Chacon and NYY -225 ?

**MAB** · 10-09-05, 01:46 AM

Taking Angels +207. Great value.

**freebie** · 10-09-05, 08:20 AM

I might try taking Chacon -1 -167 for a small wager. Can't see Washburn lasting more than 5 innings in the Bronx

**Doug** · 10-09-05, 11:04 AM

-1 bets aren't good, you can get a better price playing a combo of ML and -1.5. I'll explain later, when I have more time.

**freebie** · 10-09-05, 11:14 AM

okay, I'll wait for your explanation. I like to get an edge in MLB.
Thanks, Dough

**Illusion** · 10-09-05, 12:20 PM

I like the Angels +201

**Doug** · 10-09-05, 12:21 PM

Pinnacle has changed their lines. There was a glitch where you would do better betting it at ML and RL. On games that aren't big spreads ( like Atl) Pinny used to have a difference of about 12 cents on the -1 line, now it's at 8 cents, so it's fine.

Atl -1 -103
Hous +1 -111

earlier this would have been more like

Atl -1 -101
Hous +1 -113

I did the math on NYY, and the -1 is even a little better.

NYY -219
NYY -1.5 -107
NYY -1 -164

If you bet:

Nyy -1 -164 , risk 1000 to win 609.75

splitting it ( using algebra) to create a -1 line yields

NYY -219 686.53 to win 313.48
NYY -1.5 -107 313.48 to win 292.97

This pays $3.30 less in this case !

However you can create your own -1 line anywhere with this method, and still beat the -1 price by shopping and betting each half at the best line.

It's not worth much now since Pinny no longer gouges you on the -1 line !

**Senator7** · 10-09-05, 01:35 PM

Makes sense that the Yanks would be a big favorite. Chacon has been their best pitcher of late. They're at home with their backs against the wall facing elimination. Washburn is nothing special either. Call me a homer, but I still think the Yanks have a shot in this series. They've already beaten Colon @ Anaheim and there's no reason to believe they can't do it again.

Senator 7

**InSpades** · 10-09-05, 01:54 PM

Angels or nothing.

Over is a strong play.

IS

**OldeTymePlaya** · 10-09-05, 03:31 PM

Angels

**newb411breaker19** · 10-09-05, 03:38 PM

either angels or the under i think

**Razz** · 10-09-05, 05:20 PM

To be honest, I think it was worth laying -225 with Chacon against Washburn because of his struggles in the playoffs and against the Yankees. If I had to play the game now, the Angels makes more sense, because Lackey is a great big-game pitcher. Still, I don't see the Yankees losing tonight.

**Doug** · 10-09-05, 07:02 PM

I'm on Ana, over, and both parlayed. I never lay that kind of chalk on bases !