Tommy Karate/Baseball Plays/2014

**RollinDo** · 07-11-14, 06:57 AM

I think Cincy Under was my top Under lean....followed by Mets, Oak.
There are like 7 Unders I like.
Research to come.

**RollinDo** · 07-11-14, 07:15 AM

I've noticed that there is generally more scoring on Fridays over the last month...does that trend hold true in mlb? Tues. Usually higher scoring games too.

Just didn't know if I / we should tread lightly today if the forecast calls for heavy early showers and thunderstorms for starting pitchers.

**StackinGreen** · 07-11-14, 09:44 AM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

I saw the MIL PHL under too late, darn.

I'm going with:

White Sox/Red Sox under 8
Tigers/Royals over 8
A's -110
Dodgers/Padres under 6ev (hope that goes up to bet straight for more later)
NY Mets -120

Small on Quintana +145

BOL to all

Great night for me. Let's keep it going. One parlay with Colon ML (failed me again) was minimal risk huge gain. Very content with my ROI for the night ...

Should we press today? I love centering those M3s with my other plays, which have been very hot lately.

**RollinDo** · 07-11-14, 09:48 AM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Great night for me. Let's keep it going. One parlay with Colon ML (failed me again) was minimal risk huge gain. Very content with my ROI for the night ...

Should we press today? I love centering those M3s with my other plays, which have been very hot lately.

I locked in an IF Win bet:

Oak-Sea (U 6.5) -115
Pitt-Cincy (U 8) -135

Also smaller 1/2 unit plays on Mia-Mets (U 7) -114; Nats-Phils (U 7.5) -115
Nats Unders have been hitting for me lately.

**Lakey** · 07-11-14, 09:50 AM

Great stuff TK

**StackinGreen** · 07-11-14, 09:50 AM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

ive beat nfl 3 years in a row! ha
i need to post my overall results last 12 months.....to me, thats the best way to look at yourself, and see if you're doing this right long term.

Tommy is certainly one of the best around. I'm surprised at how good he is on multiple sports (don't even know how he has this much time!) which is something long term I'm skeptical of.

This year I've had a great run in NCAA hoops (no way I can keep that up) and even baseball now, I'm hot as a firecracker. NFL goes without saying. That's my bread and butter.

Here's to this continuing! Hear Hear!

**RollinDo** · 07-11-14, 09:59 AM

Will keep following this thread. Nobody else's stacks up.
Love your Under plays TK and StackinGreen - you are doing awesome too! This is the place to be!
Even with 2 bad Under beats, I am hitting 61% on totals since June 1.
That Under in LA made my night yesterday!

**StackinGreen** · 07-11-14, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

M3's on cincy, sea and braves games today....huge friday

going to ride with cincys bullpen as their whip is 1.39....det, cincy, and mia all have the same whip at 25th, 26th, and 27th.
i looked at era as a backup (era had always been used prior to this season)....and cincy is 24th.

whats your thoughts?

I know the number is built in for NL/pitcher but in closer scenarios it seems best to bias the NL under plays. From a handicapping point of view, the teams above all struggle offensively, with the exception of Oakland, so I'd certainly play the two and be cautious with Sea/Oak.

My thoughts.

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 10:03 AM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

Tommy is certainly one of the best around. I'm surprised at how good he is on multiple sports (don't even know how he has this much time!) which is something long term I'm skeptical of.

This year I've had a great run in NCAA hoops (no way I can keep that up) and even baseball now, I'm hot as a firecracker. NFL goes without saying. That's my bread and butter.

Here's to this continuing! Hear Hear!

"long term" since 2011 when i stared posting my plays publicly, ive definitely had success in all my sports (MLB, NFL, NBA, NCAAB, and NCAAF).....NCAA hoops i finally had a great season this past one, but college football is my least successful sport....before i started posting i wasnt using the internet and sites like this for information all that much. i continue to post my plays so religiously b/c it works for me....im MUCH better now at this, then when i was in my 20's (in 30's now). Forget when i was a teen - betting nickels in high school when i was making $6 an hour. lol

dont be skeptical $G....you know me for years

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 10:05 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Will keep following this thread. Nobody else's stacks up.
Love your Under plays TK and StackinGreen - you are doing awesome too! This is the place to be!
Even with 2 bad Under beats, I am hitting 61% on totals since June 1.
That Under in LA made my night yesterday!

NCoin is one of the best at baseball....
I appreciate the kind words - but please dont mention me at all in other threads. The less people here the better...

You'll hate me soon enough when the cold streak comes....its comin

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

I know the number is built in for NL/pitcher but in closer scenarios it seems best to bias the NL under plays. From a handicapping point of view, the teams above all struggle offensively, with the exception of Oakland, so I'd certainly play the two and be cautious with Sea/Oak.

My thoughts.

what do you mean by that?

i was talking about thoughts on keeping cincy as an M3, with how the whip bullpen rankings are today. 3 teams are at 1.39 for 25/26/27.....my criteria is bullpen whip ranking has to be 1-25

25	Detroit	4	9	19	5	21.00	1.39	2.69	8.38	3.93	100.00	86.00
26	Cincinnati	2	12	9	7	44.00	1.39	2.10	9.27	3.91	99.00	94.00
27	Miami	2	18	33	9	21.00	1.39	2.36	8.96	3.95	110.00	95.00

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 10:10 AM

Friday 7.11

(12u) Under Reds/Pirates 7.5 (M3 - Listed)
(12u) Under Mariners/A's 6.5 (M3 - Listed)
(2u) Mariners -130
(1u) Over Astros 8
(12u) Under Cubs/Braves 7.5/-120 (M3 - Listed)

**RollinDo** · 07-11-14, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

NCoin is one of the best at baseball....
I appreciate the kind words - but please dont mention me at all in other threads. The less people here the better...

