Capping and Discussions: Thursday September 21st, 2006

[Illusion]

Post your comments and leans in this thread. If you have a play post it in the regular best bets thread. Remember, this is for comments and leans only. No results will be tracked from this thread.

[moses millsap]

Johan doesn't look sharp at all

[imgv94]

Are you an A's fan Owned?

[moses millsap]

No, sadly, I'm a Giants fan.

[imgv94]

Love your avatar dude, Actually I have loved all of your avatars except the one that had that chick with the big eyes.

[moses millsap]

Love your avatar dude, Actually I have loved all of your avatars except the one that had that chick with the big eyes.

Bridgett Hall? Ivanka Trump? Or one of the pornstars?

[imgv94]

Blond Light skinned white Chick with HUGE EYES. Never knew who she was.. LOL!!

[Illusion]

What's going on in Boston tonight? Santana looks human tonight.

[moses millsap]

Blond Light skinned white Chick with HUGE EYES. Never knew who she was.. LOL!!

Might be Mia Bang the pornstar. Google her and see if it's her. You'll like her after you see some of her work

[imgv94]

I hate baseball, but what about Dodgers -1.5 -112?

[moses millsap]

What's going on in Boston tonight? Santana looks human tonight.

Pressure maybe. This game literally breaks the tie for 1st. He rushed fielding that bunt way too much, would've been an easy put out to first if he didn't jump on the ball like he'd been toking the crack pipe in the tunnel during the top half of the inning.

[imgv94]

How long does the high from crack last I wonder? I have heard different things- from 1 min to 20 mins..

[moses millsap]

I hate baseball, but what about Dodgers -1.5 -112?

Pirates are too hot for me to fade them and I've never see this Youman character pitch. 5 in a row and 7 of 8 I believe for them.

[imgv94]

If the Dodgers get swept by the Pirates that would be sad.

[Illusion]

If the Dodgers get swept by the Pirates that would be sad.

It wouldn't shock me. The Dodgers have been doing the jeckyl and hyde thing all year.

[imgv94]

It wouldn't shock me. The Dodgers have been doing the jeckyl and hyde thing all year.

Trust me I know. Well I am partial here cause the Dodgers are my favorite team.. GL whoever you guys bet..

[moses millsap]

How long does the high from crack last I wonder? I have heard different things- from 1 min to 20 mins..

Watch the post game interviews with Johan.

[imgv94]

do you think anyone on the Giants smoke crack?

[moses millsap]

Yeah, Brian Sabean for acquiring fossil after fossil every off-season and during the trade deadlines. They'll probably be fielding a team of senior citizens within the next decade knowing that trend.

[Ganchrow]

Pirates are too hot for me to fade them and I've never see this Youman character pitch. 5 in a row and 7 of 8 I believe for them.

Billingsley is showing some streaky tendencies, remember he struggled every start when he first came up before he began to excel. This might be like Gustavo Chacin earlier in the year, who had an ugly one-inning start returning from the DL before regaining his effective form in his next start.

Youman doesn't bring much to the table, but crafty lefty rookies often do have some good starts in the very beginning of their big league stints when people haven't paid close enough attention (see John Rheinecker).

I would say the best way to go would be to ride the Dodgers' home totals streakiness, which they have exhibited all year long. They are currently going over, at 7-2 to the over at home in September (and 49-27(!) for the year).

Pittsburgh is also 8-3 to the over on the road in September, so with Youman going, and Billingsley with question marks, that might be the way to play this one.

[moses millsap]

Billingsley is showing some streaky tendencies, remember he struggled every start when he first came up before he began to excel. This might be like Gustavo Chacin earlier in the year, who had an ugly one-inning start returning from the DL before regaining his effective form in his next start.

Youman doesn't bring much to the table, but crafty lefty rookies often do have some good starts in the very beginning of their big league stints when people haven't paid close enough attention (see John Rheinecker).

I would say the best way to go would be to ride the Dodgers' home totals streakiness, which they have exhibited all year long. They are currently going over, at 7-2 to the over at home in September (and 49-27(!) for the year).

Pittsburgh is also 8-3 to the over on the road in September, so with Youman going, and Billingsley with question marks, that might be the way to play this one.

Good luck on that one, I'm just gonna pass, because I'd like to have seen the pitcher with my own eyes before jumping on a play. Last year, I remember a lot of pitchers were getting shelled harder in their 2nd starts off the DL than their first one, fwiw.

Got plenty of action on the diamond right at this moment, so no need to add a play on the late game without proper capping.

[Ganchrow]

Last year, I remember a lot of pitchers were getting shelled harder in their 2nd starts off the DL than their first one, fwiw.

Returns from the DL for starting pitchers are actually a very highly volatile situation, one of the highest in baseball. I bet if you went back and checked, more often than not they had an unusually or surprisingly good start on their return, and then had a strongly opposite outing the next time. The same does tend to happen in reverse as well.

[moses millsap]

The same does tend to happen in reverse as well.

Never knew that, so you would expect a somewhat decent outing from the kid tonight?

BTW, anybody looking forward to the inevitable Lidge/Pujols battle tonight?

[moses millsap]

Can't believe I survived that total at Fenway. Phew.

[Ganchrow]

Never knew that, so you would expect a somewhat decent outing from the kid tonight?

sort of, it means that there is a lower correlation between the first two starts back from the DL than between most other consecutive starts. still, a good start is a good sign and a bad start is a bad sign. i'll write in more detail about pitchers and injuries and the DL later if you want.

[moses millsap]

sort of, it means that there is a lower correlation between the first two starts back from the DL than between most other consecutive starts. still, a good start is a good sign and a bad start is a bad sign. i'll write in more detail about pitchers and injuries and the DL later if you want.

Whenever you have spare time, it's cool. No rush. Always welcome new information or angles, gotta keep an open mind.