Capping and Discussions: Thursday September 21st, 2006

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  • Illusion
    Restricted User
    • 08-09-05
    • 25166

    #1
    Capping and Discussions: Thursday September 21st, 2006
    Post your comments and leans in this thread. If you have a play post it in the regular best bets thread. Remember, this is for comments and leans only. No results will be tracked from this thread.
  • moses millsap
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-25-05
    • 8289

    #2
    Johan doesn't look sharp at all
    Comment
    • imgv94
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-16-05
      • 17192

      #3
      Are you an A's fan Owned?
      Comment
      • moses millsap
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-25-05
        • 8289

        #4
        No, sadly, I'm a Giants fan.
        Comment
        • imgv94
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-16-05
          • 17192

          #5
          Love your avatar dude, Actually I have loved all of your avatars except the one that had that chick with the big eyes.
          Comment
          • moses millsap
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-25-05
            • 8289

            #6
            Originally posted by imgv94
            Love your avatar dude, Actually I have loved all of your avatars except the one that had that chick with the big eyes.
            Bridgett Hall? Ivanka Trump? Or one of the pornstars?
            Comment
            • imgv94
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-16-05
              • 17192

              #7
              Blond Light skinned white Chick with HUGE EYES. Never knew who she was.. LOL!!
              Comment
              • Illusion
                Restricted User
                • 08-09-05
                • 25166

                #8
                What's going on in Boston tonight? Santana looks human tonight.
                Comment
                • moses millsap
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-25-05
                  • 8289

                  #9
                  Originally posted by imgv94
                  Blond Light skinned white Chick with HUGE EYES. Never knew who she was.. LOL!!
                  Might be Mia Bang the pornstar. Google her and see if it's her. You'll like her after you see some of her work
                  Comment
                  • imgv94
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-16-05
                    • 17192

                    #10
                    I hate baseball, but what about Dodgers -1.5 -112?
                    Comment
                    • moses millsap
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-25-05
                      • 8289

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Illusion
                      What's going on in Boston tonight? Santana looks human tonight.
                      Pressure maybe. This game literally breaks the tie for 1st. He rushed fielding that bunt way too much, would've been an easy put out to first if he didn't jump on the ball like he'd been toking the crack pipe in the tunnel during the top half of the inning.
                      Comment
                      • imgv94
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-16-05
                        • 17192

                        #12
                        How long does the high from crack last I wonder? I have heard different things- from 1 min to 20 mins..
                        Comment
                        • moses millsap
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-25-05
                          • 8289

                          #13
                          Originally posted by imgv94
                          I hate baseball, but what about Dodgers -1.5 -112?
                          Pirates are too hot for me to fade them and I've never see this Youman character pitch. 5 in a row and 7 of 8 I believe for them.
                          Comment
                          • imgv94
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-16-05
                            • 17192

                            #14
                            If the Dodgers get swept by the Pirates that would be sad.
                            Comment
                            • Illusion
                              Restricted User
                              • 08-09-05
                              • 25166

                              #15
                              Originally posted by imgv94
                              If the Dodgers get swept by the Pirates that would be sad.
                              It wouldn't shock me. The Dodgers have been doing the jeckyl and hyde thing all year.
                              Comment
                              • imgv94
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-16-05
                                • 17192

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Illusion
                                It wouldn't shock me. The Dodgers have been doing the jeckyl and hyde thing all year.
                                Trust me I know. Well I am partial here cause the Dodgers are my favorite team.. GL whoever you guys bet..
                                Comment
                                • moses millsap
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-25-05
                                  • 8289

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by imgv94
                                  How long does the high from crack last I wonder? I have heard different things- from 1 min to 20 mins..
                                  Watch the post game interviews with Johan.
                                  Comment
                                  • imgv94
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-16-05
                                    • 17192

                                    #18
                                    do you think anyone on the Giants smoke crack?
                                    Comment
                                    • moses millsap
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-25-05
                                      • 8289

                                      #19
                                      Yeah, Brian Sabean for acquiring fossil after fossil every off-season and during the trade deadlines. They'll probably be fielding a team of senior citizens within the next decade knowing that trend.
                                      Comment
                                      • ganchrow
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-28-05
                                        • 5011

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by OWNED
                                        Pirates are too hot for me to fade them and I've never see this Youman character pitch. 5 in a row and 7 of 8 I believe for them.
                                        Billingsley is showing some streaky tendencies, remember he struggled every start when he first came up before he began to excel. This might be like Gustavo Chacin earlier in the year, who had an ugly one-inning start returning from the DL before regaining his effective form in his next start.

