Chase #232: WIN (+1.0u) CLE @ KC [ML] 1.93 (A) Jul 26 Sat - WIN (+1.0u) Record: (204-20-4) -48.06u Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-4.065u Chase #228:
TOR @ NYY [ML] 1.76 (A) Jul 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.315u)
TOR @ NYY [ML] (B) Jul 27 Sun 10:05a PDT
DET @ NYY (C) Aug 04 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #229:
STL @ CHC [ML] 1.78 (A) Jul 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.28u)
STL @ CHC [+1.5 RL] (B) Jul 27 Sun 11:20a PDT
COL @ CHC (C) Jul 28 Mon 5:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #231:
ARI @ PHI [ML] 1.68 (A) Jul 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.47u)
ARI @ PHI [+1.5 RL] (B) Jul 27 Sun 10:35a PDT
HOU @ PHI (C) Aug 05 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary) --------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Jul 27 Sun)
Chase #229: WIN (+1.0u) STL @CHC [ML] 1.78 (A) Jul 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.28u) STL @CHC [+1.5 RL] 1.83 (B) Jul 27 Sun - WIN (+2.28u)
Chase #231: WIN (+1.0u) ARI @PHI [ML] 1.68 (A) Jul 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.47u) ARI @PHI [+1.5 RL] 1.67 (B) Jul 27 Sun -WIN (+2.47u) Record: (206-20-4) -46.06u Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-5.32u
Chase #228: TOR @NYY [ML] 1.76 (A) Jul 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.315u) TOR @NYY [ML] 1.80 (B) Jul 27 Sun -LOSS (-2.895u) DET @ NYY (C) Aug 04 Mon 4:05p PDT
Chase #233: CLE @KC [ML] 1.90 (A) Jul 27 Sun -LOSS (-1.11u) MIN @KC (B) Jul 29 Tue 5:10p PDT MIN @KC (C) Jul 30 Wed 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Jul 28 Mon)
Well I see the old swinging dick is still at it. But he's already lost his ass, so he's just pretending. Hell I knew that on March 31 (check post), and it took this idiot 1/2 the season to figure out that this wasn't a good idea. Stupid, stupid, stupid.
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#464
COMPLETED CHASES (Jul 30 Wed)
Chase #233: WIN (+1.0u) CLE @ KC [ML] 1.90 (A) Jul 27 Sun - LOSS (-1.11u) MIN @KC [ML] 1.51 (B) Jul 29 Tue -LOSS (-4.135u) MIN @KC [ML] 1.63 (C) Jul 30 Wed - WIN (+6.245u)
Chase #240:
SF @NYM (A) Aug 01 Fri 4:10p PDT
SF @ NYM (B) Aug 02 Sat 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
SF @ NYM (C) Aug 03 Sun 10:10a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #241:
CWS @ SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT
CWS @ SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT (If Necessary)
PHI @ SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
snark
SBR Sharp
11-12-12
311
#465
Only need 40 more wins in a row, and you'll be EVEN for the season. He-He-He. Dumbass.
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#466
COMPLETED CHASES (Jul 31 Thu)
None Record: (212-20-4) -40.06u Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-5.935u
Chase #228: TOR @NYY [ML] 1.76 (A) Jul 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.315u) TOR @ NYY [ML] 1.80 (B) Jul 27 Sun - LOSS (-2.895u) DET @ NYY (C) Aug 04 Mon 4:05p PDT
Chase #239:
STL @SD [+1.5 RL] 1.58 (A) Jul 31 Thu - LOSS (-1.725u)
ATL @ SD [+1.5 RL](B) Aug 01 Fri 7:10p PDT ATL @SD (C) Aug 02 Sat 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 01 Fri)
Chase #227: KC @ OAK [ML] (A) Aug 01 Fri 6:35p PDT KC @OAK (B) Aug 02 Sat 1:05p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ OAK (C) Aug 03 Sun 1:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #240: SF @NYM [ML] (A) Aug 01 Fri 4:10p PDT SF @ NYM (B) Aug 02 Sat 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
SF @ NYM (C) Aug 03 Sun 10:10a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #241: CWS @ SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT (If Necessary)
PHI @SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #242:
PIT @ ARI [+1.5 RL] (A) Aug 01 Fri 6:40p PDT
PIT @ ARI (B) Aug 02 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
PIT @ ARI (C) Aug 03 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#467
COMPLETED CHASES (Aug 01 Fri)
Chase #239: WIN (+1.0u) STL @SD [+1.5 RL] 1.58 (A) Jul 31 Thu - LOSS (-1.725u) ATL @ SD [+1.5 RL] 1.67 (B) Aug 01 Fri -WIN (+2.725u) Record: (213-20-4) -39.06u Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-9.07u
