MLB 2014 - picks for everyday

[jay89]

fresh season, need to keep track of this hobby. Just another one of those season threads, except I hope this one doesn't die after 2 weeks

I will try to update everyday


3/31/2014

tigers -150
indians +118
giants -130

Lots of games to choose from but I'm riding hot pitchers coming out of ST and last season's matchups. not much else to go on here.

[jay89]

add to
3/31/2014

1u on sea TT o3


4/1/2014

athletics -130
phillies/rangers o8.5 +106
marlins -106

[Capper1124]

GL tonight

[jay89]

Opening day:4-0, +3.43u

Add
1.5u nyy-1 at -113
1.5u sf at ari o8.5 @ -102

[jay89]

4/1/2014 - 2-2 (oak ppd)... record to date: 6-2 +3.34u

4/2/2014 picks:

stl ML -110
sf/ari O8.5 -124
atl/mil O8.5 +108

will add in more tomorrow. liking MIN vs CWS ff over, BOS vs BAL ff over
Some play in CLE vs Oak if possible (Oak ML with kazmir starting, or the OVER when Mcalister/chavez pitch)


a lot of games on tap, very interesting card.

[jay89]

Adding
Min vs cws ff o4 -111
Oak ml gm1 - 140
Bos vs bal o8.5 -114

[jay89]

good start to the day, adding to 4/2/2014:

oak vs cle gm2, ff o4.5 +100

[jay89]

3-4 yest... +1.96u ytd.

Time to turn it around
4-3-2014

Min tt o3.5 -101
Sea ml +115
Cin ml - 110
Col vs Mia u7.5 +103
Chi vs pit u7.5 -125

[jay89]

Adding
Nyy vs Hou U8.5 -112
Bal tt o4 -106

[jay89]

3-4 yest, Still on a slide, picks for Friday 4-4-2014, will update record tomorrow

Sea oak ff o4 +104
Cws kc ff o4 - 121
Tex tb o8.5 +102
Sd Mia u8 - 120
Bos-1.5 +131

[jay89]

14-12 ytd +0.33u

super saturday
1.5u bets on:

cin ml -128
min/cle ff o4.5 +101
bal/det ff o4.5 -102
sea/oak ff +0 -125
sf ml -119


more to come maybe

[jay89]

3-1 this afternoon (looking like 4-1), tough loss on the cincy game, they really need the chapman back...

1.5u on:
LAA/HOU over 8.5 -136
COL ff +0 -123

[jay89]

Good bounceback, YTD going into tomorrow: 19-14, +4.46u

some observations for the first week:
4-7 for entire game totals (2 losses could have been first five wins)
5-0 for first five totals

6-6 on entire game sides
2-0 on first five sides (got lucky with the rockies tonight tho)


Makes sense since analyses are based on starters... but definitely on the right track here.

[jay89]

sun 4/6/2014

lets close out the week on a high note

2u bets on:
MIA ML -120
PHI ML -114
COL -122
NYY-TOR FF U4.5 -114
MIL/BOS O4.5 -114
TEX FF +0 -106
TOTAL RUNS U120.5 -123

[jay89]

1-5-1 today, 20-19-1 (-3.92u)

Tough day but humbling... sundays are too difficult to handicap, a getaway day for all teams. Don't think i'll be laying many bets on sundays from now on.

[Capper1124]

Get it back tomorrow. I had a rough one also

[jay89]

Cws at Col o10.5 +119
Bal tt u3.5 - 117
Sd cle u4 ff - 109
Oak tt o4.5 +105
Cin Stl ff u3.5 - 131

1.5u on each

[jay89]

solid start... almost had cin/stl.

sd/cle rained out.

TB TT o3.5 -114
vargas is simply overrated. kansas bp has not been good at all. TB repping an all right lineup and hits decent vs lefts. my issue is that buerhle lit up the the rays at the trop last week. feeling the rays will bounce back here

[jay89]

2-3 today, felt like I was grasping for action, too desperate for an edge. but at least I'm slowly finding out where the money is to be made

ytd 22-22-1, -5.56u

for 4/7/2014:
liking
TT over- indians, rockies, nats

early leans
ML FF phillies, rangers, mets

[jay89]

was at work, here were my picks today:

Phillies +0 ff -108 (lost)
Rangers +0.5 ff -117 (won)
Mets +0.5 ff -126
Indians o4 tt +103
rockies o4.5 tt -117
cin-stl o7 +100

[jay89]

3 early cashes: mets, indians, cin-stl. good bounceback.

2u on u3.5 ff lad-det

[jay89]

today: 5-2, YTD -1.82u


tomorrow liking:
FF under sd-cle gm1, and tex-bos
ff over oak-min
tt over col

tt over nyy
tt over sd gm2
tt over wsh nats
ff under mets braves
over ari-sf


a ton of plays but will need to study some of this over

[jay89]

Ff u4.5 -117 sd-cl gm1

Will post later

[jay89]

U4.5 ff Sd cle - 108,lets get em again

[jay89]

Rangers ff 0.5 - 119
Nyy tt o4-114
Wsh tt o4 - 114
Nym atl u3.5 - 101

[jay89]

3 more to close the night

tigers +0 ff -115
dbacks o3.5 +113
laa-sea o8 -117

[jay89]

pulled in another solid day, 5-3-1. won a parlay on the side as well and i'm rolling.

ytd: 32-27-2 (+0.65u)

tomorrow:
heavy on oak tomorrow (tt and ff) might have to caution that it's a getaway day for oak

some leans for tomorrow:

pit/cin - ff under
mia/wsh -ff over
ari/sf - ff over
mil ML
nym-atl - under
cle-cws - ff under

[jay89]

Oak tt o4.5
Pit chc ff u4
Wsh Mia o3.5 ff

[jay89]

after tonight ytd: 35-29-2 (+1.50u)

big weekend coming up, great card tomorrow.
FF over tor-bal, col-sf
FF under nyy-bos, tb-cin, hou-tex, det-sd
FF ML mia, mil
TT LAD

maybes:
TT orioles
FF -0.5 cws


Lets get em again

[jay89]

FF ML mia - loss
FF ML mil - win
Astros-rangers FF u4.5 - win
TB-CIN ff u3.5 - win
bos-nyy u8.5 - win
cws TT o4 - win

LAD TT o4 - tba
det-sd ff u3.5 - tba
COL/SF - o6.5 - tba

[jay89]

BUMGARNER!!! seals it with a slam

8-1 tonight. will post some picks tomorrow

[jay89]

ytd: 43-30-2 +10.19u


super saturday afternoon bets:
2u on:
bos-nyy u4.5 ff
tb-cin u4 ff
indians o4.5 TT
chc/stl u3.5 ff
kc/min o7 game

3u on:
col/sf o7.5 game

[jay89]

looks like 3-2 for the first 5 games today. risky plays with bos-nyy-stl, these are good offenses that woke up today

will update with picks for tonight's games

[jay89]

tough afternoon, 3-3.

lets get it tonight

mia/phi o8 game
oak o4 tt
det o3.5 tt
mil o4.5 tt
hou-tex u9.5 game


parlay for bonus:
-1.5 RL det, -1.5 RL mil

[jay89]

4-5today,lost a few units... made up for it with a solid day on hockey though

YTD: 47-35-2 (+5.35u)

for tomorrow, looking at:
mia-phi over
balt ml
oak ml
bos-nyy ff over
det-sd under ff

leans:
cws ml
stl TT over
tex tt over
lad tt over