                                        Youman doesn't bring much to the table, but crafty lefty rookies often do have some good starts in the very beginning of their big league stints when people haven't paid close enough attention (see John Rheinecker).

                                        I would say the best way to go would be to ride the Dodgers' home totals streakiness, which they have exhibited all year long. They are currently going over, at 7-2 to the over at home in September (and 49-27(!) for the year).

                                        Pittsburgh is also 8-3 to the over on the road in September, so with Youman going, and Billingsley with question marks, that might be the way to play this one.
                                        Comment
                                        • moses millsap
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-25-05
                                          • 8289

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ganchrow
                                          Billingsley is showing some streaky tendencies, remember he struggled every start when he first came up before he began to excel. This might be like Gustavo Chacin earlier in the year, who had an ugly one-inning start returning from the DL before regaining his effective form in his next start.

                                          Youman doesn't bring much to the table, but crafty lefty rookies often do have some good starts in the very beginning of their big league stints when people haven't paid close enough attention (see John Rheinecker).

                                          I would say the best way to go would be to ride the Dodgers' home totals streakiness, which they have exhibited all year long. They are currently going over, at 7-2 to the over at home in September (and 49-27(!) for the year).

                                          Pittsburgh is also 8-3 to the over on the road in September, so with Youman going, and Billingsley with question marks, that might be the way to play this one.
                                          Good luck on that one, I'm just gonna pass, because I'd like to have seen the pitcher with my own eyes before jumping on a play. Last year, I remember a lot of pitchers were getting shelled harder in their 2nd starts off the DL than their first one, fwiw.

                                          Got plenty of action on the diamond right at this moment, so no need to add a play on the late game without proper capping.
                                          Comment
                                          • ganchrow
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-28-05
                                            • 5011

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by OWNED
                                            Last year, I remember a lot of pitchers were getting shelled harder in their 2nd starts off the DL than their first one, fwiw.



                                            Returns from the DL for starting pitchers are actually a very highly volatile situation, one of the highest in baseball. I bet if you went back and checked, more often than not they had an unusually or surprisingly good start on their return, and then had a strongly opposite outing the next time. The same does tend to happen in reverse as well.
                                            Comment
                                            • moses millsap
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-25-05
                                              • 8289

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ganchrow
                                              The same does tend to happen in reverse as well.
                                              Never knew that, so you would expect a somewhat decent outing from the kid tonight?

                                              BTW, anybody looking forward to the inevitable Lidge/Pujols battle tonight?
                                              Comment
                                              • moses millsap
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-25-05
                                                • 8289

                                                #24
                                                Can't believe I survived that total at Fenway. Phew.
                                                Comment
                                                • ganchrow
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-28-05
                                                  • 5011

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by OWNED
                                                  Never knew that, so you would expect a somewhat decent outing from the kid tonight?


                                                  sort of, it means that there is a lower correlation between the first two starts back from the DL than between most other consecutive starts. still, a good start is a good sign and a bad start is a bad sign. i'll write in more detail about pitchers and injuries and the DL later if you want.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • moses millsap
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-25-05
                                                    • 8289

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by ganchrow
                                                    sort of, it means that there is a lower correlation between the first two starts back from the DL than between most other consecutive starts. still, a good start is a good sign and a bad start is a bad sign. i'll write in more detail about pitchers and injuries and the DL later if you want.
                                                    Whenever you have spare time, it's cool. No rush. Always welcome new information or angles, gotta keep an open mind.
                                                    Comment
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