Chase #228: TOR @NYY [ML] 1.76 (A) Jul 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.315u) TOR @NYY [ML] 1.80 (B) Jul 27 Sun - LOSS (-2.895u) DET @ NYY (C) Aug 04 Mon 4:05p PDT
Chase #227: KC @ OAK [ML] 1.44 (A) Aug 01 Fri -LOSS (-2.275u) KC @OAK [ML] (B) Aug 02 Sat 1:05p PDT KC @OAK (C) Aug 03 Sun 1:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #240: SF @ NYM [ML] 1.88 (A) Aug 01 Fri - LOSS (-1.135u) SF @ NYM [ML] (B) Aug 02 Sat 4:10p PDT SF @NYM (C) Aug 03 Sun 10:10a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #242:
PIT @ ARI [+1.5 RL] 1.69 (A) Aug 01 Fri -LOSS (-1.45u) PIT @ARI [+1.5 RL] (B) Aug 02 Sat 5:10p PDT PIT @ARI (C) Aug 03 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 02 Sat)
Chase #241: CWS @ SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT(If Necessary)
PHI @SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #243:
TEX @ CLE [ML] (A) Aug 02 Sat 4:05p PDT
TEX @ CLE (B) Aug 03 Sun 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
CIN @ CLE (C) Aug 04 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #244:
MIN @ CWS [ML] (A) Aug 02 Sat 4:10p PDT
MIN @ CWS (B) Aug 03 Sun 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)
TEX @ CWS (C) Aug 04 Mon 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #245:
ATL @ SD [+1.5 RL] (A) Aug 02 Sat 5:40p PDT
ATL @ SD (B) Aug 03 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
COL @ SD (C) Aug 11 Mon 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#468
COMPLETED CHASES (Aug 02 Sat)
Chase #227: WIN (+1.0u) KC @OAK [ML] 1.44 (A) Aug 01 Fri -LOSS (-2.275u) KC @OAK [ML] 1.60 (B) Aug 02 Sat - WIN (+3.275u)
Chase #240: WIN (+1.0u) SF @ NYM [ML] 1.88 (A) Aug 01 Fri - LOSS (-1.135u) SF @NYM [ML] 1.81 (B) Aug 02 Sat - WIN (+2.135u)
Chase #243: WIN (+1.0u) TEX @CLE [ML] 1.61 (A) Aug 02 Sat - WIN (+1.0u)
Chase #245: WIN (+1.0u) ATL @SD [+1.5 RL] 1.59 (A) Aug 02 Sat - WIN (+1.0u) Record: (217-20-4) -35.06u Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-10.415u
Chase #228: TOR @ NYY [ML] 1.76 (A) Jul 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.315u) TOR @NYY [ML] 1.80 (B) Jul 27 Sun - LOSS (-2.895u) DET @ NYY (C) Aug 04 Mon 4:05p PDT
Chase #242:
PIT @ ARI [+1.5 RL] 1.69 (A) Aug 01 Fri -LOSS (-1.45u) PIT @ARI [+1.5 RL] 1.68 (B) Aug 02 Sat -LOSS (-3.605u) PIT @ARI [+1.5 RL] C) Aug 03 Sun 1:10p PDT
Chase #244: MIN @CWS [ML] 1.87 (A) Aug 02 Sat - LOSS (-1.15u) MIN @CWS [ML] (B) Aug 03 Sun 11:10a PDT TEX @CWS (C) Aug 04 Mon 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 03 Sun)
Chase #241: CWS @ SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT(If Necessary)
PHI @ SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #246:
PHI @ WSH [ML] (A) Aug 03 Sun 10:35a PDT
BAL @ WSH (B) Aug 04 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
NYM @ WSH (C) Aug 05 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #247:
KC @ OAK [ML] (A) Aug 03 Sun 1:05p PDT
TB @ OAK (B) Aug 04 Mon 7:05p PDT (If Necessary)
TB @ OAK (C) Aug 05 Tue 7:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #248:
MIL @ STL [ML] (A) Aug 03 Sun 11:15a PDT
BOS @ STL (B) Aug 05 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
BOS @ STL (C) Aug 06 Wed 5:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #249:
TOR @ HOU [+1.5 RL] (A) Aug 03 Sun 11:10a PDT
TEX @ HOU (B) Aug 08 Fri 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
TEX @ HOU (C) Aug 09 Sat 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #250:
COL @ DET [ML] (A) Aug 03 Sun 10:05a PDT
PIT @ DET (B) Aug 13 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
PIT @ DET (C) Aug 14 Thu 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #251:
LAA @ TB [ML] (A) Aug 03 Sun 10:40a PDT
NYY @ TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
NYY @ TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#469
COMPLETED CHASES (Aug 03 Sun)
Chase #242: WIN (+1.0u) PIT @ARI [+1.5 RL] 1.69 (A) Aug 01 Fri -LOSS (-1.45u) PIT @ARI [+1.5 RL] 1.68 (B) Aug 02 Sat -LOSS (-3.605u) PIT @ARI [+1.5 RL] 1.98 (C) Aug 03 Sun -WIN (+6.055u)
Chase #246: WIN (+1.0u) PHI @WSH [ML] 1.67 (A) Aug 03 Sun - WIN (+1.0u)
Chase #248: WIN (+1.0u) MIL @ STL [ML] 1.75 (A) Aug 03 Sun -WIN (+1.0u)
Chase #249: WIN (+1.0u) TOR @HOU [+1.5 RL] 1.97 (A) Aug 03 Sun - WIN (+1.0u)
Chase #250: WIN (+1.0u) COL @DET [ML] 1.44 (A) Aug 03 Sun - WIN (+1.0u) Record: (222-20-4) -30.06u Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-11.285u
