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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #1611
    Originally posted by blackjack13
    CWS/A's Over
    I do like it. Waiting for ump, like it so long as neutral ump and would definitely play with over ump. Best over ump who is due up tonight is Schreiber, and he's in St Louis. I'm concerned about getting someone like Kulpa or Hoye or maybe Reyburn.
    Comment
    • BiffTFinancial
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-29-09
      • 22670

      #1612
      At this point, plays that i like best are:
      Tigers ML -107
      Astros TT under 4 -115 (like Rangers -1 RL and under about equally; Astros have scored under 4 runs 21 times this year, exactly 4 3 times, and over 4 14 times)
      Cubs FF ML +134
      CWS/A's over 7' (need to avoid under ump, though)
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #1613
        Monday 5.12.2014
        1* Astros team total under 4 (-115)
        1* Cubs first five ML (+134)
        Comment
        • inZane
          SBR MVP
          • 11-13-13
          • 1206

          #1614
          Thanks for your work, Biff. How do you know whether or not the roofs are open in these parks? I went to that site, istheroofopen .com, and all they say is it's "too soon to say, check back later." In fact, yesterday I checked on games already in progress and got the same reply.BOL tonight...
          Comment
          • SlickRick1382
            SBR MVP
            • 10-15-11
            • 3838

            #1615
            Originally posted by EVfollower
            Hi Biff,
            I look for cappers who in the long run are +EV. While you do make good plays and seem to do decent I think your major problem is you make WAY too many plays. "Finding value" on the amount of plays you make is nearly impossible, it can happen but its rare. You see that since opening month you've been on a gradual decline, not huge but its significant. Based on your stats I attribute this to making too many plays. I would narrow your plays down so the house edge you are trying to beat isn't as much. Variance is not on your side as you make all these plays day after day. Not trying to be an ass just giving you some feedback. If you want to make some extra money, consider putting half a unit on Bigpage's plays and Hardcoar (in the tennis section) plays. Hardcoar is up 300+ units and Bigpage is doing well as well. Never hurts to make extra money.
            How do you consider BP a +EV capper?

            He chases his plays and puts out 5 - 7 unit plays repeatedly. If you were to flat bet or use a smaller 1-3 unit scale in betting BP's bet's you'd be down money. I'd put more stock in BTF who is a solid capper than in anyone who chases and is till only up 2,000 on the year despite huge bets.
            Comment
            • blackjack13
              SBR Rookie
              • 05-07-14
              • 13

              #1616
              Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
              I do like it. Waiting for ump, like it so long as neutral ump and would definitely play with over ump. Best over ump who is due up tonight is Schreiber, and he's in St Louis. I'm concerned about getting someone like Kulpa or Hoye or maybe Reyburn.
              Please post ump when you find out. thanks
              Comment
              • BiffTFinancial
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-29-09
                • 22670

                #1617
                Liking under more than Tigers now that seeing James Hoye behind the plate there....
                Comment
                • BiffTFinancial
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-29-09
                  • 22670

                  #1618
                  Originally posted by blackjack13
                  Please post ump when you find out. thanks
                  Hoye in Baltimore
                  Layne in NYC
                  Comment
                  • SlickRick1382
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-15-11
                    • 3838

                    #1619
                    BTF, you don't see anything with such a short line on Detroit? I like the under better as well.
                    Comment
                    • BiffTFinancial
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 22670

                      #1620
                      adding

                      1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120)

                      Monday 5.12.2014 updated card
                      1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120)
                      1* Astros team total under 4 (-115)
                      1* Cubs first five ML (+134)

                      Heading out for a bit, back in couple of hours. May add something for late games depending upon ump.
                      Comment
                      • BiffTFinancial
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-29-09
                        • 22670

                        #1621
                        Originally posted by SlickRick1382
                        BTF, you don't see anything with such a short line on Detroit? I like the under better as well.
                        Yeah, with Hoye behind the plate, like it a lot. BOL.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #1622
                          Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                          Liking under more than Tigers now that seeing James Hoye behind the plate there....
                          Porcello's been in great form so far, but Baltimore trips have never treated him particularly well if memory serves. And Norris is Norris. Who knows with him vs. Detroit's lineup.
                          Comment
                          • BiffTFinancial
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-29-09
                            • 22670

