TUESDAY 2-Pack of WINNERS!

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  • AndrewMcCutchen
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-18-12
    • 326

    #1
    TUESDAY 2-Pack of WINNERS!
    YTD 3-1 (+8 units)

    Nice start to the 2014 MLB forum postings...

    TUESDAY 4/8:

    2 bets for tonight...

    #1: Rays (Archer) @ Royals (Ventura)

    RAYS -120 for 3 units


    #2: Tigers (Scherzer) @ Dodgers (Haren)

    TIGERS -130 for 4 units


    First of all, Yordano Ventura is making his season debut. He got skipped last week because of a rain-out and hasn't pitched in 10 days. His last start of Spring Training, he got roughed up in three innings of work (although he did have a very good spring). I think the hype train is running wild on this guy and it will be quite a lot of pressure for him to live up to the high expectations in his first start, especially vs a hungry, solid Rays lineup. The Royals won the opener today and the Rays bats didn't wake up until the end of the game, when it was already too late. I just don't see the Royals winning two in a row in this spot, especially facing Chris Archer. He's a stud, plain and simple. Very underrated. Current Royals own a collective .238 average vs Archer in 21 at bats with 0 home runs.

    You won't find Max Scherzer around -130 that many times this season, so I'm pouncing on it. Dodgers own a collective .189 career average vs Scherzer. Take a look at these Dodgers career stats vs Mad Max:

    Matt Kemp 0/16 .000 avg
    A. Gonzalez 3/17 .176 avg
    Dee Gordon 1/4 .250 avg
    Hanley 0/3 .000 avg
    Juan Uribe 1/7 .143 avg
    C. Crawford 3/9 .333 avg
    A. Ethier 6/15 .400 avg 1 HR

    Dodgers counter with Dan Haren. He pitched 6 shutout innings in his debut last week, but it was against the Padres at Petco so take it with a grain of salt. The Tigers offense is just a weeeeeee bit better than the Padres and Dan Haren is (dare I say) washed up, so I love the -130 price here.

    Lets keep this run goin boys and girls!



  • ss7415
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-14-13
    • 177

    #2
    Good write up. Do agree -130 for Max vs any team is a great value. Also Puig might be out of the line up. If he is playing wont be 100%
    Comment
    • ss7415
      SBR High Roller
      • 01-14-13
      • 177

      #3
      Ventura is the real deal, though. Dude has some really nasty stuff and could be ROY. Archer is a solid too. Great pitching match up. Early money is on KC. Touch call here
      Comment
      • WhoLetdaDawgsOut
        SBR High Roller
        • 03-25-14
        • 188

        #4
        I like em both, road warriors, best of luck! Rather bet Rays than Tigers. I do think tigers will win tho
        Comment
        • riffraff24
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-20-11
          • 7234

          #5
          Originally posted by ss7415
          Good write up. Do agree -130 for Max vs any team is a great value. Also Puig might be out of the line up. If he is playing wont be 100%
          Puig not being in the lineup means nothing right now. He didn't play in the last game when the Dodgers beat the Giants and Hanley and Kemp hit two bombs.
          Comment
          • AndrewMcCutchen
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-18-12
            • 326

            #6
            Line has shifted to Detroit -116. It's amazing how enamored America is with the Dodgers. I already put 4 units on DET at -130, but will gladly put a few more on them if the line shifts any more.
            Comment
            • AndrewMcCutchen
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-18-12
              • 326

              #7
              David Wright OVER 2 - Hits, Runs, & RBIs (-115) for 2 units


              I once in a while will find a prop that's just to good to pass up. This is one of those instances. David Wright goes up against Aaron Harang tonight of the Atlanta Braves. Wright's career #s vs Harang look like this:

              11/21 .576 avg, 4 BB, 4 2b, 1 HR, 7 RBI.

              Collectively, the Current Mets career avg vs Harang is a combined .398 with 6 HRs over 93 ABs. It doesn't get much better than that. So hopefully men will be on base all night for Wright or he'll score a run or two. If your book doesn't offer this exact prop, I'd look for anything involving Wright tonight. He's in all of my daily league lineups as well. Mets/Braves over 7 1/2 also has a decent chance to sail over, as Bartolo Colon isn't exactly an ace out there without the PEDs.

              Here's to a very profitable day for all of SBR!
              Comment
              • WhoLetdaDawgsOut
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-25-14
                • 188

                #8
                For some reason harang is really good at pitching right now
                Comment
                • PorkChop
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-18-08
                  • 8193

                  #9
                  Archer is solid, and they lost yesterday. Like it
                  Comment
                  • mikmik
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-13-12
                    • 5457

                    #10
                    Going to tail Tigers
                    Comment
                    • CappinTerp
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 9650

                      #11
                      Good luck on Det. I already backed KC this morning...they have TB's #,winning 11 out of last 14 meetings and 7-0 last 7 in KC....GL
                      Comment
                      • trobin31
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-09-14
                        • 9853

                        #12
                        Like Detroit as well, great value as you stated. gL
                        Comment
                        • AndrewMcCutchen
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-18-12
                          • 326

                          #13
                          Almost first pitch for Mad Max!!! Lets go!!!!
                          Comment
                          • AndrewMcCutchen
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-18-12
                            • 326

                            #14
                            Originally posted by AndrewMcCutchen
                            YTD 3-1 (+8 units)

                            TUESDAY 4/8:

                            RAYS -120 for 3 units

                            TIGERS -130 for 4 units *PENDING

                            Originally posted by AndrewMcCutchen
                            David Wright OVER 2 - Hits, Runs, & RBIs (-115) for 2 units
                            +3 units on the RAYS! What a great pitching duel, that kid Ventura is as good as advertised.

                            -2 units on David Wright Prop....he had a few opportunities with RISP, just one of those nights I guess...

                            LETS GO TIGERS!
                            Comment
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