Chase #228: TOR @ NYY [ML] 1.76 (A) Jul 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.315u) TOR @NYY [ML] 1.80 (B) Jul 27 Sun - LOSS (-2.895u) DET @NYY [+1.5 RL] (C) Aug 04 Mon 4:05p PDT
Chase #244: MIN @ CWS [ML] 1.87 (A) Aug 02 Sat - LOSS (-1.15u) MIN @ CWS [ML] 1.67 (B) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-3.21u) TEX @CWS [ML] (C) Aug 04 Mon 5:10p PDT
Chase #247: KC @OAK [ML] 1.61 (A) Aug 03 Sun -LOSS (-1.64u) TB @OAK [ML] (B) Aug 04 Mon 7:05p PDT TB @OAK (C) Aug 05 Tue 7:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #251: LAA @ TB [ML] 1.93 (A) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-1.075u) NYY @TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT NYY @TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 04 Mon)
Chase #241: CWS @SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT (If Necessary)
PHI @SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#470
COMPLETED CHASES (Aug 04 Mon)
Chase #228: WIN (+1.0u) TOR @NYY [ML] 1.76 (A) Jul 26 Sat - LOSS (-1.315u) TOR @NYY [ML] 1.80 (B) Jul 27 Sun - LOSS (-2.895u) DET @NYY [+1.5 RL] 1.61 (C) Aug 04 Mon - WIN (+5.21u)
Chase #244: WIN (+1.0u) MIN @CWS [ML] 1.87 (A) Aug 02 Sat - LOSS (-1.15u) MIN @ CWS [ML] 1.67 (B) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-3.21u) TEX @CWS [ML] 1.73 (C) Aug 04 Mon - WIN (+5.36u)
Chase #247: WIN (+1.0u) KC @ OAK [ML] 1.61 (A) Aug 03 Sun -LOSS (-1.64u) TB @OAK [ML] 1.74 (B) Aug 04 Mon -WIN (+2.64u) Record: (225-20-4) -27.08u Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-1.075u
Chase #251: LAA @ TB [ML] 1.93 (A) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-1.075u) NYY @TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT NYY @ TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 05 Tue)
Chase #241: CWS @ SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT(If Necessary)
PHI @ SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#471
COMPLETED CHASES (Aug 05 Tue)
None Record: (225-20-4) -27.08u Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-1.075u
Chase #251: LAA @ TB [ML] 1.93 (A) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-1.075u) NYY @ TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT NYY @TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT(If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 06 Wed)
Chase #241: CWS @SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT(If Necessary)
PHI @SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT(If Necessary)
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#472
COMPLETED CHASES (Aug 06 Wed)
None Record: (225-20-4) -27.08u Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-1.075u
Chase #251: LAA @TB [ML] 1.93 (A) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-1.075u) NYY @TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT NYY @TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT(If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 07 Thu)
Chase #241: CWS @SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT(If Necessary)
PHI @SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #252:
CWS @ SEA [ML] (A) Aug 07 Thu 7:10p PDT
CWS @ SEA (B) Aug 08 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
CWS @ SEA (C) Aug 09 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #253:
HOU @PHI [+1.5 RL] (A) Aug 07 Thu 4:05p PDT
NYM @ PHI (B) Aug 08 Fri 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
NYM @ PHI (C) Aug 09 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #254:
MIA @ PIT [ML] (A) Aug 07 Thu 4:05p PDT
SD @ PIT (B) Aug 08 Fri 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
SD @ PIT (C) Aug 09 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #255:
CLE @ CIN [ML] (A) Aug 07 Thu 4:10p PDT
MIA @ CIN (B) Aug 08 Fri 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
MIA @ CIN (C) Aug 09 Sat 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #256:
CHC @ COL [ML] (A) Aug 07 Thu 12:10p PDT
CIN @ COL (B) Aug 14 Thu 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)
CIN @ COL (C) Aug 15 Fri 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#473
Nice little run, you might make it back into the green. Any filters you want to add to next season? Maybe not just a home chase but chase a team after winning at home and scoring 10 runs or more during that game? I dont understand why you wait to chase a team until they get back home.