                            #1623
                            other umps
                            Houston - Gorman
                            St Louis - Schreiber
                            Arizona - Hamari
                            Oakland - Knight
                            Seattle - Ripperger
                            SF - Kulpa
                            Comment
                            • BiffTFinancial
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-29-09
                              • 22670

                              #1624
                              Like CWS/A's over 8, Braves/Giants under 7, passing on both.
                              Comment
                              • BiffTFinancial
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-29-09
                                • 22670

                                #1625
                                Monday 5.12.2014 final card
                                1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120) - WINNER
                                1* Astros team total under 4 (-115) - WINNER
                                1* Cubs first five ML (+134) - WINNER

                                3-0 +3.34u

                                85-83-14 +2.99u MLB to date.
                                Comment
                                • BiffTFinancial
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-29-09
                                  • 22670

                                  #1626
                                  Tuesday 5.13.2014
                                  1* Tigers ML (-103)
                                  1* Nationals/Diamondbacks over 8 (-105)
                                  Comment
                                  • inZane
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-13-13
                                    • 1206

                                    #1627
                                    Nice job, Leet! Keep 'em coming. Good luck, today...
                                    Comment
                                    • RavensFan2k3
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-18-12
                                      • 17378

                                      #1628
                                      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                      Tuesday 5.13.2014
                                      1* Tigers ML (-103)
                                      1* Nationals/Diamondbacks over 8 (-105)
                                      You played this one early...should I count my O's as a loss already?
                                      Comment
                                      • Down_Goes Bookie
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 06-18-13
                                        • 422

                                        #1629
                                        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                        Monday 5.12.2014 final card
                                        1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120) - WINNER
                                        1* Astros team total under 4 (-115) - WINNER
                                        1* Cubs first five ML (+134) - WINNER

                                        3-0 +3.34u

                                        85-83-14 +2.99u MLB to date.
                                        Glad to see it Biff. You're a good capper, things will circle back.

                                        With you on the Tigers ML tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-29-09
                                          • 22670

                                          #1630
                                          Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                          You played this one early...should I count my O's as a loss already?
                                          When Ubaldo was with the Tribe, Tigers regularly ripped his off. I think that they do so again tonight.
                                          Comment
                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-29-09
                                            • 22670

                                            #1631
                                            Originally posted by Down_Goes Bookie
                                            Glad to see it Biff. You're a good capper, things will circle back.

                                            With you on the Tigers ML tonight.
                                            Thank you!
                                            Comment
                                            • RavensFan2k3
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-18-12
                                              • 17378

                                              #1632
                                              Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                              When Ubaldo was with the Tribe, Tigers regularly ripped his off. I think that they do so again tonight.
                                              Ok lets get this money...hopefully I dont get fukked for the fourth night in a row betting on/against the home area team
                                              Comment
                                              • iloseagain
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 06-29-10
                                                • 10682

                                                #1633
                                                Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                Monday 5.12.2014 final card
                                                1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120) - WINNER
                                                1* Astros team total under 4 (-115) - WINNER
                                                1* Cubs first five ML (+134) - WINNER

                                                3-0 +3.34u

                                                85-83-14 +2.99u MLB to date.
                                                nice day yesterday! maybe it will start a good run for you!
                                                Originally posted by inZane
                                                Nice job, Leet! Keep 'em coming. Good luck, today...
                                                wrong thread?
                                                Comment
                                                • inZane
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-13-13
                                                  • 1206

                                                  #1634
                                                  Originally posted by iloseagain
                                                  nice day yesterday! maybe it will start a good run for you!

