Week 3, Day 1

[Ernie_Money]

I have had 3 straight losing Mondays, so I have no idea if this play has a chance or not, but this is my bet for tonight:

NY Mets/Florida over 8.5 -- laying $171 to win $150

Reasoning:

This is a let-down or hangover game for Anibal Sanchez after the no-hitter last time out and Dave Williams of the Mets has been pitching way over his head (3 straight solid starts) and I expect both pitchers to regress to their mean a bit here today so I gotta take the Over.

Record:

Week 2: 5-3, +$306 (did win $509 on the Mansion free bet & hedge)
Week 1: 5-1, +$913

[bigboydan]

that was an easy winner for you ernie.

very nice

[upperwestsideslim]

ernie nice pick again, very very well done. i noticed that there was a wind in from center for that game, at least that's how it was reported.

[Ganchrow]

Good job. Identifying value created by mean reversion is a key component of good handicapping.