Chase #254: WIN (+1.0u) MIA @PIT [ML] 1.74 (A) Aug 07 Thu - WIN (+1.0u)
Chase #255: WIN (+1.0u) CLE @CIN [ML] 1.83 (A) Aug 07 Thu - WIN (+1.0u) Record: (229-20-4) -23.08u Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-2.275u
Chase #251: LAA @TB [ML] 1.93 (A) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-1.075u) NYY @TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT NYY @TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT(If Necessary)
Chase #256: CHC @ COL [ML] 1.83 (A) Aug 07 Thu - LOSS (-1.2u) CIN @COL (B) Aug 14 Thu 5:40p PDT CIN @ COL (C) Aug 15 Fri 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 08 Fri)
Chase #241: CWS @SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT(If Necessary)
PHI @SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #257:
NYM @ PHI [??] (A) Aug 08 Fri 4:05p PDT
NYM @ PHI (B) Aug 09 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
NYM @ PHI (C) Aug 10 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #258:
CWS @ SEA [ML] (A) Aug 09 Sat 6:10p PDT
CWS @ SEA (B) Aug 10 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
CWS @ SEA (C) Aug 11 Mon 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#475
Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
Nice little run, you might make it back into the green. Any filters you want to add to next season? Maybe not just a home chase but chase a team after winning at home and scoring 10 runs or more during that game? I dont understand why you wait to chase a team until they get back home.
Definitely running hot now with a 42-game winning streak. I may or may not do this again next year but if I do it'll be a second half only chase instead of the entire season. The first 3 months have quite a few more series losses than the last 3. This season the number of series losses are right about average but the problem is we had way less games that qualified hence the much fewer wins. Just better pitching and lower offense. We would have been up 30u by now not down 20u.
I'm chasing the home team only simply because it performs better in the backtests as opposed to straight chasing a team.
Chase #258: WIN (+1.0u) CWS @SEA [ML] 1.61 (A) Aug 09 Sat - WIN (+1.0u) Record: (231-20-4) -21.08u Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-2.275u
Chase #251: LAA @TB [ML] 1.93 (A) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-1.075u) NYY @TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT NYY @TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT(If Necessary)
Chase #256: CHC @COL [ML] 1.83 (A) Aug 07 Thu - LOSS (-1.2u) CIN @ COL (B) Aug 14 Thu 5:40p PDT CIN @COL (C) Aug 15 Fri 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 09 Sat)
Chase #241: CWS @SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT(If Necessary)
PHI @ SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #259:
STL @ BAL [ML] (A) Aug 09 Sat 1:05p PDT
STL @ BAL (B) Aug 10 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)
NYY @ BAL (C) Aug 11 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #260:
WSH @ ATL [+1.5 RL] (A) Aug 09 Sat 4:10p PDT
WSH @ ATL (B) Aug 10 Sun 5:05p PDT (If Necessary)
LAD @ ATL (C) Aug 11 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #261:
MIN @ OAK [ML] (A) Aug 09 Sat 6:05p PDT
MIN @ OAK (B) Aug 10 Sun 1:05p PDT (If Necessary)
NYM @ OAK (C) Aug 19 Tue 7:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #262:
LAD @ MIL [+1.5 RL] (A) Aug 09 Sat 4:10p PDT
LAD @ MIL (B) Aug 10 Sun 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)
TOR @ MIL (C) Aug 19 Tue 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #263:
CLE @ NYY [+1.5 RL] (A) Aug 09 Sat 10:05a PDT
CLE @ NYY (B) Aug 10 Sun 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ NYY (C) Aug 19 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#477
2014 Live Test
- Live tests is based on the closing lines on Pinnacle as listed on SBR.