                                                  wrong thread?
                                                  Indeed, my bad...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                    • 22670

                                                    #1635
                                                    Thinking hard about Cubs/Cards over 7 +115
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BAY HORSE
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 05-04-14
                                                      • 20

                                                      #1636
                                                      How about the cubs TT? 3 even was at +140. They hit wainwright well in chicago last outing, or am I just the kind of dickhead the books are hoping jump on this number?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • whtsox13
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-02-12
                                                        • 1401

                                                        #1637
                                                        Originally posted by yodlegern
                                                        If anyone in this thread is thinking about jumping ship, i've been following this guy on twitter and hes been much more consistent. https://twitter.com/UncleCharliemlb he's providing free picks for this month.
                                                        Your pimping is tiresome.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • yodlegern
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 03-12-14
                                                          • 99

                                                          #1638
                                                          Originally posted by whtsox13
                                                          Your pimping is tiresome.
                                                          Losing money is tiresome too, just trying to help people out.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • inZane
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-13-13
                                                            • 1206

                                                            #1639
                                                            Then start your own thread, pindick!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • eddycash
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-06-13
                                                              • 4521

                                                              #1640
                                                              Biff do u like sf giants at all today?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-09
                                                                • 22670

                                                                #1641
                                                                Originally posted by BAY HORSE
                                                                How about the cubs TT? 3 even was at +140. They hit wainwright well in chicago last outing, or am I just the kind of dickhead the books are hoping jump on this number?
                                                                I like it, just don't think that I'd want to leave out either offense here. Cubs lit up Waino both times they've seen him this year and I think that Cards catch up with Arrieta tonight.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • upscope
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-26-11
                                                                  • 2837

                                                                  #1642
                                                                  Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                                  Tuesday 5.13.2014
                                                                  1* Tigers ML (-103)
                                                                  1* Nationals/Diamondbacks over 8 (-105)

                                                                  GL on Mo Town 2night Biff. Tigers r my biggest bet of season so far. Like many others here I've been ICE cold but this a good spot & I'm gonna try for a big chunk back @ once!!

                                                                  Drew Smyly (det) - throws L at bal - 7:05 PM ET - Camden Yards RotoGuru ESPN MLB Yahoo
                                                                  BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS other site links
                                                                  Matt Wieters S 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  David Lough L 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .333 .333 .667 1.000 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Steve Lombardozzi S 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Nelson Cruz R 5 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 1 1 .200 .500 .200 .700 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  J.J. Hardy R 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 .000 .500 .000 .500 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Jonathan Schoop R 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Steve Pearce R 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Nick Markakis L 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Manny Machado R 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Adam Jones R 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Ryan Flaherty L 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Chris Davis L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Steve Clevenger L 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Ubaldo Jimenez (bal) - throws R vs. det - 7:05 PM ET - Camden Yards RotoGuru ESPN MLB Yahoo
                                                                  BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS other site links
                                                                  Victor Martinez S 21 7 1 0 3 9 1 3 0 0 .333 .333 .810 1.143 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Miguel Cabrera R 41 14 4 0 1 8 8 8 1 0 .341 .449 .512 .961 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Ian Kinsler R 14 4 3 0 0 2 3 2 2 0 .286 .412 .500 .912 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Torii Hunter R 18 7 1 0 0 2 1 2 0 0 .389 .421 .444 .865 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Alex Avila L 22 5 1 0 1 6 7 7 0 0 .227 .414 .409 .823 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Austin Jackson R 21 7 0 0 0 1 1 9 2 0 .333 .364 .333 .697 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Don Kelly L 12 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 .167 .286 .250 .536 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Andy Dirks L 30 6 0 1 0 2 0 7 2 0 .200 .200 .267 .467 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  J.D. Martinez R 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 .000 .333 .000 .333 | RotoGuru | ESPN | MLB | Yahoo |
                                                                  Rajai Davis R 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-29-09
                                                                    • 22670

                                                                    #1643
                                                                    Originally posted by eddycash
                                                                    Biff do u like sf giants at all today?
                                                                    I lean Braves but probably not enough to play them
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bucketteam3
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 05-12-14
                                                                      • 33

                                                                      #1644
                                                                      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                                      adding

                                                                      1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120)

                                                                      Monday 5.12.2014 updated card
                                                                      1* Tigers/Orioles under 9 (-120)
                                                                      1* Astros team total under 4 (-115)
                                                                      1* Cubs first five ML (+134)

                                                                      Heading out for a bit, back in couple of hours. May add something for late games depending upon ump.
                                                                      Good day. Got away with one on A's over last night.
                                                                      Any Over/unders today based on home umps?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • eddycash
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-06-13
                                                                        • 4521

                                                                        #1645
                                                                        Thanks biff my last question today is do u have a lean on the twins at home tonight? A bit of value there.
                                                                        Comment
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