At least it's not a loss, but wish they could have held on to the lead..

[pokerwhiz90]

wow atletico looking a class higher right now.... im just enjoying the game, couldn't be on it since it was a coinflip

[mgoncalves10]

Leaning Angels ML.. Wilson pitching well, Indians not hitting the ball well and Mcallister on 3 days rest..

[RollinDo]

At this point fading Indians until they win is not a bad idea. I am thinking Angels -1...depending on my night to that point. Cleveland has worst BA vs lefties among AL teams.
Need Nats +1.5 and Raps to both win.

[mgoncalves10]

At this point fading Indians until they win is not a bad idea. I am thinking Angels -1...depending on my night to that point. Cleveland has worst BA vs lefties among AL teams.
Need Nats +1.5 and Raps to both win.

Angels are on earlier today. 7:05 ET I believe

[mgoncalves10]

Also like Giants

[mgoncalves10]

At this point fading Indians until they win is not a bad idea. I am thinking Angels -1...depending on my night to that point. Cleveland has worst BA vs lefties among AL teams.
Need Nats +1.5 and Raps to both win.

Good hit on Raptors..

Angels ML cashed in now waiting for Avs, Giants n Nats in a 3-team parlay

[RollinDo]

Good hit on Raptors..

Angels ML cashed in now waiting for Avs, Giants n Nats in a 3-team parlay

Man, you have some nice parlays! And the payout is great too! I tend to play it safe with Parlays...Most payout I've ever had was like +150.
If I were to play a 3-teamer for mlb, I'd likely do a heavy fave ML and then 2 other teams at +1.5

[mgoncalves10]

Man, you have some nice parlays! And the payout is great too! I tend to play it safe with Parlays...Most payout I've ever had was like +150.
If I were to play a 3-teamer for mlb, I'd likely do a heavy fave ML and then 2 other teams at +1.5

That parlay would have been sweet if the damn Avs didn't blow it at home.. WTF!!

Finished 3-4-1 yesterday (-$8.75) Freaken Avs

Onto some early baseball... Share your thoughts...

[pokerwhiz90]

what do you think about lad dodgers- haren?

[mgoncalves10]

Alright, first up.. Rays @ Red Sox

First game of a day/nigh doubleheader, and John Farrel has moved Jake Peavy to game 1, as he feels the experienced pitcher can go deeper into the game, opposed to Felix Doubront, who can gave up a lot of runs in a hurry. For the Rays, Cesar Ramos gets the ball, in what will be his fourth start of the season. He comes in (1-1, 3.28 ERA) and in his three starts, he's given up 5 runs in 12 innings pitched. He got hit hard in his first start against the Reds, but has managed to sort things out since, allowing 1 run to the Yankees and 0 runs over 5 hits against the White Sox in his latest appearance. Tampa Bay has given up 50 runs in their last 8 games, putting them at an average of 6.25 runs against per game in that stretch. Luckily Ramos has decent numbers coming into this game, but at Fenway park since 2011, he's allowed batters to hit .294, and he has a 4.50 ERA in 6 appearances in Boston. Day games and Away games this season are also not his best friend. Away from the Trop he's (1-1, 5.00 ERA) in 2 starts, while in 2 day starts, he's (0-1, 5.40 ERA).

Peavey has a (1-0) record, with a 2.87 ERA. He's pitched very well this season, with just one poor performance in the mix. He gave up 5 ER against the Orioles, but other than that, he has only allowed more than 1 ER on one other occasion. An alarming stat for him is that he's given up a HR in every start this season. So if he can limit the long ball, he'd have a very impressive ERA right now. Limiting the Rays when it comes to the long ball, it may not be hard to limit the Rays. They've scored 37 runs in their last 8 (4.6 runs per game), but they've only hit 2 HR's in that span.

It's cold here in Boston, and there may be some drizzle in the mix. For a team that's struggling to win games, Tampa Bay could struggle to get in the win column in the Day game. They've won just 2 of their last 8, so looking at both games, I think they have a better chance of winning the night game against Doubront, than they do against the Peavy..

Thoughts?

[pokerwhiz90]

i honestly think its a toss up, both pitchers are lights out against one another and the under should be good in this game

[mgoncalves10]

what do you think about lad dodgers- haren?

Looking at the pitching matchup, without even looking at the numbers, you would have to think that the Dodgers have the clear advantage. In regards to this season, and just overall numbers, they do, but Haren hasn't been lights out against the Twins. This season he is 3-0 with a 2.03 ERA. He's given up a combined 6 ER's in his last 3 appearances, but a total of 11 runs in those three games. In his only day start this season, he got the win, but he has a 4.76 ERA. His last four starts against the Twins have resulted in a 2-1 record, but he's posted a 4.76 ERA against them. And at Target Field, he's 1-1, 6.75 ERA in 3 starts. As a team, the Twins are hitting .385 against him in 96 at bats. So as you can see, overall, Haren is much better than Pelfrey, but his #'s against the Twins are not great.

Pelfrey on the other hand.... This guy gives up runs for fun. He's 0-2 with a 7.32 ERA. He's given up at least 3 ER's in all four of his starts, and he doesn't strike out many batters, so the Dodgers can expect to make contact against him. The weather in Minnesota hasn't been cooperating, so it's going to be another cold and drizzly day for the day game. At home this season, Pelfrey has an 0-1 record with a 9.64 ERA. And for day games, 0-2, 7.84 ERA.

So I'm not really sure how the O/U for this game is at 8.5. I'm assuming Vegas is banking on Haren shutting down the Twins' bats, but although I think the Dodgers edge this one out just because Pelfrey is not good, I think the O 8.5 has some value here..

[pokerwhiz90]

thanks, thats a good read - i'm going to play the dodgers run line for a small play

[mgoncalves10]

Red Sox (ML) - Risking $38.75 to win $25

Parlay: Red Sox (Game #1, ML), Benfica (+1), Bruins (ML), Dodgers / Twins (O8.5) - Risking $25 to win $197.54

[superbowl3056]

Dodgers are 11-1 on the road this season in the first five innings. Fading Pelfrey for the first five looks like an easy bet to me