ARI (7-0)
ATL (6-1) (-16.765u [166])
BAL (6-0)
BOS (2-0)
CHC (8-0)
CIN (7-1) (-11.665u [138])
CLE (10-1) (-12.53u [87])
COL (16-0)
CWS (11-1) (-10.995u)
DET (11-0)
HOU (7-2) (-10.695u [12]) (-11.315u [196])
KC (9-0)
LAA (12-0)
LAD (6-0)
MIA (9-0)
MIL (6-2) (-13.585u [80]) (-15.445u [195])
MIN (6-1) (-9.46u [198])
NYM (5-0)
NYY (4-1) (-14.245u [78])
OAK (12-0)
PHI (8-1) (-12.09u [128])
PIT (8-2) (-9.5u [38]) (-11.44u [50])
SD (7-1) (-13.115u [79])
SEA (7-1) (-18.48u [26])
SF (4-1) (-11.735u [152])
STL (5-0)
TB (6-1) (-15.765u [55])
TEX (3-1) (-10.68u [146])
TOR (12-1) (-9.6u [52])
WSH (11-1) (-12.975u [112])
(A) (149-102)
(B) (57-45)
(C) (25-20)
[ML]: (165-13)
[+1.5 RL]: (66-7)
2014 TOTAL: (231-20-4) –21.08u
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#478
COMPLETED CHASES (Aug 09 Sat)
Chase #259: WIN (+1.0u) STL @ BAL [ML] 1.95 (A) Aug 09 Sat -WIN (+1.0u)
Chase #261: WIN (+1.0u) MIN @OAK [ML] 1.41 (A) Aug 09 Sat - WIN (+1.0u)
Chase #262: WIN (+1.0u) LAD @MIL [+1.5 RL] 1.70 (A) Aug 09 Sat - WIN (+1.0u) Record: (234-20-4) -18.08u [45-game season-high active winning streak] Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-5.5u
Chase #251: LAA @TB [ML] 1.93 (A) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-1.075u) NYY @ TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT NYY @TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #256: CHC @ COL [ML] 1.83 (A) Aug 07 Thu - LOSS (-1.2u) CIN @ COL (B) Aug 14 Thu 5:40p PDT CIN @COL (C) Aug 15 Fri 5:40p PDT(If Necessary)
Chase #260:
WSH @ ATL [+1.5 RL] 1.61 (A) Aug 09 Sat - LOSS (-1.64u) WSH @ ATL [ML] (B) Aug 10 Sun 5:05p PDT LAD @ ATL (C) Aug 11 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #263: CLE @NYY [+1.5 RL] 1.63 (A) Aug 09 Sat -LOSS (-1.585u) CLE @ NYY [ML] (B) Aug 10 Sun 10:05a PDT HOU @NYY (C) Aug 19 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 10 Sun)
Chase #241: CWS @SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @ SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT (If Necessary)
PHI @ SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #264:
STL @ BAL [ML] (A) Aug 10 Sun 10:35a PDT
NYY @ BAL (B) Aug 11 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
NYY @ BAL (C) Aug 12 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #265:
TEX @ HOU [ML] (A) Aug 10 Sun 11:10a PDT
MIN @ HOU (B) Aug 11 Mon 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
MIN @ HOU (C) Aug 12 Tue 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #266:
MIN @ OAK [ML] (A) Aug 10 Sun 1:05p PDT
NYM @ OAK (B) Aug 19 Tue 7:05p PDT (If Necessary)
NYM @ OAK (C) Aug 20 Wed 12:35p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #267:
COL @ ARI [ML] (A) Aug 10 Sun 1:10p PDT
SD @ ARI (B) Aug 22 Fri 6:40p PDT (If Necessary)
SD @ ARI (C) Aug 23 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
snark
SBR Sharp
11-12-12
311
#479
And frogs don't bump their ass when they jump either. This dumb ass idea couldn't be in the green by Oct. if hell froze over. One of the most absurd statements that I've heard lately. You couldn't pick your nose correctly.
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#480
Originally posted by skyscrapers
Definitely running hot now with a 42-game winning streak. I may or may not do this again next year but if I do it'll be a second half only chase instead of the entire season. The first 3 months have quite a few more series losses than the last 3. This season the number of series losses are right about average but the problem is we had way less games that qualified hence the much fewer wins. Just better pitching and lower offense. We would have been up 30u by now not down 20u.
I'm chasing the home team only simply because it performs better in the backtests as opposed to straight chasing a team.
I would probably add a filter such as home team must win by 2 or more runs. If you look at cisco chase he has a 5 run filter for one of his systems, all though i think it is a team must lose by 5 or more then you follow or something like that. Anyways I would probably make the filter much higher around 3 runs or even 5 runs. Because that helps determine the teams defense and not just their offense. Will cut back on a lot of chases, however should greatly lower the variance as well. Think it over and let me know what you come up with.