You'll hate me soon enough when the cold streak comes....its comin

Sure thing man. Don't think I ever did, but sorry if so.
I remember it was last December when I first heard of you and we were talking college bowl games and we sucked. LOL
It wasn't until midway through college hoops season that I followed you, but really didn't tail anything. But you were really good in post - season from what I recall.
Now that you're hhitched TK, you will not be able to bet on nfl on Sundays...let alone watch the games. It's family time man!! Chick flicks all afternoon

**Canukc** · 07-11-14, 11:30 AM

Can anyone tell me why BOS/HOU is 8.0? Its 9.5 in Alberta.

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 11:43 AM

Originally posted by Lakey

Great stuff TK

Thanks Lakey

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 11:47 AM

Originally posted by Canukc

Can anyone tell me why BOS/HOU is 8.0? Its 9.5 in Alberta.

i see it opened at 9 and down to 8....i dont see news on ortiz sitting.
big money i guess...

too much of a move imo....i faded it small

**RollinDo** · 07-11-14, 03:02 PM

Did you play AtL-Chi at U 7.5?
I got it for -125...maybe should have gone with U 7 for plus $$.

**leetreaper** · 07-11-14, 03:29 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Did you play AtL-Chi at U 7.5?
I got it for -125...maybe should have gone with U 7 for plus $$.

I always do that...

**RollinDo** · 07-11-14, 03:43 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

I always do that...

Ok. Thanks Leet

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 04:10 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Did you play AtL-Chi at U 7.5?
I got it for -125...maybe should have gone with U 7 for plus $$.

i would never do that on a huge bet....
for an extra 25 cents i want the hook. these plays are rare enough....not like i have 5 a day...

not gonna matter....this one slipped away fast.

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

I always do that...

i noticed you always like to do that - but didnt it burn you on a huge bet in the ncaa tourney by taking the ML on a dog who ended up covering? think it was michigan.....curious if you ever make an exception or you're just dead set on always getting + money to -110

**leetreaper** · 07-11-14, 04:13 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

i would never do that on a huge bet....
for an extra 25 cents i want the hook. these plays are rare enough....not like i have 5 a day...

not gonna matter....this one slipped away fast.

It's not a good idea in general, only if it's juiced 30 cents or more...

**RollinDo** · 07-11-14, 04:13 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

i would never do that on a huge bet....
for an extra 25 cents i want the hook. these plays are rare enough....not like i have 5 a day...

not gonna matter....this one slipped away fast.

There was a lot of movement on the Over the last half hour before 1st pitch.
I didn't go big on this, but of course no loss is good.

**RollinDo** · 07-11-14, 04:16 PM

I told myself I wouldn't ever bet on Cubs games being a fan, but have found myself betting on totals with them.
A loss today would put me at 1-4...only win was 1st Inning No score bet.

**StackinGreen** · 07-11-14, 04:37 PM

This Wood guy is putting a ton of guys on with BB ... unnecessary and asking for it.

4 runs on 3 hits for both teams combined! Unreal

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 04:45 PM

why pitch to freeman there...
coach thinks arrietas an ace i guess....

**leetreaper** · 07-11-14, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

why pitch to freeman there...
coach thinks arrietas an ace i guess....

Arietta is an ace this season and who da fukk is freeman excuse me?

**RollinDo** · 07-11-14, 04:53 PM

This Under not looking good.

**StackinGreen** · 07-11-14, 04:55 PM

No kidding. Bunt single to leadoff, leadoff walks to 8th place hitter

This game is stupid

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 04:57 PM

Originally posted by StackinGreen

This Wood guy is putting a ton of guys on with BB ... unnecessary and asking for it.

4 runs on 3 hits for both teams combined! Unreal

hes a sob today....gets a leadoff hit (1st of his career) then of course scores..
comes to the mound and the bases are loaded no out...

1 out....need a dp and then get the pen in.

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 05:00 PM

Originally posted by leetreaper

Arietta is an ace this season and who da fukk is freeman excuse me?

yeah, amazing how talent can finally come through when you move from the AL to NL and from a stadium like Camden to Wrigley where the wind blows in every day...

freddie freeman is the braves middle of the order best hitter who i think leads MLB with 2 out RBI's...with Upton up next, that was an easy walk for a righty right matchup...

**leetreaper** · 07-11-14, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

yeah, amazing how talent can finally come through when you move from the AL to NL and from a stadium like Camden to Wrigley where the wind blows in every day...

freddie freeman is the braves middle of the order best hitter who i think leads MLB with 2 out RBI's...with Upton up next, that was an easy walk for a righty right matchup...

I guess...

**leetreaper** · 07-11-14, 05:03 PM

4 straight balls on bases loaded for Braves, fukking go home you CLOWN MONKEYSSSS

**Tommy Karate** · 07-11-14, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by Tommy Karate

Friday 7.11

(12u) Under Reds/Pirates 7.5 (M3 - Listed)
(12u) Under Mariners/A's 6.5 (M3 - Listed)
(2u) Mariners -130
(1u) Over Astros 8
(12u) Under Cubs/Braves 7.5/-120 (M3 - Listed)

(3u) Mets -120 (M4)
(3u) Under Rangers 9.5 (M5_Kulpa)
(2u) Under Reds 7.5 (M5_Culbreth) (14u total)
(1u) Whitesox +200
(1u) Twins +170

**RollinDo** · 07-11-14, 06:03 PM

Let's get this next Under Tommy Boy.