Thanks for the continuous test. Glad your season has turned around even though its not as good as the backtest.
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#481
COMPLETED CHASES (Aug 10 Sun)
Chase #260: WIN (+1.0u) WSH @ ATL [+1.5 RL] 1.61 (A) Aug 09 Sat - LOSS (-1.64u) WSH @ ATL [ML] 1.87 (B) Aug 10 Sun -WIN (+2.64u) Record: (235-20-4) -17.08u [46-game season-high active winning streak] Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-13.425u
Chase #251: LAA @TB [ML] 1.93 (A) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-1.075u) NYY @TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT NYY @ TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #256: CHC @ COL [ML] 1.83 (A) Aug 07 Thu - LOSS (-1.2u) CIN @COL (B) Aug 14 Thu 5:40p PDT CIN @COL (C) Aug 15 Fri 5:40p PDT(If Necessary)
Chase #263:
CLE @NYY [+1.5 RL] 1.63 (A) Aug 09 Sat -LOSS (-1.585u) CLE @NYY [ML] 1.72 (B) Aug 10 Sun -LOSS (-3.59u) HOU @NYY (C) Aug 19 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #264: STL @ BAL [ML] 1.80 (A) Aug 10 Sun - LOSS (-1.25u) NYY @BAL [ML] (B) Aug 11 Mon 4:05p PDT NYY @BAL (C) Aug 12 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #265: TEX @HOU [ML] 1.70 (A) Aug 10 Sun -LOSS (-1.43u) MIN @ HOU [+1.5 RL] (B) Aug 11 Mon 5:10p PDT MIN @ HOU (C) Aug 12 Tue 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #266: MIN @OAK [ML] 1.57 (A) Aug 10 Sun - LOSS (-1.755u) NYM @OAK (B) Aug 19 Tue 7:05p PDT NYM @OAK (C) Aug 20 Wed 12:35p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #267: COL @ARI [ML] 1.65 (A) Aug 10 Sun - LOSS (-1.54u) SD @ARI (B) Aug 22 Fri 6:40p PDT SD @ ARI (C) Aug 23 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 11 Mon)
Chase #241: CWS @SF (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT (If Necessary)
PHI @SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT(If Necessary)
Chase #268:
OAK @ KC [ML] (A) Aug 11 Mon 5:10p PDT
OAK @ KC (B) Aug 12 Tue 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
OAK @ KC (C) Aug 13 Wed 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #270:
TB @ TOR (A) Aug 22 Fri 7:05p PDT
TB @ TOR (B) Aug 23 Sat 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
TB @ TOR (C) Aug 24 Sun 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
snark
SBR Sharp
11-12-12
311
#482
I hate chases of all kinds, particularly baseball, but please don't put Cisco's name in the same thread as knucklenuts. I don't think that there ever was a back test. 10 runs scored in a game has no validity at all. Hell, a team could lose 15 games in a row, lose one 23-0 and now only using AA pitchers, and dingleberry here, will play them 3 more times. He's so fu*king dumb, he loses 60+ units , and admittedly quits betting this crap, and it goes on a run. I'm glad to see idiots with stupid ideas lose their ass, but hate it when followers believe these dumb asses and lose their $$ also. But I've warned everyone since March this will be a huge failure. But he does put a lot of effort into making his the most colorful thread on here. YEA !! He must be a homo artist.
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#483
COMPLETED CHASES (Aug 11 Mon)
Chase #264: WIN (+1.0u) STL @ BAL [ML] 1.80 (A) Aug 10 Sun - LOSS (-1.25u) NYY @BAL [ML] 1.85 (B) Aug 11 Mon -WIN (+2.25u)
Chase #268: WIN (+1.0u) OAK @ KC [ML] 1.92 (A) Aug 11 Mon - WIN (+1.0u) Record: (237-20-4) -15.08u [48-game season-high active winning streak] Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-17.565u
Chase #251: LAA @ TB [ML] 1.93 (A) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-1.075u) NYY @TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT NYY @TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT(If Necessary)
Chase #256: CHC @ COL [ML] 1.83 (A) Aug 07 Thu - LOSS (-1.2u) CIN @COL (B) Aug 14 Thu 5:40p PDT CIN @COL (C) Aug 15 Fri 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #263: CLE @NYY [+1.5 RL] 1.63 (A) Aug 09 Sat -LOSS (-1.585u) CLE @NYY [ML] 1.72 (B) Aug 10 Sun -LOSS (-3.59u) HOU @NYY (C) Aug 19 Tue 4:05p PDT
Chase #265:
TEX @HOU [ML] 1.70 (A) Aug 10 Sun -LOSS (-1.43u) MIN @HOU [+1.5 RL] 1.62 (B) Aug 11 Mon -LOSS (-3.92u) MIN @ HOU [ML] (C) Aug 12 Tue 5:10p PDT
Chase #266: MIN @ OAK [ML] 1.57 (A) Aug 10 Sun - LOSS (-1.755u) NYM @OAK (B) Aug 19 Tue 7:05p PDT NYM @OAK (C) Aug 20 Wed 12:35p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #267: COL @ARI [ML] 1.65 (A) Aug 10 Sun - LOSS (-1.54u) SD @ARI (B) Aug 22 Fri 6:40p PDT SD @ ARI (C) Aug 23 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #269:
NYM @ PHI [+1.5 RL] 1.68 (A) Aug 11 Mon - LOSS (-1.47u) SEA @ PHI (B) Aug 18 Mon 4:05p PDT SEA @ PHI (C) Aug 19 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 12 Tue)
Chase #241: CWS @SF [+1.5 RL] (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:15p PDT CWS @SF (B) Aug 13 Wed 12:45p PDT(If Necessary)
PHI @ SF (C) Aug 15 Fri 7:15p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #270:
TB @ TOR (A) Aug 22 Fri 7:05p PDT TB @TOR (B) Aug 23 Sat 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
TB @ TOR (C) Aug 24 Sun 10:05a PDT (If Necessary) Chase #271:
STL @ MIA [+1.5 RL] (A) Aug 12 Tue 4:10p PDT
STL @ MIA (B) Aug 13 Wed 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
ARI @ MIA (C) Aug 14 Thu 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #272:
DET @ PIT [ML] (A) Aug 12 Tue 4:05p PDT
ATL @ PIT (B) Aug 18 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
ATL @ PIT (C) Aug 19 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #273:
NYY @ BAL [ML] (A) Aug 12 Tue 4:05p PDT
NYY @ BAL (B) Aug 13 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
TB @ BAL (C) Aug 25 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #274:
TOR @ SEA [ML] (A) Aug 12 Tue 7:10p PDT
TOR @ SEA (B) Aug 13 Wed 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
TEX @ SEA (C) Aug 25 Mon 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#484
Some big days around the corner. Good luck getting into the green.
Comment
snark
SBR Sharp
11-12-12
311
#485
He-He-He
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#486
Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
Some big days around the corner. Good luck getting into the green.
Don't think I remember having 13 home teams qualified at any given time!!
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#487
COMPLETED CHASES (Aug 12 Tue)
Chase #241: WIN (+1.0u) CWS @ SF [+1.5 RL] 1.65 (A) Aug 12 Tue - WIN (+1.0u)
Chase #265: WIN (+1.0u)
TEX @HOU [ML] 1.70 (A) Aug 10 Sun -LOSS (-1.43u) MIN @HOU [+1.5 RL] 1.62 (B) Aug 11 Mon -LOSS (-3.92u) MIN @ HOU [ML] 1.71 (C) Aug 12 Tue - WIN (+6.35u)
Chase #271: WIN (+1.0u) STL @ MIA [+1.5 RL] 1.75 (A) Aug 12 Tue - WIN (+1.0u)
Chase #272: WIN (+1.0u) DET @PIT [ML] 1.85 (A) Aug 12 Tue -WIN (+1.0u) Chase #273: CANCELLED NYY @BAL [ML] 1.74 (A) Aug 12 Tue - POSTPONED
Chase #274: WIN (+1.0u) TOR @SEA [ML] 1.84 (A) Aug 12 Tue - WIN (+1.0u) Record: (242-20-5) -10.08u [53-game season-high active winning streak] Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-12.215u
Chase #251: LAA @TB [ML] 1.93 (A) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-1.075u) NYY @ TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT NYY @TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT(If Necessary)
Chase #256: CHC @ COL [ML] 1.83 (A) Aug 07 Thu - LOSS (-1.2u) CIN @ COL (B) Aug 14 Thu 5:40p PDT CIN @ COL (C) Aug 15 Fri 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #263: CLE @NYY [+1.5 RL] 1.63 (A) Aug 09 Sat -LOSS (-1.585u) CLE @NYY [ML] 1.72 (B) Aug 10 Sun -LOSS (-3.59u) HOU @NYY (C) Aug 19 Tue 4:05p PDT
Chase #266: MIN @OAK [ML] 1.57 (A) Aug 10 Sun - LOSS (-1.755u) NYM @ OAK (B) Aug 19 Tue 7:05p PDT NYM @OAK (C) Aug 20 Wed 12:35p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #267: COL @ARI [ML] 1.65 (A) Aug 10 Sun - LOSS (-1.54u) SD @ARI (B) Aug 22 Fri 6:40p PDT SD @ARI (C) Aug 23 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #269: NYM @PHI [+1.5 RL] 1.68 (A) Aug 11 Mon - LOSS (-1.47u) SEA @PHI (B) Aug 18 Mon 4:05p PDT SEA @PHI (C) Aug 19 Tue 4:05p PDT(If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 13 Wed)
Chase #270: TB @TOR (A) Aug 22 Fri 7:05p PDT TB @ TOR (B) Aug 23 Sat 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
TB @TOR (C) Aug 24 Sun 10:05a PDT(If Necessary)
Chase #275:
MIN @ HOU [+1.5 RL] 1.61 (A) Aug 13 Wed 11:10a PDT
OAK @ HOU (B) Aug 25 Mon 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
OAK @ HOU (C) Aug 26 Tue 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#488
COMPLETED CHASES (Aug 13 Wed)
None Record: (242-20-5) -10.08u [53-game season-high active winning streak] Season High: +26.305u Season Low: -68.84u
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIVE CHASES: Total In-Play:-13.855u
Chase #251: LAA @TB [ML] 1.93 (A) Aug 03 Sun - LOSS (-1.075u) NYY @ TB (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:10p PDT NYY @TB (C) Aug 16 Sat 1:10p PDT(If Necessary)
Chase #256: CHC @COL [ML] 1.83 (A) Aug 07 Thu - LOSS (-1.2u) CIN @COL [ML] (B) Aug 14 Thu 5:40p PDT CIN @ COL (C) Aug 15 Fri 5:40p PDT(If Necessary)
Chase #263: CLE @NYY [+1.5 RL] 1.63 (A) Aug 09 Sat -LOSS (-1.585u) CLE @NYY [ML] 1.72 (B) Aug 10 Sun -LOSS (-3.59u) HOU @NYY (C) Aug 19 Tue 4:05p PDT
Chase #266: MIN @ OAK [ML] 1.57 (A) Aug 10 Sun - LOSS (-1.755u) NYM @ OAK (B) Aug 19 Tue 7:05p PDT NYM @OAK (C) Aug 20 Wed 12:35p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #267: COL @ARI [ML] 1.65 (A) Aug 10 Sun - LOSS (-1.54u) SD @ ARI (B) Aug 22 Fri 6:40p PDT SD @ARI (C) Aug 23 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #269: NYM @PHI [+1.5 RL] 1.68 (A) Aug 11 Mon - LOSS (-1.47u) SEA @PHI (B) Aug 18 Mon 4:05p PDT SEA @ PHI (C) Aug 19 Tue 4:05p PDT(If Necessary) Chase #275:
MIN @ HOU [+1.5 RL] 1.61 (A) Aug 13 Wed - LOSS (-1.64u)
OAK @ HOU (B) Aug 25 Mon 5:10p PDT OAK @ HOU (C) Aug 26 Tue 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Aug 14 Thu)
Chase #270: TB @ TOR (A) Aug 22 Fri 7:05p PDT TB @TOR (B) Aug 23 Sat 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
TB @ TOR (C) Aug 24 Sun 10:05a PDT(If Necessary)
Chase #276:
PIT @ DET [ML] (A) Aug 14 Thu 10:05a PDT
SEA @ DET (B) Aug 15 Fri 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
SEA @ DET (C) Aug 16 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#489
Snark your only seeing extremes and not law of averages. Yes a team could go 0-15 or 23-0 but going 0-15 they would not qualify and going 23-0 just means more wins. Its a 3 game chase not an infinite chase. System is partly based on law of averages which in a 3 game chase you need roughly 90% win rate based on an average series loss. He has run a smooth thread so far and im curious where it ends up at seasons end. No one has disproved his back tested numbers yet. If he skips first 50 games of the season he would be in the green. Greatness is based on small things doing very well. Couple small things tweaked in this system and you might become his biggest fan with all the money coming in. Ten units away is small amount based how many series there are left.
Good luck
Comment
skyscrapers
SBR Hall of Famer
05-02-11
6177
#490
At the end of the day I really don't give a rats ass about what reasoning what parameter what type of system what type of trend or however absurd idea a system is. The ONLY thing that matters is the number at the end of the season for the long term. Profit is profit, how I get there I really don't care.
edit: JM this message was not directed at you sorry if it sounded like it. Wanted to read that guy's last post to see what you were referring to on your previous posts.